Castillo to lead Mariners to home victory over Braves on Tuesday

  • Atlanta (19-7) has the best winning percentage in the majors following the opening month of the season
  • Seattle (15-13) leads the AL West thanks to having the third-best team ERA in baseball 
  • Mariners vs Braves meet at T-Mobile Park in Seattle, WA on Tuesday, April 30 at 9:40 PM ET

Atlanta has won 11 of its last 13 games after downing Cleveland on Sunday. The Mariners are also red-hot with nine victories in their past 12 contests. Who will take game 2 of the series on Tuesday night?

Before we look at the latest odds, here’s where you can find our 2024 World Series betting guide and the best MLB baseball betting sites.

Mariners vs Braves

BetOnline ReviewRun LineMoney LineTotal Runs
Atlanta Braves-1.5 (+120)-146Ov 7.5 (+100)
Seattle Mariners+1.5 (-140)+134Un 7.5 (-120)

Atlanta’s hot start

Atlanta took two of three games against Cleveland in what was a matchup of the best teams in both the National and American League. Much of the Braves’ early success can be attributed to Marcell Ozuna. The 33-year-old DH leads the league with 31 RBIs and his nine home runs is second only to Mike Trout. He’s also hitting a sparkling .340 at the plate.

Heading into Monday’s game with the Mariners, Atlanta’s +47 run differential was tops in the majors. Brian Snitker’s new-look rotation also ranks No. 10 in the league (3.72 ERA) through 26 games.

Seattle stringing together wins

Seattle had won nine of 11 games before a 3-2 loss to the Diamondbacks on Sunday. Heading into Monday’s series opener with Atlanta, Mariners’ starters had allowed two or fewer runs in 16 straight games – a franchise record. They also have the third-ranked team ERA in the MLB at 3.10, behind only the Red Sox and Yankees.

Atlanta BravesTo Win
★★★★★
-146
Bet now
UNDER 7.5Total Runs
★★★★★
-120
Bet now

Mariners vs Braves

Atlanta is -146 on the money line, while the Mariners are +134 to win at home. The Braves have a 8-3 record on the road and are +120 to cover the 1.5 run line. Seattle, which has a 9-7 home record, is -140 to cover the +1.5 spread at T-Mobile Park.

The over/under has been set at just 7.5 total runs with -120 juice towards the UNDER. Atlanta is the highest-scoring team in baseball, averaging 5.73 runs per game. However, Seattle’s struggled at the plate this season, averaging only 3.71 runs per content (sixth-worst in MLB). Both clubs also rank top-ten in team ERA league-wide.

Starting Pitching Matchup

Reynado Lopez (2-0) has a 0.72 ERA and 0.88 WHIP through four starts for the Braves. The former set-up man turned starting pitcher had his chance at a third-straight victory spoiled by a blown save last Wednesday.

Luis Castillo (2-4) allowed only two runs and four hits in his last start against the Rangers. However, both of those hits went over the fence. While he’s permitted home runs in four of his six outings this season, the 31-year-old has been on fire over his last three starts with a 1.89 ERA and 24 strikeouts.

Best Bet

With a starting pitching matchup this superb, it’s hard to go against the UNDER 7.5 runs (-120). While the Braves are the best team in baseball, we like Seattle’s chances (+134) with a red-hot Luis Castillo eager to earn his first home win of the campaign.

Seattle MarinersTo Win
★★★★★
+134
Bet now

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Steve Starr

Highly analytical and results-driven Sports Betting Expert with over 20 years of experience in sports analytics, betting strategy development, and risk management. Proven track record of leveraging statistical models and market analysis to achieve consistent profitability in sports betting. Adept at using data-driven insights to forecast outcomes, identify value bets, and optimize betting strategies. Strong communication skills with a demonstrated ability to present complex data in an understandable manner. Skills -Advanced Statistical Analysis -Predictive Modeling & Forecasting -Sports Analytics & Data Interpretation -Risk Management & Stake Allocation -Market Research & Trend Analysis -Strategic Betting Strategies -Proficiency with Betting Software (e.g., Betfair, Pinnacle) -Strong Excel & Data Visualization Skills -Excellent Communication & Presentation Skills