Max Verstappen priced as a lock to win third straight Japanese Grand Prix

  • Max Verstappen (-500) is a massive favorite to win his third-consecutive Japanese Grand Prix
  • Carlos Sainz (+1600) picked up his third-career victory at the Australian GP to put Ferrari back into contention in the constructors’ standings
  • The 53-lap, 3.6-mile Suzuka International Racing Course circuit hosts Round 4 of the Formula 1 season on August 7, 2024

Max Verstappen won his second-consecutive Japanese Grand Prix last September and carried a nine-race winning streak into the Australian Grand Prix.  However, brake issues forced the three-time reigning world champion to retire from the third event on the Formula 1 calendar.

Will the Dutchman get back on track in Japan? Before we check the odds, here’s where you can find the top Formula 1 betting sites in 2024 and get Formula 1 Chinese Grand Prix Odds for the upcoming race.

2024 Japanese Grand Prix

DriverBetOnline ReviewBovadaMyBookie Review
Max Verstappen-500-500-500
Sergio Perez+1100+1100+1100
Carlos Sainz+1600+1600+1600
Charles Leclerc+1600+1600+1600
Lando Norris+2500+2500+2500
George Russell+3300+3300+3300
Lewis Hamilton+3300+3300+3300
Oscar Piastri+3300+3300+3300
Fernando Alonso+6600+6600+6600
Lance Stroll+10000+10000+10000
Alexander Albon+50000+50000+50000
Daniel Ricciardo+50000+50000+50000
Esteban Ocon+50000+50000+50000
Guanyu Zhou+50000+50000+50000
Kevin Magnussen+50000+50000+50000
Logan Sargeant+50000+50000+50000
Nico Hulkenberg+50000+50000+50000
Pierre Gasly+50000+50000+50000
Valtteri Bottas+50000+50000+50000
Yuki Tsunoda+50000+50000+50000

Verstappen favored heavily

Max Verstappen (-500) finished atop the podium in Bahrain and Saudi Arabia, but suffered his first DNF since 2022 at the Melbourne Grand Prix Circuit. The right rear brake failure cost the 26-year-old a chance at a record-equaling 10th Grands Prix win in a row.

There’s rumors of unrest behind the scenes at Red Bull between team boss Christian Horner, senior advisor Helmut Marko and Verstappen. Chief mechanic Lee Stevenson also just departed the team and many believe the star driver may be Mercedes-bound.

Suzuka International Racing Course

Verstappen dominated on the Suzuka circuit in 2023, finishing almost 20 seconds clear of his rivals. Designed as a Honda test track in the 60s, the high-speed course is known for its “figure eight” layout and the exhilarating 130R corner. 

While he has two career wins in Japan, the Dutchman still has work to do to catch Michael Schumacher (6) and Lewis Hamilton (5).

Max Verstappento win Japanese Grand Prix
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Carlos Sainzto win Japanese Grand Prix
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Red Bull domination?

Sergio Perez (+1100) placed second in Bahrain and Saudi Arabia, behind his Red Bull teammate, but couldn’t capitalize on Verstappen’s early exit in Australia. The Mexican finished fifth after a visor tear-off reportedly got stuck under his car’s floor and slowed him down.

Perez finished second in the drivers standings in 2023, 290 points behind Verstappen and 51 points ahead of seven-time champion Lewis Hamilton.

Will Ferrari contend in 2024?

Carlos Sainz (+1600) and Charles Leclerc (+1600), the two Ferrari teammates, share the same odds. Leclerc (47) is only four points behind Verstappen (57) in the drivers standings while Sainz (40) sits in fourth place behind Perez (46). Following a 1-2 finish in Melbourne, the Scuderia are only four points back in the constructors’ championship.

Sainz picked up his third-career victory at the Australian GP after missing the previous race following emergency surgery for appendicitis. With Lewis Hamilton set to take over his seat ay Ferrari next season, the 29-year-old Spaniard could end up replacing Perez at Red Bull next year.

Best Longshot

In all likelihood, Max Verstappen (-500) will resume his winning ways in Japan and take home his third-straight victory on the circuit. But, let’s go with longshot Lando Norris (+2500), who claimed the final spot on the podium at the Australian GP.

McLaren’s F1 car has performed well on high-speed corners this season, which should translate to the Japanese GP. The 24-year-old Brit also secured a second place finish on the Suzuka circuit last year.

Lando Norristo win Japanese Grand Prix
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Steve Starr

Steve is the quintessential American sports enthusiast. He has mastered the art of Sundays, devoting them to football, and barbecue parties. He proudly wears the hats of a good father, husband and a great dog owner. Aside from his decades of contributing to different top-tier sports publications, Steve has also found his niche on Twitter, where he publishes funny and relatable sports-related insights. When he's not busy tweeting, Steve loves to watch each game unfold live. He possesses an innate talent for finding humor in the sports world, appreciating both the thrilling moments and the comedic mishaps that make each event unique.