Buffalo Bills to take down NY Jets in AFC East clash on Sunday

  • Buffalo (5-5) is a 6.5-point home favorite over the Jets (4-5) in Week 11 of the NFL season
  • Josh Allen leads the league in interceptions (11) and turnovers (14) this year
  • Sunday’s contest kicks off from Highmark Stadium in Orchard Park, NY at 4:25pm ET

Buffalo dropped out of the AFC playoff picture with a 24-22 loss to the Broncos on Monday night. Josh Allen and the Bills will now face a Jets team that defeated them in the season opener despite losing Aaron Rodgers in the first drive of the game.

With both fanbases unhappy heading into week 11, let’s check the odds on this crucial AFC East matchup. Before we do, here’s where you can find the best Super Bowl betting tips and the top betting sites for NFL football in 2023.

Bills vs Jets

BetOnline ReviewSpreadMoney LineTotal Points
New York Jets+6.5 (-110)+265Ov 40.5 (-110)
Buffalo Bills-6.5 (-110)-330Un 40.5 (-110)

Josh Allen’s mistakes

Buffalo left 12 men on the field in the final seconds of a 24-22 loss to Denver on Monday, giving Wil Lutz a second chance at the game-winning field goal. It was one of many Bills blunders. James Cook was stripped of the ball on the first play from scrimmage. And Josh Allen fumbled a hand off and tossed two interceptions, one which was the result of a Gabe Davis drop.

Sean McDermott’s club is now 5-5 with the NFL’s third-toughest schedule ahead of them. While this Sunday’s contest with the Jets is winnable, Robert Saleh’s D has given Allen fits recently. The 27-year-old was picked off three times in the week 1 loss to Gang Green. And in two games last year, he was held 352 combined passing yards with a TD and two INTs.

Zach Wilson fails again

New York is coming off back-to-back primetime losses to the Chargers and Raiders. Every week, they trot out Zach Wilson at quarterback despite going 36 consecutive offensive drives and counting without a TD. Wilson had 263 passing yards and rushed for 54 yards in the 16-12 loss to Las Vegas on Sunday night, but the offense was stuck in mud as usual.

However, the Jets defense always gives them a chance. They are allowing the 7th-fewest points per game (19.1) in the NFL and the 3rd-fewest passing yards (169.3). Additionally, Josh Allen leads the NFL in interceptions (11) and turnovers (14).

Buffalo Billsto win
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UNDER 40.5Bills vs Jets
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Buffalo vs New York

Buffalo is a 6.5-point home favorites at Orchard Park on Sunday and the over/under is set at 40.5 points. The low total makes sense given that McDermott’s defense has allowed even fewer points per week than the Jets D (18.4 vs 19.1) despite a cavalcade of injuries.

Ken Dorsey is running the NFL’s 8th-highest scoring attack (26.2 points per week). But, the Bills have averaged less than 18 points per game in the last three matchups with New York. Luckily, that will still be more than enough if Allen can limit his turnovers versus Sauce Gardner and company. Nathaniel Hackett’s offense is averaging just 16 points per game, the 3rd-worst mark leaguewide.

Best Bet

Despite Josh Allen passing for only 147 yards and a TD, the Bills beat Mike White and the Jets by 8 points at Orchard Park last year. While it’s hard to have faith in an up-and-down team that keeps shooting itself in the foot, Buffalo still has an enormous edge at quarterback.

We’re taking the Bills to cover (-6.5) at home on Sunday with the UNDER 40.5.

Buffalo Billsto cover vs Jets
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Steve Starr

Steve is the quintessential American sports enthusiast. He has mastered the art of Sundays, devoting them to football, and barbecue parties. He proudly wears the hats of a good father, husband and a great dog owner. Aside from his decades of contributing to different top-tier sports publications, Steve has also found his niche on Twitter, where he publishes funny and relatable sports-related insights. When he's not busy tweeting, Steve loves to watch each game unfold live. He possesses an innate talent for finding humor in the sports world, appreciating both the thrilling moments and the comedic mishaps that make each event unique.

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