UFC 268 Betting Odds, Predictions and Picks

  • BetOnline has UFC 268 betting lines for every fight on the UFC 268 pay-per-view card
  • UFC 268 features two title fights and one crucial lightweight bout at the top of the ESPN+ streaming pay-per-view card
  • Kamaru Usman vs. Colby Covington and Rose Namajunas vs. Zhang Weili are title fight rematches

The UFC is in New York City on November 6 for UFC 268. The event, which takes place at Madison Square Garden and streams on ESPN+ pay-per-view, features two title fights and a possible title eliminator at the top of the card. Both title scraps are rematches.

In the main event, UFC welterweight champion Kamaru Usman runs back his UFC 245 matchup with Colby Covington. Usman scored a last-minute knockout in the first meeting between these two.

In the co-main event, Rose Namajunas puts her strawweight belt on the line against Zhang Weili. Namajunas took the title from Zhang at UFC 261. The fight ended 78 seconds into the first round with a Namajunas head kick knockout.

In a possible lightweight title eliminator, Justin Gaethje faces Michael Chandler, whetting the lips of those interested in UFC betting.

Usman to win-285-285-300-300-300
Covington to win+245+245+235+220+230
Namajunas to win-117-117-125-120-115
Zhang to win-103-103+105-110-115
Gaethje to win-180-180-185-185-185
Chandler to win+155+155+150+155+155

Usman vs. Covington prediction and pick:

The welterweight title fight between Kamaru Usman and Colby Covington might be one of the most anticipated rematches of 2021. While Usman scored a late knockout in the first meeting — the stoppage occurred at 4:10 of the fifth round — the fight was very close until that point. The scorecards were 39-37, 38-38 and 37-39, heading into the final stanza. With that, the fight was up for grabs heading into the last five minutes.

I think the rematch will look different. I believe Usman will get a knockout in the rematch, but I think it will happen sooner than it did in the first fight.

Usman has improved his overall game since the first meeting. Covington, at best, has remained at the same level. I think the Usman fight was Covington’s best career performance. I don’t think we have seen Usman’s best performance. That could happen at UFC 268.

Usman to defeat Covington via knockout -285 via Sportsbetting.

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Namajunas vs. Zhang prediction and pick:

Zhang Weili had the odds on her side when she first faced Rose Namajunas, but an early head kick ended the fight in under two minutes. Most sportsbooks have Namajunas as a slight favorite in the rematch. Despite that fact. I am going with the underdog in this one.

I think Zhang was too emotionally invested in the first fight. I believe she will be more focused on the task at hand and that she will use her power, pressure and output to keep Namajunas on the defensive throughout the bout.

The numbers that stand out for me in this contest are the 408 significant strikes Zhang attempted in her five-round win over former champion Joanna Jedrzejczyk and the 6.36 significant strikes Zhang lands on average per minute, which puts her just outside the top-10 in that stat among active UFC fighters

Of the three fights at the top of the card, this is the one that is the hardest pick, but I see Zhang taking the title back by decision.

Zhang to defeat Namajunas via decision at -103 via BetOnline.

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Gaethje vs. Chandler prediction and pick:

Before he joined the UFC in 2017, Justin Gaethje had a lengthy run as the World Series of Fighting lightweight champion. Michael Chandler, who first fought for the UFC in 2021, held the Bellator lightweight crown three times.

Both of these veteran fighters are extremely talented and immensely motivated to win the undisputed UFC lightweight title. When Gaethje captured interim UFC gold in 2020, he threw the title on the mat and said he’d wait for the real belt. He fell short of getting that title when Khabib Nurmagomedov beat him in October 2020. Chandler is also coming off a loss in a title fight. Charles Oliveira defeated him for the vacant 155-pound crown in May.

I expect a spirited striking battle between these two, but I think Gaethje, who has been a more patient and selective striker in his past few outings has more power and a better chin and that he will get a knockout win over Chandler in a matchup that has “Fight of the Night” written all over it.

Gaethje via knockout at -185 via BetUS.

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Trent Reinsmith

Trent covers UFC and MMA for MTS. He has written for USA Today Sports, Vice, Bloody Elbow, Fight! Magazine, UFC 360, and Narratively among others. He has been involved with MMA since he and some friends threw some money together to purchase the pay-per-view of UFC 1, and the rest is history.

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