Max Verstappen favored for 17th win of the season in São Paulo

Max Verstappen (-400) will be looking for his 17th win of the season when the 2023 Brazilian Grand Prix takes place at Interlagos this Sunday afternoon. It seems that nothing can stop the Dutchman as he breaks record after record in this near-perfect season for Red Bull, and here in our latest Formula 1 betting picks, we are going to tell you if he is also going to win the São Paulo race.

  • What; 2023 São Paulo (Brazilian) Grand Prix – Round 21
  • Where; Autódromo José Carlos Pace, São Paulo, Brazil
  • When; Sunday, November 5th, 2023
  • Time; noon ET
  • Laps; 71
  • Track Length; 4.309 km
  • Race Distance; 305.879 km
  • Most Constructor Wins; McLaren 12
  • Most Driver Wins; Alain Prost 6

Verstappen wins his 16th race of the season in Mexico

Although Max Verstappen won the Mexican Grand Prix at a canter, it was far from a boring race.

An action-packed start to the race saw home favorite Sergio Perez disappoint his Mexican fans by crashing out on the first bend, following a crash with Ferrari’s Charles Leclerc. The crash almost involved Max Verstappen, but the Dutchman managed to keep himself out of the way.

And it seems that a crash is about all that can stop Verstappen from winning at the moment as he glided away to win his 16th race of the season, and in doing so, setting a new record.

Lewis Hamilton finished second, with Charles Leclerc completing the podium places in third.

Betting to win the 2023 Brazilian Grand Prix

After being eased out to -325 to win in Mexico, normal service has resumed, and Max Verstappen is -400 to win the 2023 Brazilian Grand Prix. Second in the betting behind the Dutchman is Lewis Hamilton at +800, with Lando Norris at +1400 and Sergio Perez at +1600.

George Russell is at +2000, with Charles Leclerc at +2800 and Carlos Sainz and Oscar Piastri, both at +3300. Full race betting is available on our F1 odds table. The odds we have used are from the best Formula 1 betting sites.

DriverBovadaBetOnline ReviewMyBookie Review
Max Verstappen-400-400-400
Lewis Hamilton+800+800+800
Lando Norris+1400+1400+1400
Sergio Perez+1600+1600+1600
George Russell+2000+2000+2000
Charles Leclerc+2800+2800+2800
Carlos Sainz+3300+3300+3300
Oscar Piastri+3300+3300+3300
Fernando Alonso+10000+10000+10000
Pierre Gasly+25000+25000+25000
Esteban Ocon+25000+25000+25000
Lance Stroll+50000+50000+50000
Alex Albon+50000+50000+50000
Valtteri Bottas+50000+50000+50000
Guanyu Zhou+50000+50000+50000
Kevin Magnussen+50000+50000+50000
Yuki Tsunoda+50000+50000+50000
Nico Hulkenberg+50000+50000+50000
Logan Sargeant+50000+50000+50000
Daniel Ricciardo+50000+50000+50000

What happened to Max Verstappen in Brazil in 2022?

Looking back at the result of the previous year’s race can often give us a good indication of what might happen this time around. Like last weekend’s race in Mexico, it’s also fair to say that the 2022 edition of the Brazilian Grand Prix was eventful. The race was won by George Russell, with Lewis Hamilton finishing second and Carlos Sainz third. The fastest lap also went to Russell, with Kevin Magnussen of Haas-Ferrari starting the race in Pole Position.

Weather and crashes played a major role in qualifying. Before most of the race favorites had posted a competitive time, George Russell spun off the track, resulting in a red flag. Before the session could resume, the rain had gotten much heavier and no driver could match the pre-rain time set by Magnussen.

Verstappen still started from second on the grid but somehow got involved in an incident with Lewis Hamilton after the deployment of the virtual safety car. As a result, Verstappen needed to pit to get a new front wing, and he also received a five-second time penalty.

It’s easy to look at the result from 2022 and assume the circuit didn’t suit the Red Bulls. But when you dig deeper and find that Verstappen was involved in an incident that resulted in a pit stop and a 5-second penalty, you can see why he only finished sixth. You can only assume that if the virtual safety car hadn’t been deployed, none of that would have happened, and the Dutchman may well have won the race, as he did in 2019.

This was also the race when Verstappen famously ignored team orders and refused to let Sergio Perez pass him.

Drivers to follow this weekend

The four best performers last weekend in Mexico were Max Verstappen, Lewis Hamilton, Lando Norris, and Daniel Ricciardo.

Max Verstappen (-400) is in form every week. But Lewis Hamilton (+800) seems to have his tail up and is closing in on Sergio Perez (+1600) in second place in the championship. Perez needs to respond after his disastrous performance in front of his home fans. But it would take a huge leap of faith to back the Mexican driver.

Lando Norris (+1400) started in 19th place on the grid and drove an outstanding race to finish 5th. While Daniel Ricciardo (+50000) rolled back the years to start 4th on the grid and eventually finished 7th in his AlphaTauri.

Our 2023 Brazilian Grand Prix Picks

For our F1 betting picks this week, it’s not likely that any of those three can beat Max Verstappen. But, it does have to be said that Hamilton and Norris are both performing well enough to take advantage of any slip-ups from the Red Bull team.

Backing Max Verstappen is the obvious bet if you just want to back a winner. But if you are after value, which we are, then we would recommend a small wager on Lewis Hamilton (+800) to win, and why not back Charles Leclerc to finish on the podium at +350?

Lewis HamiltonTo win Brazilian Grand Prix
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Charles LeclercTo finish in top three at Brazilian Grand Prix
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Leclerc started last in Pole Position in Mexico. And who knows what effect his coming together with Perez on the opening bend had on the rest of his race. The Ferrari man is also in good form and could surprise a few people this weekend.

Finally, don’t forget there is a Sprint on Saturday. In this race, we are backing Charles Leclerc (+1600) and Lando Norris (+1600).

Charles LeclercTo win 2023 Brazilian Sprint
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Lando Norris To win 2023 Brazilian Sprint
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Dean Etheridge

Hailing from Coventry, England, Dean brings his British wit to every piece he pens. A true lover of a good wager, Dean's passion for both sports and writing has merged into the world of sports betting. Dean is the mastermind behind his very own soccer and cricket betting platforms. As the owner and editor of a renowned football betting website, Dean has established himself as a force within the industry. His expertise as a freelance content writer is centered in the realms of football, cricket and Formula 1. From breaking down odds to unraveling strategies, Dean's writing radiates an unmatched love for sports. When he’s not immersed in sports betting, Dean enjoyes exploring new culinary delights, conquering the latest car racing video games, or getting lost in the pages of a novel.