NFL Betting News This Month | Terrion Arnold drama, Offseason grades and more | July, 2026

by Braulio Henandez

Updated: July 1, 2026

It’s wild to think about, but we’ve officially hit July. This means that minicamps are around the corner and then training camp will go into full swing for NFL teams. Then, preseason contests will arrive too? This all means we’re inching closer to the start of the regular season and it’s something that fans across the country can’t wait for. So, how have things changed in recent weeks to impact the new season?

While this is considered the slow time of the offseason, countless headlines have been made due to some off-field drama, while teams are putting the finishing touches on their rosters. We cover all of that in this piece, of course including the rough news out of Detroit that star cornerback Terrion Arnold has been arrested. The Lions made a tough call, but one that didn’t come in as a surprise. In terms of the NFL betting analysis, this is a hit for the Lions.

The biggest NFL betting storylines this month

• To start us off, Terrion Arnold indeed was arrested recently on multiple felony charges. The details of the arrest were quite eye-opening, with him taking part in alleged kidnapping. Not long after it was announced that Arnold was facing those charges, the Lions announced that they were going to release the former University of Alabama standout. Now, his future in the NFL is quite unknown.
• With the Lions releasing Arnold, it’s of course going to have a big impact on the Lions’ NFL betting odds for next season. Throughout recent months, Detroit has been viewed as the favorite to win the NFC North, and then go on a deep run in the postseason. With Arnold no longer in the plans, this is going to hurt the Detroit defense in a big way. It will be interesting to see if the Lions sign someone in free agency to help fill the void.
• In terms of NFL offseason grades, ESPN just came out with its popular summer series, but plenty of eyebrows were raised when only one team received an ‘A’ grade. That’d be the Philadelphia Eagles, who were busy both during the NFL Draft and during free agency. After a disappointing postseason exit last winter, the hope is that Philly can push for a Super Bowl title next year. ESPN seems to have high expectations for them.
• ESPN giving the Rams a C+ also has a lot of people talking, but not in a good way. The Rams remain the Super Bowl betting favorites to win the title next season, but picking Ty Simpson in the first round of the NFL Draft didn’t make sense. With Matthew Stafford signing his massive extension, picking a QB won’t help this team take the next step in 2026. This is something ESPN has surely kept in mind.

#Lions CB Terrion Arnold has been arrested in connection with an armed robbery and kidnapping in Tampa, Florida, earlier this year, and is facing multiple felony charges that carry a maximum sentence of life in prison.

The case will be filed with @HillsboroughSAO. pic.twitter.com/wPhwm1UMW2

— Ari Meirov (@MySportsUpdate) June 25, 2026

Biggest futures, outright and win total moves this month in the NFL

• Speaking of the Rams, their Super Bowl odds keep being changed. Not long ago, LA was set at +650 to win it all, but that line has shifted in a huge way once again, with the Rams currently at +550. This is the best we’ve seen for them this offseason, and it should have fans pretty fired up about what Sean McVay and Co. might be able to get done this season. IT will all be on Stafford, Garrett and the rest of the playmakers.
• While this is good news for the Rams, it’s got to be concerning for the reigning Super Bowl champs. The Seattle Seahawks are still riding high from winning it all, but they’ve seen their odds of repeating take a bit of a dive of late. After previously holding +850 odds, the Hawks are now set at +1000, which speaks to how great LA is looking. With the Rams being an NFC West rival, this makes things even worse for Seattle, who will hope to improve its NFL playoffs betting odds.
• One thing to keep in mind too is that Arnold being released by the Lions is also going to impact the outlook in the NFC as a whole, and not just in the NFC North. In terms of the conference odds, the Rams hold the best odds obviously, with the Seahawks and 49ers behind them. With the defense taking a hit, Detroit now holds the No. 4 odds to win the NFC this season, placed at +850. That’s disappointing to see for sure.

Most bet NFL props and markets

With camps around the corner, there’s no question that people continue to be excited about rookies getting ready to make their debuts in the league once September gets here. Right now, there continues to be a lot of buzz on who will end up winning the Offensive Rookie of the Year honor. As you might have been able to guess, there are two players in particular who are getting the most betting love right now: Fernando Mendoza and Jeremiyah Love.

Previously, Mendoza was a massive favorite, however, the odds have since been adjusted a bit. As things stand on July 1, Mendoza has been placed with +320 odds, but Love is right behind him at +400. This tells us that the NFL Vegas oddsmakers strongly believe that this could be a close battle from start to finish in 2026. Mendoza is getting ready to start his career with the Raiders, while Love is suiting up for the Cardinals.

Another strong NFL betting market getting a ton of volume is the Defensive Player of the Year race. As you probably could imagine, things are expected to come down to either Myles Garrett or Micah Parsons. They are two of the best pass-rushers in the NFL, as the two former first-round picks were born to take down quarterbacks. Garrett is a small favorite at +250, but Parsons is at +600. Should Garrett help LA win the NFC West, you can expect those odds to keep climbing this winter.

.@PriscoCBS ranks Myles Garrett No. 1 on his ‘Top 100 NFL Players of 2026’ 👀

“With Garrett at the top and Rams QB Matt Stafford, fresh off an MVP season, at No. 2, the Rams have the two best players in the league heading into the 2026 season.”

🔗: https://t.co/AegxXR5A9e pic.twitter.com/AbKfZ8nStJ

— SleeperNFL (@SleeperNFL) June 25, 2026

NFL betting trends bettors are watching

In terms of the fun NFL betting trends that people are keeping a close eye on leading up to the season, one in particular is on where star wideout Brandon Aiyuk is going to play next season. The speedy pass-catcher has gone through a wild offseason split with the San Francisco 49ers, which has included him calling out the organization on social media. This has closed the door on him playing for the NFC West contenders in the future.

In terms of fun NFL prop betting, there has been betting interest in Aiyuk eventually signing for the Commanders. He has voiced his support for Washington, and with them being in the NFC East, it’d make sense for him to potentially join them. Nothing is expected to get finalized soon, though, so this offseason drama could lead into August. No one knows, for now, where Aiyuk will be playing, but the bets keep coming in on guesses as to where he might head.

Another major trend people are following is the fact that Josh Allen has separated himself a little bit in the 2026 NFL MVP race. No one can argue that Allen and Lamar Jackson are among the best players in the sport. However, for the longest time, they had even odds for MVP. Since then, though, as of July 1, Allen is the solo favorite with +500 odds. Jackson is behind him at +600. This is another betting market that’s going to continue to shift from start to finish this fall and winter.

Steve Palazzolo explains why, over the last few years, you can make the argument that Josh Allen has been more consistent than Patrick Mahomes or Lamar Jackson 😳

“Lamar has had the highest highs and probably the lowest lows. Mahomes has probably been the worst of the three,… pic.twitter.com/y3hvnQP24x

— Check the Mic with Steve Palazzolo & Sam Monson (@CTM_Show) June 30, 2026

What could move NFL odds next?

With the heart of the summer coming, it means that players and coaches are going to enjoy their final sets of vacations before camps get going. For now, there isn’t much that’s going to change the odds until camps begin. There are going to be some offseason injuries to keep an eye on, and then of course some final free agency moves. However, most of the odds will stay pretty similar leading up to the preseason. With that, here are the divisional odds as of July 1 for you to take a look at.

• Buffalo Bills to win the AFC East at -130
• Baltimore Ravens to win the AFC North at -140
• Houston Texans to win the AFC South at +170
• Kansas City Chiefs to win the AFC West at +180
• Philadelphia Eagles to win the NFC East at +140
• Detroit Lions to win the NFC North at +190
• Tampa Bay Bucs to win the NFC South at +165
• Los Angeles Rams to win the NFC West at +125

NFL previous news updates

• [June 2026]: The Myles Garrett trade by the Cleveland Browns turned the NFL world upside down, as the Rams defense is now looking unstoppable for next season. 
• [May 2026]: Rookie minicamps took place and major news arrived for the Rams with Matthews Stafford coming to terms with the Super Bowl favorites on a new big-money contract. 
• [April 2026]: The NFL Draft was completed, with betting markets gaining traction. Odds have been adjusted for teams after adding top talent throughout the seven rounds of the draft. On top of that, some more free agency moves have been posted.
• [March 2026]: National Football League trade activity impacts the board, with high-profile player moves causing immediate shifts in division and Super Bowl markets.
• [March 2026]: National Football League free agency reshapes futures odds, with teams adding elite quarterbacks or defensive pieces shortening from +2000 into the +1200 range.
• [February 2026]: Super Bowl LX closes the market, with the New England Patriots shortening late to win, driving final line movement as sharp money backed their defense.