There are less than twelve months to go before the 2022 World Cup kicks off and it’s a good time to take a look at the futures betting market for this global soccer event.
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Who do Bettors Favor?
Betting on the futures markets can offer some value opportunities and World Cup bettors checking out these online sportsbooks will find some big prices available at this stage.
It isn’t a surprise to find the World Cup’s most successful nation, Brazil, at the top of the outright futures market, though they haven’t reached the final in the last four editions. Holders France are also prominent, at around +600 while England and Spain are available at +750.
At bigger odds, you can take a chance on four-time winners Germany (+1000) and Italy (+1200) while two teams bidding to win this for the first time – Belgium and the Netherlands – can be taken at +1200 and +1500 respectively.
Key Futures Betting Knowledge for World Cup 2022
There are some key facts to be aware of for World Cup futures bettors, the most significant of which is that the full qualifying list is not yet decided. Thirteen teams have already booked their place, but the qualifying tournaments in the CONMEBOL, CAF, AFC, OFC, and CONCACAF regions are ongoing, and there are play-offs to come in Europe. The final draw for the Group Stage will be held in Doha on April 1.
The other important factor to note, putting aside political considerations, is that this tournament will be played in the middle of the European soccer season, in temperatures that will probably make it the hottest tournament on record. With the heat expected to be around 90 degrees Fahrenheit and the humidity at upwards of 66% this will be a tough test, particularly for European nations.
What can we learn from World Cup History?
Out of the 21 World Cups staged since 1930, 18 have been hosted either by Central/South American or European teams and 16 of those tournaments have been won by a nation from that region, the sole exceptions being Brazil in Sweden (1958) and Germany in Brazil (2014).
Things become a little more complicated when the tournament is held elsewhere. In 1994, the US staged a World Cup notable for its heat and humidity, and the final saw Brazil beat Italy on penalties. In 2002, Brazil emerged victorious in Japan/Korea, and in 2010, Spain won in South Africa.
Generalizing about the climate preferences of various nations isn’t always a good idea, since there is huge variety within regions, but the conditions in Qatar are likely to most closely resemble those of the USA in 1994, which could put some northern European nations at a disadvantage, though they won’t have to deal with the heat-altitude combination that proved such a problem in 1986 and 1970.BetUS
Who are Favorites to Win the World Cup 2022?
This will be an unusual World Cup but that doesn’t mean we can expect a big upset. While shocks can occur in the European Championship, the World Cup generally goes to the best team in the tournament, though not necessarily the best team in the world.
The heat and humidity will be a huge factor this time, and for that reason, I don’t like the chances of most of the European teams. Germany are still in transition. Belgium, for all their talent, have a track record of failing on the big stage, and England, though an exciting young team, have not yet shown the ability to see out a tournament and win silverware.
France, given their depth of talent, have to be considered, but at short odds, bettors will be reluctant to go all-in on Didier Deschamps’s side, given the recent history of French implosion at major tournaments. European champions Italy are interesting, but again, the heat will surely count against them.
With Argentina struggling for fluency at the moment, and none of the African teams shaping up with any big promise, this tournament, therefore, represents a golden opportunity for Brazil to get their sixth win. Under head coach Tite, they have already ended one long trophy wait, landing the 2019 Copa America after a 12-year wait, and have cruised through the CONMEBOL qualifying tournament, winning 11 out of 13, and recording a goals record of 27-4.
The most likely European alternative if you want to hedge your bets a little could be Spain. They won’t struggle quite so much in the heat as many of their European peers, and, more importantly, they are well into a rebuilding phase that has seen them successfully bring through the next generation of young talent. It is possible that we won’t see the best of them until the 2024 Euros but they have the ability to go deep into this tournament and if they get on a roll, they could be hard to stop.
CTA Spain to win the World Cup at +800 BetOnline