Nikola Jokic favored to win third NBA MVP award in four years

  • Nikola Jokic (+400) is favored to win his third Most Valuable Player trophy in 2024
  • Giannis Antetokounmpo (+600) and Jayson Tatum (+800) are contenders for the award 
  • Only one player over age 30 has won NBA MVP in the past 24 years 

Sportswriters will have to wash the egg off their face before casting their vote for the 2024 NBA MVP next spring. Last year’s anointing of Joel Embiid did not age well as the Cameroon center was knocked out of the postseason early. Meanwhile, Nikola Jokic led his Nuggets to the franchise’s first-ever championship with a dominant playoff run.

Before we examine the 2024 NBA MVP award futures, be sure to check out the 2023 NBA Draft Betting Odds and our guide to betting on NBA basketball.

2023-24 NBA Regular Season MVP

PlayerBetOnline ReviewBovadaMyBookie Review
Nikola Jokic+400+400+400
Luka Doncic+550+550+550
Giannis Antetokounmpo+600+600+600
Joel Embiid+700+700+700
Jayson Tatum+800+800+800
Kevin Durant+1400+1400+1400
Stephen Curry+1400+1400+1400
Devin Booker+1800+1800+1800
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander+1800+1800+1800
LeBron James+2000+2000+2000
Trae Young+2000+2000+2000
Damian Lillard+2200+2200+2200
De'Aaron Fox+2800+2800+2800
Donovan Mitchell+2800+2800+2800
Anthony Davis+3500+3500+3500
Kawhi Leonard+3500+3500+3500
Zion Williamson+3500+3500+3500
Anthony Edwards+4000+4000+4000
Brandon Ingram+4000+4000+4000
Kyrie Irving+4000+4000+4000

Jokic opens as the favorite

Nikola Jokic (+400) is favored to win his third NBA MVP award in four seasons. The Serbian superstar fell just short of averaging a triple-double (30 points, 13.5 rebounds and 9.5 assists) in Denver’s first-ever championship run.

Just the 11th player in NBA history to capture at least two regular-season MVP awards, a championship and a NBA Finals MVP, Jokic is only 28 years old and has stayed healthy throughout his career.

Ignore the aging stars?

Kevin Durant (+1400), Stephen Curry (+1400) and LeBron James (+2200) are all longshots to win the award despite winning seven MVPs between them. That’s because all three will be over 35 next season.

While Karl Malone claimed the trophy at that age in 1999, there’s only been one player over age 30 to win MVP in the quarter-century since. Steve Nash, who won back-to-back awards in 2005 and 2006 at age 30 and 31.

Nikola Jokic2024 NBA MVP
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Jayson Tatum2024 NBA MVP
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Fade these top MVP contenders

Luka Doncic (+550) was the preseason MVP favorite in each of the past three years. While the prodigious talent is still just 24 years old, his award chances are still hindered by a terrible Mavericks team that missed the playoffs in 2022. Since 1985, only five MVP winners have come from a team that didn’t finish first or second in its conference. 

While 13 different players have claimed the hardware in two (or more) years in a row, Joel Embiid (+700) has almost zero chance of repeating after last year’s embarrassing playoff effort. His Sixers are also sure to be worse when James Harden leaves town.

Best Longshots

As still-ascending stars, Devin Booker (+1800) and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (+1800) are strong longshots. If Kevin Durant gets injured again and the Suns stay in the mix atop the Western Conference, the 26-year-old Booker will be considered.

Still just 25, SGA was named first-team All-NBA last year after averaging a career-high 31 points per game. His candidacy likely hinges on if his young Oklahoma City team can make the jump into contender status with the arrival of Chet Holmgren.

Best Bet

While we like Jayson Tatum (+800), the Greek Freak is our favorite bet on the board.

Giannis Antetokounmpo (+600), like Jokic, is a two-time Most Valuable Player (2019, 2020) and still very much in his prime at age 28. Last season, he became the first player to average at least 30 points, 11 rebounds and five assists per game since Kareem Abdul-Jabbar in 1973.

Giannis Antetokounmpo2024 NBA MVP
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Steve Starr

Steve is the quintessential American sports enthusiast. He has mastered the art of Sundays, devoting them to football, and barbecue parties. He proudly wears the hats of a good father, husband and a great dog owner. Aside from his decades of contributing to different top-tier sports publications, Steve has also found his niche on Twitter, where he publishes funny and relatable sports-related insights. When he's not busy tweeting, Steve loves to watch each game unfold live. He possesses an innate talent for finding humor in the sports world, appreciating both the thrilling moments and the comedic mishaps that make each event unique.