College Football Week 10 Betting Preview: DJ Durkin Got Fired

  • I don’t like Arizona at all
  • Maryland just fired DJ Durkin, and are only 3-point underdogs
  • Let’s go with Mark Dantonio here, shall we?

We finished 1-1 last week, which brings us to 17-13-0 for the season. This week’s odds come from Bovada.

Colorado at Arizona

Team Spread
Colorado +3.0 (-110)
Arizona -3.0 (-110)

The first thing you should know is that Colorado is the better team. To whit:

Colorado at Arizona Statistical Comparison

2018 Stat Colorado Arizona
Record 5-3 4-5
S&P+ Defensive Rank 57th 62nd
S&P+ Offensive Rank 68th 81st
S&P+ Overall Rank 65th 73rd

The second thing is that Arizona has a lot of the ingredients you look for in an overrated team. They’ve got a big-name coach in Kevin Sumlin. They’ve got a meteorically talented quarterback, in Khalil Tate.

They’re also up against a team that’s not a traditional power within the conference but has been scary all year. The Buffs did lose an ugly game to Oregon State, who should not be beating anybody, but on the whole they’ve performed well enough to attract some attention.

Betting Advice: Let’s take the statistically better team (Colorado) and the points.

Michigan State at Maryland

Team Spread
Michigan State -3.0 (-110)
Maryland +3.0 (-11)

You won’t see me pick a lot of road favorites, but I will take Michigan State over a team that just fired its coach any day.

Michigan State vs Maryland Statistical Comparison

2018 Stat Michigan State Maryland
Record 5-3 5-3
S&P+ Defensive Rank 14th 37th
S&P+ Offensive Rank 102nd 89th
S&P+ Overall Rank 33rd 54th

That’s right: Maryland has fired DJ Durkin. They said they might, and then said they wouldn’t, and then finally did. It was a process that took roughly nine thousand days and a series of meeting that never seemed to end.

After all that turmoil, you’re left with a mediocre football team that’s been torn apart by internal turmoil and stripped of its already-bad head coach. They’re going up against one of the most consistently well-coached and physical teams in their conference, who can secure bowl eligibility with this win. I think this game will be a lot more lopsided than a three-point spread.

Betting Advice: I love Michigan State here, even as a favorite.

Geoff Johnson

MTS co-founder Geoff Johnson is a lifelong Mets fan, something he can't do anything about. He has a great track record when it comes to wagering on baseball – largely because he's more than willing to bet against the Mets. His career profits are impressive, but not quite as good as his handsome friend Frank Lorenzo. He wishes he hadn't let Frank write his profile.