Best UFC Louisville Co-Main Event Betting Picks: Dominick Reyes vs. Dustin Jacoby

  • What: UFC Louisville Co-Main Event
  • Who: Dominick Reyes vs. Dustin Jacoby
  • Date: Saturday, June 8, 2024
  • Location: KFC Yum! Center in Louisville, Kentucky
  • Time: Prelims (5:00 p.m. ET), Pay-Per-View Card (8:00 p.m. ET)
  • How to Watch:  ESPN+/ESPN

The UFC is on the road again this week for a UFC Fight Night event. UFC Louisville, also known as UFC on ESPN 57. In the main event of the upcoming fight card, former UFC middleweight title challenger Jared Cannonier faces Nassourdine Imavov. Cannonier is the No. 4 fighter in the official UFC middleweight rankings, while Imavov checks in at No. 8. Before that bout, a light heavyweight contest between former UFC title challenger Dominick Reyes and Dustin Jacoby serves as the evening’s co-headliner. Here is some background on the fighters before we look at the betting breakdown of the UFC Louisville fight card, which takes place at the KFC Yum! Center on Saturday, June 8.

Dominick Reyes (12-4) enters the UFC Louisville event on a four-fight losing skid. That run began in February 2020 when he fought then-UFC light heavyweight champion Jon Jones to a close decision loss. Reyes has not fought since Ryan Spann knocked him out in November 2022. Despite his losing skid and inactivity, Reyes is the No. 15 fighter in the official UFC light heavyweight rankings.

Dustin Jacoby (19-8-1) is in his second run with the UFC. He was unbeaten in seven UFC fights between October 2020 and July 2022, but since then he has gone 1-3. Jacoby is coming off a December 2023 decision loss to Alonzo Menifield.

Before we look at the best bets for the Reyes vs. Jacoby matchup on the UFC on ESPN 57 fight card,  check out the best UFC betting sites and our betting picks for the UFC Louisville main event.

UFC Louisville Co-Main Event: Dominick Reyes vs. Dustin Jacoby betting picks

FightersBetOnline ReviewBovadaBetUS ReviewMyBookie Review
Dustin Jacoby-225-230-225-238
Dominick Reyes+190+190+185+180

Dominick Reyes betting breakdown

Dominick Reyes is a good striker. He has power in his strikes, and his technique is above average. The former title challenger also does well in timing his opponents. Before one gets too down on Reyes and his four losses, it’s important to consider the men he has lost to during that run. Jon Jones, Jan Blachowicz, and Jiri Prochazka all held the UFC light heavyweight title. However, the Spann loss does not look great for Reyes as Spann is 0-3 since he knocked out Reyes in the first round of their 2022 contest.

What is worrisome about Reyes is that his past three setbacks have all been via knockout. That does not bode well against a fighter like Jacoby, who is known for his kickboxing skills.

Reyes lands 4.75 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy of 50 percent. His defensive striking rate is 48 percent, and he absorbs 3.77 significant strikes per minute. Considering the background of these two combatants, the expectation is the fight will remain standing for as long as it lasts.

Dominick ReyesTO BEAT DUSTIN JACOBY
★★★★★
+190
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Dustin Jacoby betting breakdown

Dustin Jacoby is a high-level kickboxer. He fought his way back to the UFC via an appearance on the Dana White Contender Series and went 6-0-1 after that with three knockouts. During his time as a kickboxer, Jacoby was the No. 2 ranked fighter for Glory. He has excellent striking skills, but he struggled when the UFC put him against tougher competition.

Jacoby is a technical striker with good power. He mixes up his targets and techniques and his volume is higher than that of his opponent in this fight.

This matchup feels like it could be one where the loser does not fight for the UFC again. Looking at these two and their recent performances, Jacoby is the better fighter, with the stronger chin.

Jacoby lands an average of 5.53 significant strikes per minute and connects on 47 percent of his attempts. His striking defense is 57 percent and he absorbs 4.07 significant strikes per minute. Jacoby has not been knocked out during his UFC run.

Dustin Jacoby TO BEAT DOMINICK REYES
★★★★★
-230
Bet now

Best Bets: UFC Louisville Co-Main Event –  Dominick Reyes vs. Dustin Jacoby

This should be a fun striking battle for as long as it lasts, but the betting pick is for Dustin Jacoby to defeat Dominick Reyes by knockout. Reyes’ chin has not been able to withstand punishment since his loss to Jones.

Dustin Jacoby TO BEAT DOMINICK REYES
★★★★★
-225
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Trent Reinsmith

Trent is a professional sports journalist specializing in UFC, MMA, and esports coverage. His work has been featured in prestigious publications such as USA Today Sports, Vice, Bloody Elbow, Fight! Magazine, UFC 360, and Narratively. Trent's connection to MMA dates back to the early days when he and his friends pooled their resources to purchase the pay-per-view broadcast of UFC 1. He also has extensive experience in esports, particularly League of Legends and Counter Strike, dating back to the game's launch.