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- What: UFC 314 Main Event
- Who: Alexander Volkanovski Vs. Diego Lopes
- Date: Saturday, April 12, 2025
- Location: Kaseya Center in Miami, Florida
- Time: Early Prelims (6:00 p.m. ET), Prelims (8:00 p.m. ET), Pay-Per-View Card (10:00 p.m. ET)
- How to Watch: Early Prelims (ESPN+) Prelims (ESPN), Main Card (ESPN+ PPV)
The next pay-per-view card on the UFC schedule, UFC 314, takes place on Saturday, April 12 from Kaseya Center in Miami, Florida. With Ilia Topuria vacating the UFC featherweight title for a move to lightweight, the UFC 314 main event will crown a new UFC featherweight champion. In that title fight, former champion Alexander Volkanovski faces the fast-rising Diego Lopes. Volkanovski is the No. 1 ranked UFC featherweight, while Lopes checks in at No. 3 in the 145-pound weight class. Before we look at the betting breakdown for the UFC 314 main event, here is some information on Volkanovski and Lopes.
Alexander Volkanovski (26-4) held the UFC featherweight title from December 2019 through February 2024. He defended the belt five times before losing to Topuria by knockout. He has not competed since that setback. His two other UFC losses were to UFC lightweight champion Islam Makhachev.
Diego Lopes (26-6) is on a five-fight winning streak and coming off a September 2024 knockout win over former UFC featherweight title challenger Brian Ortega. Lopes has three finishes during that run.
Before we look at the best bets for Alexander Volkanovski Vs. Diego Lopes on the UFC 314 PPV card, check out the best UFC betting sites and where you can find the best odds on all the UFC fights.
UFC 314 Main Event: Alexander Volkanovski Vs. Diego Lopes betting picks
| To Win UFC Feathereight Title |  |  |  |
| Alexander Volkanovski | -150 | -150 | -151 |
| Diego Lopes | +130 | +130 | +118 |
UFC 314 betting breakdown: Alexander Volkanovski
Alexander Volkanovski was unbeaten as a UFC featherweight until he faced Topuria. He is 13-1 at 145 pounds in the UFC. H Volkanovski has 13 career wins by knockout, three submission victories, and 10 decision triumphs during an MMA career that began in 2012. The 36-year-old has three career knockout losses and one decision setback.
Volkanovski is a measured fighter who manages distance well and has the ability to move in and out of range without much difficulty. He is an extremely well-disciplined fighter who can make incremental in battle adjustments. His fight IQ is one of the highest of any fighter on the UFC roster. An Australian fighter who works with several teams, Volkanovski lands his significant strikes at an impressive rate of 6.16 per minute while absorbing 3.44 significant strikes himself. His plus 2.96 striking differential is the highest in UFC featherweight history, and his significant striking accuracy of 56.5 percent is sixth-highest all-time in the division. In addition to his striking prowess, Volkanovski lands 1.78 takedowns per 15 minutes, and he can impose his will on that mat if the fight goes there.
Volkanovski is one of the most well-rounded fighters in the 145-pound division, and he is in the conversation when discussing the best fighter in the history of the UFC featherweight division.
UFC 314 betting breakdown: Diego Lopes
At 30, Diego Lopes has been with the UFC since May 2023. He lost his UFC debut, dropping a decision to Movsar Evloev, but since that setback, Lopes is 5-0 with three first-round stoppage wins. He has gone the distance eight times in his career, winning four bouts and losing four. Of his wins, 10 have come by knockout and 12 via submission. His two other losses are both by knockout. He has not fought in a five-round contest since he lost the Fury FC featherweight belt by split decision in 2021.
Lopes is a dangerous grappler with a wealth of talent on the mat. He has heavy hands, and he is a fighter who wants to get a finish every time he steps into the Octagon. He throws a lot of combinations and he uses pressure on the feet. However, he can sometimes get a bit wild with his striking. Lopes lands 4.20 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy of 53 percent. He absorbs 4.11 significant strikes per minute.
Lopes has all the tools to compete at the top of the division, and although he doesn’t have the high-level experience of Volkanovski, he has made many believe he is a future champion.
Lopes answered some questions in his win over Ortega but faces a much tougher puzzle in Volkanovski at UFC 314.
Best Bets: UFC 313 main event – Alexander Volkanovski Vs. Diego Lopes
Diego Lopes is a talented fighter, but he lacks the poise, control, and fight IQ of his UFC 314 opponent, Alexander Volkanovski. There is a chance Lopes gets the win via his power and speed, but Lopes is not on par with Ilia Topuria, the only man to defeat Volkanovski at 145 pounds. This fight will be a valuable learning experience for Lopes, but he won’t win.
The betting pick is for Alexander Volkanovski to beat Diego Lopes via decision.
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