World Cup Futures Betting Tips and Picks

The Round of 16 at the World Cup produced some more shocks, surprises and drama, but it hasn’t changed the shape of the World Cup Winners market.

Who do Bettors Favor?

According to the best-rated online sportsbooks Brazil remains the overwhelming favorite with bettors to win the World Cup. The five-time champion nation is priced at +170, well clear of the rest of the field. France is the second favorite, at odds of around +400 while Argentina, England and Portugal are all closely matched at +600. Croatia is rated the underdog of the eight remaining teams at +4000.

World Cup WinnerBetOnline ReviewMyBookie Review
Brazil+170+175
France+425+400
Argentina+600+600
England+625+600
Portugal+625+600
Netherlands+1600+1400
Morocco+3300+2900
Croatia+4000+3300

Brazil Looking Good

Brazil went into the tournament as the clear favorite and although the team has lost Gabriel Jesus to injury, it still looks like the most likely tournament winner. The defeat to Cameroon in its final Group game, with many of the top players rested, was proven to be irrelevant in its Round of 16 game against South Korea, when Tite’s team scored four goals in the first half to take complete control.

As a statement of intent, it could hardly have been more impressive, but while Brazil is looking good as the likeliest winner of the World Cup, bookmakers are taking no chances and any value in its price in the futures markets has long since evaporated.

England a Better Pick than France

France returned to the winning path with a straightforward win over Poland in the Round of 16 but there is a good argument to be made that England – its quarter final opponents – is now a better pick in the tournament winners’ market.

While France has been effective so far, the pre-tournament fears about a lack of depth in midfield and upfront remain, and have been brought into sharper focus by worrying reports over Kylian Mbappe’s health and fitness ahead of this game. Without Mbappe, France would be a considerably less formidable opponent, and even if his effectiveness is reduced, it would severely impact France going forward.

The absence of N’golo Kante and Paul Pogba in midfield could also be an issue now that England has worked out its best option in midfield. The combination of Jordan Henderson, Declan Rice and Jude Bellingham is strong, fast and technically solid and there is every chance that it could win the midfield battle in the quarter-final, making England a better bet than France in the Winners’ market.

England To win World Cup
★★★★★
+625
Bet now

Argentina Can Match Brazil

Ahead of the Round of 16, we recommended backing Portugal at +1200 and that faith in Fernando Santos’s team was rewarded with a thrashing of Switzerland in which all of the pent-up potential in the team was released. As a result, Portugal is now half that price, but if you didn’t back it at the bigger odds, it is still worth a look, given that it has the easiest quarter-final game.

Argentina-backers who kept faith with the team after that opening defeat to Saudi Arabia have been rewarded with three successive wins. The latest victory, against Australia, may not look that impressive on paper, but Argentina was in complete control throughout, allowing its opponents only one shot on target in the entire game and outscoring Australia by some distance on Expected Goals.

The Netherlands is not to be underestimated in the upcoming quarter-final match up but Argentina is the favorite to win that one, and that could set up a semi-final against Brazil, for which Argentina is uniquely well-suited. Of all the nations in the soccer world, Argentina is the one that is least likely to fear Brazil and the most likely to raise its game to new heights to take on the favorites.

Argentina has drawn one and won two of its last five against its fiercest rival and if it does end up playing Brazil in the semi-final, is capable of matching Neymar and team-mates in what would be a compelling World Cup clash between two excellent teams.

Croatia may also technically be a good bet. It has lengthened since that narrow win over Japan on penalties, and although it has to face Brazil in the quarter-finals, its odds in the tournament winners’ market should not be as high as they are currently. According to the sportsbooks, Croatia is a less likely winner of the competition than Morocco and that cannot be right, given that Morocco’s quarter final opponent Portugal has now shown the same kind of form as that of Brazil.

ArgentinaTo win World Cup
★★★★☆
+600
Bet now
CroatiaTo win World Cup
★★★★★
+4000
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World Cup Futures After Round Two Betting Tips and Picks

We’ve seen more shocks and surprises in the second round of World Cup Group games, but Brazil remains the favorite to lift the famous golden trophy.

Who do Bettors Favor?

Checking out the latest World Cup winner odds with the best-rated online sportsbooks we can see that Brazil has continued to tighten in price as bettors make them stronger favorites. The five-time winners are in to +250 with most sportsbooks, and have a big lead over the rest of the field. France has overtaken Spain in the chasing Group while Argentina has also shortened in to +800. England, by contrast, has drifted to +1000 on the back of a lackluster display against the USA.

World Cup WinnerBetOnline ReviewMyBookie ReviewBetUS Review
Brazil+250+240+250
France+575+530+550
Spain+700+630+650
Argentina+850+770+800
England+1000+960+1000
Germany+1250+1150+1200
Portugal+1200+1075+1100
Netherlands+1600+1350+1400
Croatia+5000+4900+5000
Denmark+6000+5800+6000
Belgium+6600+6400+6000

Brazil Still Clear of the Rest

While some of its rivals have faltered in their opening two games, Brazil has recorded two dominant wins, over Serbia and Switzerland and is clear of the rest in the futures betting markets. Both wins required plenty of patience as the first goal in each game in the last half an hour, but twice now Brazil has found a way to win and that should set the team up well for the rest of the tournament.

For bettors, however, the issue is whether to wager on Brazil at ever-shrinking odds. Having recommended a bet when the price was closer to +300, right now Brazil offers only moderate value in the futures markets, and it might pay to hold fire for the moment.

Spain a Better Pick than France

France has passed Spain in the World Cup Winner futures markets, but Spain looks a better pick. Luis Enrique’s team demolished Costa Rica, and was on top for most of its game against Germany. The fact that Spain ultimately drew that match does not mean a great deal in the overall narrative of the tournament but is has been enough to hold their price and they still look a good pick.

For Didier Deschamps’ team, it has been smooth progress so far, as France followed up a big win over Australia with a solid victory against Denmark, but France was too short a price before the second round of games and at even smaller odds, makes even less appeal now. I still have concerns about France’s depth over the remainder of the tournament and I can’t pick them at this price.

Spain To win World Cup
★★★★★
+700
Bet now

Avoid England and Germany

After the first round of Group fixtures, I advised bettors to hold off on backing England until we had seen it play a second game, and the poor performance against the USA alarmed the markets, with the result that England’s price is now significantly bigger.

If you are inclined to wager on England, this is the best time, but I have doubts about its ability to balance defense and offense and get the most out of its attacking players. Avoiding England looks the safest play at this point, and the same goes for a German team that looks defensively vulnerable.

Other World Cup Futures Bets

After the first round of fixtures, I’d hoped that Belgium would find some form, but the dispiriting loss to Morocco suggests this is a group of players who have already mentally checked out of the tournament. Having already recommended Roberto Martinez’s team at the same price in the World Cup futures market, there is no need to back them again.

As expected, Argentina won its second Group game and is well-placed to win Group C, though looks short enough in the tournament winners’ market.

Two teams that stand out at this point are Croatia and Portugal and both are worth a bet. Croatia started slow, drawing its opening game with Morocco, but the form of that draw looks a lot better in hindsight and the 2018 World Cup runners-up impressed in demolishing Canada in its second game. This is a squad packed with big tournament experience and looks an outstanding bet at these odds.

Portugal is also worth considering. The issue for the 2016 European champions was whether manager Fernando Santos could get the best out of his array of attacking talents. That question was answered by a high-scoring win over Ghana in its opening game, and Portugal showed resilience and invention to find a way past a stubborn Uruguay in its second. This squad has plenty of experience, good organization, great team spirit and a dynamic group of attacking stars and is a must-bet at these odds.

Portugal To win World Cup
★★★★★
+1200
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CroatiaTo win World Cup
★★★★★
+5000
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World Cup Futures Betting Tips and Picks

The first round of World Cup Group games has produced plenty of surprises but Brazil are still the favorites betting pick for soccer betting fans.

Who do Bettors Favor?

Looking at the odds on the World Cup winner with the best-rated online sportsbooks we can see that Brazil are even stronger favorites with World Cup bettors than they were before the tournament began. The five-time winners are as short as +275 with some sportsbooks, and well clear of the rest. Spain at odds of +695 lead the chasing pack, along with England and France, locked together on +700.

World Cup WinnerBetOnline ReviewMyBookie Review
Brazil+265+228
Spain+675+650
France+700+640
England+700+650
Argentina+875+890
Portugal+1300+1175
Netherlands+1300+1375
Belgium+2200+2200
Germany+2800+2700
Denmark+4000+4400

Brazil Justified Favorites

Argentina and Germany have already experienced unexpected defeat so Brazil’s opening game against Serbia loomed as potential upset. Yet Brazil were able to answer an important question about their ability to stay patient and find a way to unlock a well organised defense.

The result should provide a template for them over the course of the rest of the tournament, and with a frightening away of forward firepower at their disposal, they are justified favorites, whose price is only likely to shrink further from this point.

BrazilTo win World Cup
★★★★★
+265
Bet now

Spain Make Statement

Luis Enrique’s Spanish team was highly rated by some pundits ahead of this tournament but there were doubts about whether they were ready to reach the latter stages of a tournament or whether they would need another two years to start to fulfil their promise.

Time will tell, of course, but an opening 7-0 thrashing of Costa Rica was a pretty impressive statement of intent, and with Germany losing to Japan, Spain look poised to take control of what was expected to be a tough Group E. Finishing top of this Group would also enable them to avoid Belgium in the Round of 16, and make them favorites to reach the quarter-finals.

Their odds to win Group E look too short, but that is not the case in the Winners Market and although they have climbed the ranks they still offer a touch of value.

SpainTo win World Cup
★★★★★
+675
Bet now

Concerns Over French Depth

Like Spain, France also made an impressive start to their World Cup, putting four goals past Australia, but although they are rated alongside Spain in the Tournament Winners’ market, there are major concerns about their ability to go all the way and defend their title.

The last-minute injury to Karim Benzema did solve a problem for French manager Didier Deschamps, as he has been freed up to play Olivier Giroud with Kylian Mbappe up front. However, over the course of the tournament, Benzema’s absence, along with that of Paul Pogba and N’golo Kante, raises concerns about the depth of experience in this French squad and makes them of limited appeal as a bet.

England Not a Good Option

There was a lot to like about the way that England answered some of their critics in their opening Group B game, and with so much young talent in their ranks, they have the potential to go deep into this tournament. But their relative youth also means they may be prone to inconsistency.

There is also the problem of their remaining two Group B games: against Wales and the USA. Both are likely to be a lot tougher than their fixture against Iran, and both teams are likely to raise their game in an attempt to secure a famous win over a highly rated opponent. Wales in particular would delight in securing a World Cup victory over their near rivals.

For these reasons, betting on England in the futures markets, either to win the tournament or Group B, looks a risky option and it might pay to wait until after their second Group game.

Other World Cup Futures Bets

One team that stands out in the Tournament Winners’ market at the World Cup is Belgium. Admittedly, they were not that impressive in their opening game against Canada, but they still found a way to win, and have plenty of experience of getting out of the Group stages of major tournaments. Their squad remains one of the strongest in the world and they are too high a price at the moment.

I also like Argentina’s chances of winning Group C. They were humiliated against Saudi Arabia, but they didn’t play badly and dominated the play. If they can put that behind them psychologically they have a strong team and can win both of their remaining games to top the Group.

BelgiumTo win World Cup
★★★★☆
+2200
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ArgentinaTo win Group C
★★★★★
+150
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Find out everything about sports betting Here!