World Cup bettors assessing the French World Cup odds available for Group D of this year’s tournament can rely on France to win the section.
Who do Bettors Favor?
Checking out the best-rated online sportsbooks we can see that bookmakers rate France, the World Cup holders, as the big favorites to win Group D. Didier Deschamps’ team is rated at -250, while Denmark are considered their closest rivals at +300. The two Group D outsiders are Australia (+1000) and Tunisia (+1400) and sportsbook operators clearly think it would be a huge surprise if either qualified.
|Group D Winner|
Betting on the World Cup Group D Winners
The World Cup this year is taking place in Qatar, which will be the first Middle-Eastern country to host the competition. The associated heat and humidity will therefore be a significant factor in the outcome of Group D though Tunisia may be better equipped than the other three nations to handle it.
The structure of the tournament will also play a part in how the Groups will pan out. There are four teams in each Group and each team competes three times against their Group rivals with the top two teams advancing to the Round of 16. The Groups are seeded, which in theory implies there is an equal distribution of talent, although some Groups are usually stronger than others. And while the top seeds in each Group will be expecting to win the section, finishing in the top two is their main aim.
France Are Deserved Favorites
In some betting lists, France are rated as the third favorite which drastically underrates their squad. In every department, France has world-beating talent, from Raphael Varane to Paul Pogba to Kylian Mbappe. There is a good case for saying that France has the best overall squad in world football, and with the added benefit that many of their players have winning experience at the highest level.
This is a settled, well-organized squad with a good blend of youth and experience. The only possible concerns could be how well they cope with the conditions in Qatar – though this applies to most of the European teams – and whether a little complacency might creep into their thinking. Outside of those factors, they have little to worry about and are deserved favorites in Group D.
Denmark Could be Overrated
Christian Eriksen’s return to top-level international competition will be one of the highlights of this World Cup and Denmark will be hoping to build on their remarkable performances in recent months. They are certainly the clear second favorites in this Group and will be confident of overcoming France having beaten them in Paris in the Nations League in June.
The two teams are set to meet again in the return leg in Copenhagen at the end of September, but the fact that they have played France twice in the run-up to this tournament may not work in Denmark’s favor. Deschamps and his team will know all about the Danish game plan and will have plenty of time to prepare for matching them. Denmark has also exhibited inconsistency recently, losing to Scotland, Croatia, and the Netherlands in their last seven internationals and they look overrated at their current price.
Don’t Bank on Weak Australia
It is hard to weigh up Australia’s qualification performance. They struggled in the Third Round, finishing third, a long way behind Japan and Saudi Arabia, but that record has to be balanced by the fact that the COVID-19 pandemic forced them to play their home games in Qatar. They also upped their game when it mattered, beating UAE and then Peru on penalties to book their place at the finals.
This Group is similar to the section they found themselves in four years ago, when they drew with Denmark and lost to France. Overall, however, this current Australian squad is weaker than that version so even at big odds I can’t recommend anyone banking on Australia.
Tunisia May Sneak Through
Tunisia are rated as the underdog in this Group, but I think they could be underestimated in the markets. At the last World Cup, they beat Panama and came close to taking a point off the eventual semi-finalists England, and they have been relatively consistent in recent months. They Beat Egypt on the way to the final of the Arab Cup, and also reached the last eight of AFCON 2021.
The end of that tournament saw the appointment of a new coach, Jalel Kadri, who steered them through the World Cup qualifying tournament, in which they conceded just two goals in eight games. Of the four teams in Group D, they are the best placed to cope with the conditions in Qatar and will have a good chance of beating Australia, which means a point against Denmark could be enough to enable them to sneak through to the knockout stages.