Burrow’s Bengals to upset Ravens on the road on Thursday Night Football

  • Baltimore (7-3) is a 4-point home favorite over the Bengals (5-4) on Thursday Night Football
  • Joe Burrow threw two interceptions in Cincinnati’s upset loss to Houston on Sunday
  • Week 11’s matchup kicks off from M&T Bank Stadium in Baltimore, MD at 8:15pm ET

Cincinnati’s four-game win streak came to an end with a surprising 30-27 defeat to the Texans in week 10. Joe Burrow’s Bengals suddenly sit in last place in the AFC North and need a win against the division-leading Ravens on Thursday night. After blowing a 14-point lead in the fourth quarter, Baltimore also had their four-game unbeaten streak snapped on Sunday with a 33-31 loss to the Browns.

Before we check the odds on this rivalry game and make our bets, here’s where you can find the best Super Bowl betting tips and the top betting sites for NFL football in 2023.

Ravens vs Bengals

BetOnline ReviewSpreadMoney LineTotal Points
Cincinnati Bengals+4.0 (-110)+158Ov 44.5 (-110)
Baltimore Ravens-4.0 (-110)-188Un 44.5 (-110)

Cincinnati in last in AFC North

Coming off big wins over the 49ers and Bills, Cincinnati looked like Super Bowl contenders heading into week 10. But, after a 30-27 loss to the Texans, one has to wonder if they’ll even make the playoffs. Joe Burrow passed for 347 yards, two two touchdowns and two interceptions on Sunday. He has a 3-3 career record against the Ravens, which includes a 27-24 defeat in week 2 of this season.

Still struggling with a calf injury, Burrow put together a mediocre stat line (222 yards, 2 TDs, INT) in the last matchup. On Thursday, he’ll likely be without Tee Higgins, who suffered a hamstring injury in practice last week. On the bright side, Ja’Marr Chase made five receptions for 124 yards and a score against Houston, showing no ill effects from his week 9 back injury.

Lamar blows another one

Baltimore’s 2023 season has been defined by impressive blowout victories and late-game collapses. In Sunday’s 33-31 loss to Cleveland, they became only the third club in NFL history to lose a game after holding four different leads of 14-plus points. Lamar Jackson threw two interceptions, including a pick-six in the fourth quarter, and the Ravens stout run defense fell apart on the Browns’ final drive.

Lamar passed for 234 yards and 2 TDs in a week 2 win over Cincinnati, adding 54 yards on the ground. In Thursday night’s rematch, he’ll be looking to avoid a second-straight loss to an AFC North opponent. 

Cincinnati Bengalsto cover vs Ravens
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OVER 44.5Ravens vs Bengals
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Baltimore vs Cincinnati

Baltimore is a 4-point home favorite on Thursday with the over/under set at 44.5 points. Heading into week 10, John Harbaugh’s club ranked sixth in points scored per game (26.6) and No. 1 in points allowed (13.8). They were also the No. 3 team ever tracked by Aaron Schatz’s DVOA metric through nine games.

While Cincinnati’s season-long offensive numbers are skewed by Burrow’s early-season calf injury, the Ravens will present an enormous challenge nevertheless. Mike McDonald’s defense ranks No. 2 in passing yards allowed per game (170.7) and top ten in rushing yards allowed per game (91.9).

Ravens set to run wild?

Baltimore is averaging the most rushing yards per game (160.3) in the NFL. Both rookie Keaton Mitchell and veteran Gus Edwards scored in week 10 despite being held to 58 yards on 14 carries. Lou Anarumo’s D is permitting 129.8 rushing yards per week – 27th in the league – and gave up 150 yards to Devin Singletary in Sunday’s loss.

Best Bet

Beating the Ravens at home on a short week without receiver Tee Higgins seems like a tall task. However, Cincinnati absolutely needs this win if they’re going to make the playoffs.

We’ll take Burrow and the desperate Bengals to pull off the road upset (+158) on Thursday Night Football.

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Steve Starr

Steve is the quintessential American sports enthusiast. He has mastered the art of Sundays, devoting them to football, and barbecue parties. He proudly wears the hats of a good father, husband and a great dog owner. Aside from his decades of contributing to different top-tier sports publications, Steve has also found his niche on Twitter, where he publishes funny and relatable sports-related insights. When he's not busy tweeting, Steve loves to watch each game unfold live. He possesses an innate talent for finding humor in the sports world, appreciating both the thrilling moments and the comedic mishaps that make each event unique.

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