Updated Super Bowl Odds After Week 1 of NFL Season

  • The Chiefs (+500) and Ravens (+575) saw their Super Bowl odds shorten after impressive victories on the NFL’s opening weekend
  • Seattle (+1200), Arizona (+2500) and the Rams (+3300) are all trending up in the NFC West
  • Tom Brady’s Buccaneers (+1600) should rebound from their Week 1 loss to the Saints (+900) with a run of winnable games upcoming

Following a fun opening weekend of the NFL season, many football pundits have probably advised you not to overreact to Week 1 results.

But oddsmakers have certainly made wild adjustments to their projected outcomes, moving the Seahawks up to a +1200 Super Bowl favorites from +2200 before the season, and dropping the Eagles and Colts from +2000 to +4000 after both suffered upset losses.

As we’ll be doing every Tuesday of the NFL regular season, let’s examine all the risers and fallers on the BetOnline board and identify some potential values.

ODDS TO WIN SUPER BOWL 54

Team Current Odds Trending Before Season
Kansas City Chiefs +500 +650
Baltimore Ravens +575 +700
New Orleans Saints +900 +1000
San Francisco 49ers +1200 +1000
Seattle Seahawks +1200 +2200
Tampa Bay Buccaneers +1600 +1200
Buffalo Bills +2000 +2500
Dallas Cowboys +2000 +1600
Green Bay Packers +2000 +2000
New England Patriots +2200 +2000
Pittsburgh Steelers +2200 +2200
Tennessee Titans +2500 +2800
Arizona Cardinals +2800 +5000
Los Angeles Rams +3300 +6000
Indianapolis Colts +4000 +2000
Minnesota Vikings +4000 +2500
Philadelphia Eagles +4000 +2000
Atlanta Falcons +5000 +5000
Chicago Bears +5000 +4000
Las Vegas Raiders +5000 +8000
Los Angeles Chargers +5000 +5000
Cleveland Browns +6600 +3000
Houston Texans +7500 +6600
Denver Broncos +8000 +5000
Detroit Lions +10000 +6600
Washington +10000 +50000
New York Giants +12500 +8000
Carolina Panthers +15000 +15000
Cincinnati Bengals +20000 +15000
Jacksonville Jaguars +20000 +25000
Miami Dolphins +25000 +10000
New York Jets +25000 +125000

RISING UP THE BOARD

Any thoughts that Lamar Jackson would fall back to earth were quickly dispelled by a dominant three-touchdown performance by the reigning MVP in an easy 38-6 win over the Browns.

Like the Chiefs (+500), who got a big performance from rookie running back Clyde-Edwards Helaire (138 yards, TD) in their 34-20 win over the Texans on Thursday, the Ravens (+575) saw their second-round selection pay immediate dividends as J.K. Dobbins punched in two touchdowns in his debut.

While Kansas City and Baltimore cemented their favorite status, the Seahawks (+1200) are now viewed as top-five contenders. Seattle’s 38-25 win over Atlanta was certainly impressive, but what likely caught oddsmakers’ attention was that Pete Carroll actually “let Russ cook”.

Wilson dropped back to pass on 18 of their 25 offensive plays in the first half and finished with 322 passing yards and four scores.

The Cardinals (+2800) and Rams (+3300) also saw their odds shorten from +5000 and +6000 before the season, as each franchise scored huge upsets over the 49ers and Cowboys on Sunday. After one week of football, one thing is certain: the NFC West is the NFL’s most competitive division.

IDENTIFYING VALUES

San Francisco‘s odds fell slightly from +1000 to +1200 following their 24-20 loss to Arizona, which we predicted in our weekly picks column. Despite injuries to George Kittle and Deebo Samuel, the 49ers have a wonderful opportunity to right the ship with two games against the Jets and Giants on tap.

Tom Brady’s two-interception debut in a 34-23 loss to the Saints (+900) caused the Buccaneers’ odds to dip from +1200 to +1600, but keep in mind that oddsmakers see New Orleans as a top-three team. It’s not time to worry about ‘Tompa Bay’ unless they drop one of their next four contests against the Panthers, Chargers, Broncos and Bears.

The Colts, Eagles and Vikings all saw their odds double to +4000 after each suffered humiliating Week 1 losses to divisional opponents in Jacksonville, Washington and Green Bay.

While neither is a great bet to hoist the Lombardi Trophy, Philadelphia has the best quarterback of the three in Carson Wentz.

The same logic could apply to Deshaun Watson’s Texans (+7500), however, the Eagles are probably the NFL’s best value considering they were missing sophomore running back Miles Sanders and key players across the offensive line in Week 1.

Best value play: Eagles (+4000) at BetOnline    

 

Steve Dominey

Steve has almost 15 years of experience in marketing, PR and sports television. After acquiring a Journalism degree from Carleton University, he assembled highlight packs for Canada's most-watched sports network (TSN) before transitioning to a career in communications. He describes himself as a good father, great dog owner, and mediocre gambler and husband.