USA v Iran Betting Tips and Picks

  • USA v Iran
  • Tuesday, November 29, 2022, 14:00 ET
  • At the Al Thumama Stadium, Doha

The USMNT take on Iran in their final Group B game and a draw looks like the best betting pick.

Who do Bettors Favor?

Checking out the best-rated online sportsbooks we can see that bettors and bookmakers are favoring the USA ahead of this crucial game. The USMNT is rated as a -120 chance by some bookmakers, while Iran are available at up to +345 and the draw is priced around +260.

Iran v USABetOnline ReviewMyBookie ReviewBetUS Review
Iran+320+310+345
Draw+255+255+260
USA-104-110-120

World Cup Group B Betting Briefing

When the draw for the World Cup Group stage was made, Group B looked like it could be one of the more open groupings and so it has proven.

With one round of games to go, England lead the way at the top of the Group, which isn’t a huge surprise, but Iran being in second place is certainly unexpected, while the USA is third, having deserved more than the two points they’ve earned so far, and Wales are last, with a single point.

All four teams can still qualify for the knockout stage, although England on four points are in a stronger position than the other three. Adding extra intrigue to these final two games is the fact that both have an additional element of rivalry. The USA last played against Iran in a World Cup back in 1998, and Iran scored what was a headline-grabbing victory at the time.

Both teams would go through with a win here, although if the game finishes in a draw then it becomes more complicated, with Iran favored, depending on the outcome of the England v Wales game.

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USA Face Must-Win Test

While Iran can afford a draw here, the USMNT has no such margin for error. Nothing but a win will do for Gregg Berhalter’s team, who have played well so far but have not gained the rewards they deserved.

They made a big impression in the first half of their opening game against Wales, dominating the play and taking the lead, but they couldn’t sustain that effort through the second half and eventually fell to a late penalty. They also played well against England in their second game, matching the Group favorites, but were unable to make the breakthrough that might have delivered the win.

Like a number of teams at the tournament, the USMNT has a strong midfield, a solid defense and plenty of energy but doesn’t have the goalscoring firepower that can deliver success. That means they have to stay patient and believe that their good approach play will eventually be rewarded: making for a tough test of mental resilience for this young squad.

Iran is a Dangerous Opponent

Iran played poorly against England in their opener, but there were signs of their potential strength as they scored twice in that game, and they improved again against Wales, creating their share of chances and winning 2-0 with late goals after the Welsh goalkeeper was sent off.

They were good value for that win and have so far created more chances than the USMNT. The confidence they gained from that victory over Wales, combined with the strong team spirit that has clearly been forged by the adversity of domestic circumstances makes them dangerous opponents.

 Their 4-4-1-1 formation, with main striker Sardar Azmoun at the point of the attack, is extremely flexible, allowing them to defend in depth but also to counter quickly. The USMNT cannot afford to switch off in defense, particularly when they are on the ball.

World Cup Group B Match Betting

Based on what we’ve seen so far, we can expect the USMNT to play largely on the front foot, pressing their opponents and aiming to keep them in their own half.

That is a style of play that suits this young group of players, and it has proven very effective for periods of play during both of their opening games.

The problem for Berhalter and his players is that style is hard to maintain for a full 90 minutes and it can only take one error for the team to be caught out of position and hit on the break. The more the USMNT push forward, the more vulnerable they could be at the back.

An early goal for the USMNT would make things interesting as it would require Iran to take the initiative, but failing that, we could be in for a long and nervy game. The USMNT deserve to be favorites, but their lack of firepower up front will ultimately cost them and the draw looks the best match betting pick.

DrawUSA v Iran
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+260
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Chris Boline

Chris Boline is an avid sports fan and currently works within the sports industry. He has previously written for outlets covering the NBA G League, Los Angeles Chargers, Mountain West Conference football and basketball and has been a writer for over 10 years. Chris is very involved within his local community and spends his free time working with community organizations, sitting on boards, and spending time with friends and family.

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