UFC Betting News and Analysis This Month | UFC 330 Makhachev vs Garry, Fight Card Trends & Market Movement | July, 2026

Trent Reinsmithby Trent Reinsmith
Updated: July 14, 2026

UFC Sports News Featured Image

In major UFC betting news, Max Holloway defeated Conor McGregor by first-round TKO in the UFC 329 main event. McGregor suffered a knee injury after attempting a jumping kick, bringing the fight to an end after 69 seconds. Attention now shifts to UFC 330, where Islam Makhachev will defend the UFC welterweight title against Ian Machado Garry.

UFC 330 takes place on August 15 at Xfinity Mobile Arena in Philadelphia. In the co-main event, UFC strawweight champion Mackenzie Dern will defend her title against Gillian Robertson.

Before UFC 330, the promotion has two UFC Fight Night events remaining in July. On July 18, the UFC will be at Paycom Center in Oklahoma City, where Dricus du Plessis faces Kamaru Usman in the main event and Jared Cannonier meets Christian Leroy Duncan in another middleweight matchup. The promotion then travels to Abu Dhabi on July 25 for Magomed Ankalaev vs. Khalil Rountree Jr.

Below, we break down the best betting angles, storylines and odds movement surrounding UFC 330 and the remaining July events. For more UFC betting news, visit our UFC Betting Guide and our updated UFC betting odds.

The biggest UFC betting storylines for UFC 330

  • The UFC has officially booked welterweight champion Islam Makhachev to defend his title against Ian Machado Garry in the main event of UFC 330 on August 15 at Xfinity Mobile Arena in Philadelphia. Strawweight champion Mackenzie Dern faces Gillian Robertson in the co-main event.
  • Makhachev enters the matchup with a 28-1 record and a 16-fight UFC winning streak. He won the welterweight title by defeating Jack Della Maddalena and will make his first defense against the No. 1-ranked Garry.
  • Garry is 17-1 and has earned consecutive wins over Carlos Prates and former welterweight champion Belal Muhammad. His only professional loss came against Shavkat Rakhmonov, making UFC 330 his first UFC title opportunity.
  • The betting odds opened with Makhachev as a significant favorite at approximately -300 over Garry at +250. The line has since moved further toward the champion, with Makhachev listed around -364 and Garry at +299. Bettors should continue to compare the moneyline across sportsbooks because UFC odds can move as the event approaches.
  • Makhachev is the pick to win because of his wrestling, control and experience across five-round title fights. However, the current moneyline offers limited value at such a short price. Garry’s length, movement and striking make him a credible underdog, although he will need to keep the fight standing and avoid extended grappling exchanges to produce the upset.

The biggest UFC betting storylines for UFC Oklahoma City

  • The early betting line for the main event of the UFC Fight Night in Oklahoma City has former UFC middleweight champion Dricus du Plessis as the -315 betting favorite over former UFC welterweight titleholder Kamaru Usman, who checks in as the +265 betting underdog.
  • Du Plessis (23-3) has not fought since losing his title to Khamzat Chimaev in a one-sided affair in August 2025. The loss to Chimaev ended Du Plessis’s unbeaten run (9-0) in the UFC. Usman (21-4) is 1-3 since August 2022. He is 0-1 at 185 pounds, losing a decision to Chimaev in October 2023. Usman’s last fight was a June 2025 decision win over Joaquin Buckley at 170 pounds.
  • If Usman can use his wrestling to get Du Plessis down and keep him on the mat, he has some chance of winning. However, Du Plessis has a size and strength advantage that will make that difficult. The former middleweight champ is also a much more powerful (and awkward) striker.
  • A safe bet is Du Plessis to win. As for the outcome, it’s either going to be a knockout or decision. For those looking at getting some money on the underdog, pick Usman via decision.

The biggest UFC betting storylines for UFC Abu Dhabi

  • Magomed Ankalaev looks to bounce back from his October 2025 UFC light heavyweight title loss to Alex Pereira when he faces Bogdan Guskov on July 25 in Abu Dhabi. Guskov accepted the five-round main event on short notice after Khalil Rountree Jr. withdrew because of an injury.
  • Any betting odds previously listed for Ankalaev vs. Rountree are no longer valid. Bettors should use the updated Ankalaev vs. Guskov market and compare the moneyline across sportsbooks before placing a wager.
  • Ankalaev was on a 15-fight unbeaten streak before falling to Pereira by knockout. In his previous outing, Ankalaev won the title with a decision over Pereira.
  • Ankalaev is a patient striker with good defense and is particularly effective as a counter striker. Guskov presents a different threat from Rountree because of his aggressive finishing ability, although taking the fight on short notice could affect his preparation for a five-round contest.
  • The betting pick is Ankalaev to win, but the value will depend on the updated moneyline. Guskov’s power gives him an underdog path to victory, while Ankalaev has the more reliable route through controlled striking, defense and five-round experience.

UFC futures market check

  • UFC 330 is the next numbered UFC event to focus on. The card is scheduled for August 15 at Xfinity Mobile Arena in Philadelphia.
  • The headlining bout at UFC 330 is Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry, while in the co-main event, strawweight champion Mackenzie Dern faces Gillian Robertson. Both matchups are five-round title fights.
  • Makhachev is currently listed as approximately a -365 betting favorite over Garry, who is the +290 betting underdog. The champion’s short moneyline offers limited straight-bet value, so bettors may want to monitor the method-of-victory and round markets.
  • The Dern vs. Robertson line is closer than the UFC 330 main event. Bettors should compare the latest moneyline across sportsbooks because odds can move as more action arrives before fight night.

Betting trends we’re watching this month

With UFC 329 complete, the focus shifts to the remaining UFC Fight Night events in July and the early UFC 330 markets.

  • Dricus du Plessis is currently listed around -270 for his July 18 matchup with Kamaru Usman, who is the +220 betting underdog. The line has moved from the earlier price of du Plessis -315 and Usman +265.
  • Christian Leroy Duncan is a substantial favorite over Jared Cannonier on the Oklahoma City main card. Cannonier’s experience and knockout power give him an underdog path, but Duncan enters as the younger and more active fighter.
  • The July 25 UFC Abu Dhabi main event changed after Khalil Rountree Jr. withdrew. Magomed Ankalaev now faces Bogdan Guskov, so all previous Ankalaev vs. Rountree betting odds are no longer valid.
  • For UFC 330, the main trend to monitor is whether bettors continue backing Makhachev at a short price or whether underdog money causes Garry’s odds to tighten before August 15.

What could move odds before next UFC update

Look for late betting action on the remaining July main events to move the moneylines before fight night. Du Plessis has already moved from approximately -315 to -270 against Usman, giving bettors a more attractive price on the favorite while shortening the return on the underdog. The new Ankalaev vs. Guskov matchup could also produce considerable movement as sportsbooks assess Guskov’s preparation for a five-round fight on short notice.

For UFC 330, Makhachev is likely to remain a significant betting favorite over Garry. However, the champion’s price could become even shorter if bettors prioritize his wrestling, control and title-fight experience. Garry’s length, movement and striking could attract underdog money closer to the event, particularly if his price moves beyond +300.

Previous UFC betting news updates

  • [July 2026] Max Holloway defeated Conor McGregor by first-round TKO in the UFC 329 main event after McGregor suffered a knee injury 69 seconds into the fight.
  • [July 2026] Paddy Pimblett submitted Benoit Saint Denis in the UFC 329 co-main event. Mario Bautista defeated Cory Sandhagen by unanimous decision, Brandon Royval defeated Lone’er Kavanagh, and King Green stopped Terrance McKinney.
  • [June 2026] Betting favorites were 8-9 in UFC main events in 2026. The UFC 327 main event between Jiri Prochazka and Carlos Ulberg, which ended with Ulberg winning the vacant UFC light heavyweight title via TKO, closed with even odds, as did the UFC Perth matchup between Jack Della Maddalena and Carlos Prates, which ended with a Prates knockout win.
  • [June 2026] Betting favorites went 8-3 on the UFC Baku card.
  • [June 2026] Debuting fighters went 2-2 on the UFC Baku card.
  • [June 2026] Betting favorites went 5-1 on the UFC Freedom 250 card.
  • [May 2026] Betting favorites went 8-5 on the UFC 328 fight card.
  • [April 2026] Betting favorites went 7-2 on the UFC 327 fight card. Two fights had even odds on fight night and one contest ended in a draw.
  • [March 2026] Betting favorites went 8-4 on the UFC 326 card.

UFC Sports News FAQ

Find answers to common questions bettors like you have when researching which sportsbook to join.

UFC Betting Resources