The penultimate race of the F1 season is the 2023 Las Vegas Grand Prix. The race takes place this Sunday, and it will be the third race to be held in the United States this year. Max Verstappen (-325) is the favorite to win. And in our latest Formula 1 betting picks, we tell you if he is worth betting on as he aims for his 18th win of the season.
- What; 2023 Las Vegas Grand Prix – Round 22
- Where; Las Vegas Street Circuit, Las Vegas, Nevada
- When; Sunday, November 19th, 2023
- Time; 1 am ET
- Laps; 50
- Track Length; 6.201 km
- Race Distance; 310.05 km
Max Verstappen won his 17th race of the season in Brazil in Round 21. It wasn’t his most comfortable race of the year, and he was pushed by Lando Norris, who finished in an impressive second place. Despite the attempts from Norris to beat the world champion, the Dutchman still had enough to hold off the challenge from McLaren.
The race meant that for once, the Red Bull driver didn’t have things all his way. But it also further underlined the fact that the driver/car relationship between Verstappen and Red Bull looks almost unbeatable.
Betting to win the 2023 Las Vegas Grand Prix
Despite Verstappen looking unbeatable, he has slightly better odds to win in Nevada than he did to win in Sao Paulo. Max Verstappen was -400 to win in Brazil but is -325 for victory in Vegas. Behind Verstappen, Lando Norris is +850 second favorite. The British driver was +1400 in Brazil two weekends ago. The big betting change has seen Lewis Hamilton go from +800 second favorite in Brazil to +1400 third favorite in Vegas. Norris and Hamilton have seen their odds flip with the best Formula 1 betting sites.
After Mercedes’ terrible weekend at the in Brazil, team boss Toto Wolff says he doesn’t know how the team will perform at the Las Vegas Grand Prix.#F1 #MercedesAMGF1 #LasVegasGP https://t.co/fxEjc9Eggn
— Mercedes F1 News – SilverArrows.Net (@SilverArrowsNet) November 11, 2023
This is down to the poor performance of the Mercedes cars in Brazil. After two impressive performances from the team, Hamilton’s eighth-place finish at Interlagos was a setback. In a weekend that also saw George Russell record a DNF, Mercedes boss Toto Wolff was quoted as saying “Inexcusable performance,” when asked how the car that finished second in the previous race in Mexico could be 63 seconds behind Verstappen in Brazil.
This also all but finishes any hope Hamilton had of finishing second in the Drivers Championship. In the betting to win the Drivers Championship without Verstappen, Sergio Perez is now -1200, with Lewis Hamilton at +600. In the week before the race, Perez was -175, and Hamilton was +125.
Elsewhere in the betting to win the 2023 Las Vegas Grand Prix, Sergio Perez is +1600 to win the race. The Mexican will be buoyed by his improved performance in Brazil, where he finished a respectable fourth despite failing to catch Fernando Alonso in an epic duel on the finish line.
Charles Leclerc is at +1800, with his Ferrari teammate Carlos Sainz at +2000. George Russell is next at +2800, with Oscar Piastri and Fernando Alonso at +3300.
What’s the Las Vegas F1 Circuit like?
This will be the first time this circuit has been used for a Formula 1 race. Right in the heart of downtown Las Vegas, the street circuit is 6.2km long, with 17 turns. Iconic venues like Caesars Palace, the Bellagio, and the Venetian will be visible as the cars speed past.
According to the official F1 website, the average speeds are expected to match Monza, which is known as “F1’s ‘Temple of Speed’. The race in Italy earlier this year was won by Max Verstappen, with Sergio Perez second and Carlos Sainz in third. Ferrari’s Sainz also started in the Pole Position. Charles Leclerc finished in fourth place, with George Russell fifth and Lewis Hamilton sixth. The Italian Grand Prix was also a poor race for Lando Norris, who finished in eighth place.
Drivers to watch at the Las Vegas Grand Prix
If we are going to use the 2023 Italian Grand Prix as a guide to this race, then I think we can safely forget about Mercedes, and focus on Red Bull and Ferrari. The race took place in early September, and at that point of the season, the performance of the McLarens had also picked up. They did seem to drop off a bit in September, before coming good again over the past few races. This makes a call on Lando Norris a bit more difficult to predict.
Red Bull have consistently outperformed Ferrari this season. Max Verstappen is the man to beat, and at -325 to win on Sunday, a bet on the triple-World Champion could be worthwhile. He knows he is setting records that may never be beaten, and as such we feel he will be focussed on winning the two remaining races.
We are going to have a side wager on his inconsistent teammate, Sergio Perez for our F1 betting pick this weekend. Perez drove well at Monza, and if this circuit suits him, he may well be worth backing to win at +1800. Perez is also worth considering to pick for a podium finish.
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