World Cup Group F is trickier than it looks and Morocco can cause a surprise in Qatar.
Who do Bettors Favor?
Looking at the Group F betting with the best-rated online sportsbooks we can see that Belgium are the overwhelming favorites to win this section. They are priced at around -190, while Croatia are considered their most likely challenger. Morocco at +1000 and Canada at +1200 are the Group F underdogs.
|Group F Winner|
Betting on the World Cup Group E Winners
This year’s World Cup is being staged in November, to avoid the heat of the Qatar summer, which creates some challenges for the players, most of whom will be in the middle of their domestic seasons. And although the heat and humidity will be reduced from their summer peak, it will still be tough for some teams to acclimatize, and in the case of Group F, Morocco could have a slight advantage over their rivals.
As with the other Groups, the four teams will play one another once and the top two teams in the Group will go through to the knockout stages. With three points for a win and one for a draw, history and math tells us that a points haul of 5, 6, 7 or 9 will be enough to take a team through, while four points – the equivalent of one win, one draw and one loss gives a team a fifty/fifty chance.
Depend on Belgium for Group F Success
How the current generation of Belgian players has yet to win a major international tournament is one of the mysteries of modern football. Despite a squad that includes the likes of Romelu Lukaku, Eden Hazard and Kevin de Bruyne, Belgium always seem to come up short on the biggest stage.
That said, they are usually a good bet to get out of their Group. They reached the quarter-finals at the 2014 World Cup and finished third in 2018. They also reached the last eight stage of the 2016 and 2020 European Championships. Although this Group isn’t quite as straightforward as it might appear, there is so much talent in the Belgium squad that bettors can depend on them to dominate the Group.
Croatia Overrated in Group F
Four years ago, Croatia surprised pundits by reaching the World Cup final, but this time around they don’t look as dangerous and could be overrated in the Group F betting markets. Luka Modric is still there, pulling the strings, but while he remains one of the best passing midfielders in international football, the team around him is worryingly inconsistent.
They topped their qualification group, losing only once, although their goals total of 21 was small given the presence of both Malta and Cyprus in their section. Narrow Nations League wins against France and Denmark in June were promising, but they have also been beaten 3-0 at home by Austria and held to a draw by Slovenia and Slovakia. Both of the supposed underdogs in the Group are underrated and Croatia could be vulnerable to an upset here.
Morocco Can Qualify
Last time Morocco played a match at the Al Thumama Stadium in Qatar, they suffered a penalty shoot-out loss to Algeria in the Arab Cup, and that could serve to motivate them ahead of their games against Belgium and Canada at the stadium this November.
Their squad is full of talent, with winger Hakim Ziyech and right back Achraf Hakimi perhaps the pick of their stars and have been in strong form in recent months. They cruised through World Cup qualification, winning all six of their Group games before beating DR Congo 5-2 on aggregate and before that, it had taken another penalty shootout, against Egypt to end their AFCON challenge. With conditions in their favor, they are dangerous underdogs and could be worth a bet to qualify.
Don’t Count Out Canada
Technically, Canada are the poorest team in Group F but that just shows how tricky this Group will be. The last time Canada went to the World Cup was in 1986, and they had few expectations. That is not the case this time around, having won the CONCACAF qualifying tournament in style.
That qualification was secured largely due to their excellent performances against the two best teams in the tournament, Mexico and USA. John Herdman’s young team drew with both of those rivals in their road games and then beat them both at home.
The most exciting aspect of this Canadian team’s challenge is their youth. Bayern Munich star Alphonso Davies is perhaps their most famous player, but forwards Jonathan David and Tajon Buchanan are also regularly praised and both play their games at the top level in Europe. Of course, Canada’s players will be out of their comfort zone in the heat of Qatar, but this is an improving and settled team that is full of confidence and I don’t think you can count them out in the qualification betting for Group F.