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- What: UFC 316
- Who: Vicente Luque vs. Kevin Holland
- Date: Saturday, June 7, 2025
- Location: Prudential Center in Newark, New Jersey
- Time: Early Prelims (6:00 p.m. ET), Prelims (8:00 p.m. ET), Pay-Per-View Card (10:00 p.m. ET)
- How to Watch: Early Prelims (ESPN+) Prelims (ESPN), Main Card (ESPN+ PPV)
The next UFC pay-per-view fight card on the schedule is UFC 316. The event takes place on Saturday, June 7, from Prudential Center in Newark, New Jersey. The main event of the ESPN+ streaming PPV card is a rematch between current UFC bantamweight champion Merab Dvalishvili and the man he took the title from, Sean O’Malley. Before that bout, UFC women’s bantamweight champion Julianna Pena puts her title on the line against former PFL champ Kayla Harrison. Opening the UFC 316 PPV card is a welterweight bout between Vicente Luque and Kevin Holland.
Vicente Luque (23-10-1) has been up and down over the past three years, putting together a 2-3 record. Luque is coming off a “Performance of the Night” bonus-winning submission of Themba Gorimbo.
Kevin Holland (27-13-0-1) is 2-4 dating back to September 2023. Holland, who fights at middleweight and welterweight, won a decision over Gunnar Nelson in his most recent outing, winning a “Performance of the Night” bonus.
Before we look at the best bets for Vicente Luque vs. Kevin Holland on the UFC 316 PPV card, check out the best UFC betting sites and where you can find our betting picks for the UFC 316 main event.
UFC 316: Vicente Luque vs. Kevin Holland betting picks
| Fighters |  |  |  |  |
| Vicente Luque | +220 | +220 | +214 | +199 |
| Kevin Holland | -260 | -270 | -260 | -238 |
UFC 316: Vicente Luque betting breakdown
Vicente Luque is a dangerous opponent for any UFC welterweight. He is second all-time in the division with 14 finishes, second all-time in knockouts with eight, second all-time in post-fight bonuses with nine, fourth all-time in wins with 16, and second all-time in submissions with six. Yes, some of the shine has fallen from the 33-year-old over the past three years because of his three losses and two knockout defeats in five fights. Despite that, Luque is still a dangerous competitor. Luque is a heavy-handed striker with good technical skills who puts a high output on his opponents. However, something he showed in his loss to Geoff Neal is that he can be hit, and his defense can sometimes be suspect. As good as Luque is on his feet, he is also more than able to handle himself on the mat if the fight should go there.
A member of the UFC roster since 2015, Luque was on a 10-1 run, with his loss coming to Stephen Thompson, before dropping fights to Belal Muhammad and Neal in 2022.
Luque is an active striker; he lands 5.05 significant strikes per minute and has a 52 percent striking accuracy rate. However, his defense is a little shaky, as he gets hit with 5.22 significant strikes per minute on a defense rate of 52 percent. Luque lands 0.99 takedowns per 15 minutes, and he succeeds on 53 percent of his takedowns. His takedown defense is 62 percent.
UFC 316: Kevin Holland betting breakdown
Kevin Holland has a diverse skill set but is mainly known for his striking. He uses volume over power on the feet, switching up his stances and mixing up his targets. In his decision loss to Jack Della Maddalena, Holland went to the head of his opponent 46 percent of the time, 25 percent to the body, and 27 percent to Della Maddalena’s legs. In that contest, Holland attempted 356 significant strikes and landed 127. Against Michael “Venom” Page, Holland struggled to close the distance and deal with the movement and speed of his opponent.
In addition to his striking talents, Holland is more than capable on the mat, with seven career submission victories, including a recent D’arce choke stoppage of Michael Chiesa.
One knock against Holland is that he sometimes puts entertainment above victory, which worked against him when he refused to use his grappling in a loss to the more talented striker Stephen Thompson in December 2022. In his win over Nelson, Holland looked focused, but you never know what you’re going to get from the 32-year-old.
Holland lands 4.19 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy of 50 percent. His striking defense is 50 percent, and he absorbs 3.10 significant strikes per minute. Holland has a 37 percent takedown accuracy and lands 0.77 takedowns per 15 minutes. His takedown defense is 54 percent.
Best Bets: UFC 316 – Vicente Luque vs. Kevin Holland
Holland is the bigger fighter in this matchup. If he can use his physical attributes to keep Luque at distance, Holland has a good chance to win this bout. However, Holland struggles with takedowns, and that’s the area where Luque will look to get this fight.
The betting pick is to look for the betting value in this matchup, and that is for Vicente Luque to beat Kevin Holland via decision.
See below the top offshore sportsbooks where you can wager online and choose the best one for you:
Best Betting Sites 