Francesco Bagnaia is the Betting Favorite to Win the 2024 MotoGP World Championship

  • Francesco Bagnaia looks to win three MotoGP World Championships in a row in 2024
  • Marc Marquez is one of the early betting favorite despite not winning a MotoGP World Championship since 2019
  • Jorge Martin currently leads the points race for the 2024 MotoGP World Championship

The 2024 MotoGP season began the same way that the 2023 season did, with Ducati rider Francesco Bagnaia taking first place in the year’s opening race. Last year, the 27-year-old Bagnaia kept the momentum from the first race throughout most of the season and captured his second straight MotoGP championship. Bagnaia won seven races in 2022 and matched that total in 2023. Seven races into the 2024 MotoGP season, Bagnaia has four wins, one more than he did at this time in 2023.

Despite his dominance on race day, Bagnaia is not the points leader for the 2024 MotoGP season, that honor belongs to another Ducati rider, Jorge Martin. Martin finished second in the world championship in 2023. He has two victories in the first seven races of 2024.

The big news during the offseason was that six-time MotoGP world champion Marc Marquez left Honda. Marquez started 2024 riding a Ducati for Gresini Racing. Marquez finished last year in 14th place. He does not have a win in 2024, but he is third in points this season.

Before we look at the top three picks for the 2024 MotoGP World Championship, check out the best sites for MotoGP betting and take a look at the best sports betting apps and mobile options. 

2024 MotoGP World Championship Futures

To Win 2024 MotoGP ChampionshipBetOnline ReviewBovadaBetUS Review
Francesco Bagnaia+120+120+120
Jorge Martin+140Even+140
Marc Marquez+300+300+300
Enea Bastianini+1800+1800+1800
Pedro Acosta+2500+2800+2500
Maverick Vinales+4000+4000+4000
Aleix Espargaro+10000+10000+10000
Brad Binder+10000+10000+10000
Fabio Di Giannantonio+15000+15000+15000
Marco Bezzecchi+20000+30000+20000
Franco Morbidelli+30000+30000+30000
Fabio Quartararo+30000+75000+30000
Alex Marquez+50000+50000+50000
Miguel Oliveira+50000+50000+50000
Raul Fernandez+50000+50000+50000
Jack Miller+50000+75000+50000
Alex Rins+100000+75000+100000
Johann Zarco+100000+200000+100000
Augusto Fernandez+200000+200000+200000
Joan Mir+200000+200000+200000
Takaaki Nakagami+200000+300000+200000
Luca Marini+200000+400000+200000

Francesco Bagnaia

The defending MotoGP world champion, Francesco Bagnaia, has been the dominant force in MotoGP over the past three years, winning two world titles and picking up 18 grand prix race victories. Last year, Bagnaia, who rides for Ducati Lenovo, picked up seven wins. However, he faded a bit in the second half of the season, “only” winning two races of the last 10 of the season. However, he did have four second-place finishes and two thirds during that time.

Bagnaia finished 16 grand prix races last year and made the podium in all but one of those races. He finished 16th in the second grand prix of the year. Bagnaia has been among the most consistent MotoGP riders over the past three years. Seeing him slip and lose much ground in 2024 would be a shock.

Bagnaia opened the 2024 MotoGP season with a win at the Qatar Airways Grand Prix of Qatar. He failed to finish the next race, and then placed fifth in the Grand Prix of the Americas. Since then, Bagnaia has found his groove, picking up three wins and finishing third in France. Bagnaia is coming off back-to-back wins. He has 153 points on the year, which puts him 18 points behind Martin.

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Jorge Martin

The 26-year-old Jorge Martin has only been racing on the MotoGP circuit for three years. He opened his MotoGP career in 2021 by finishing ninth. He stayed in that same spot in 2022, but he broke through last year and placed second, making a run for the title at the same time Francesco Bagnaia found himself struggling late in the season.

Martin rides a Ducati for Prima Pramac Racing. He finished 2023 with four grand prix victories, including three of the last nine races of the year. A fast rider, Martin started every grand prix in 2023, but he had four races that he did not finish.

Martin did not win his first race in 2023 until the seventh race of the year. In 2024, Martin has two wins in the first seven races. He has finished as a runner-up once, in third twice, and in fourth once. He did not finish in Spain. While Martin does not have as many victories as Bagnaia, he is the points leader with 171.

Martin will finish 2024 riding for Prima Pramac, but he will race for Aprilia in 2025.

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Marc Marquez

The preseason favorite to win the 2024 MotoGP championship, Marc Marquez, has watched his odds adjust from -133 to +300 seven races into the 2024 MotoGP season. Marquez moved on from Honda in the offseason, and he now rides a Ducati for Gresini Racing. 

The 30-year-old was the dominant rider between 2013 and 2019, winning six world titles and placing third in 2015, the only year during that stretch when he failed to win the world championship. Things haven’t gone his way since then as he has only won three race wins in the past three years. Marquez had zero victories in 2022 and 2023. His best placing in 2023 was third in Japan.

Marquez has avoided the injuries that plagued him in previous years in 2024 and he and his new team are performing very well. Marquez is currently in third place in the points standings with 136. He has two runner-up finishes in 2024, placing second to Bagnaia in Spain and Martin in France.

Marquez recently announced that he will race for the Ducati Lenovo Team in 2025.

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Best bet to win the 2024 MotoGP World Championship

Anyone who thought Francesco Bagnaia would drop off between 2023 and 2024 had those thoughts dashed following the first race of the year in Qatar. Because of that win and how he’s performed as of late, the betting pick is that the consistent Francesco Bagnaia will win the 2024 MotoGP world championship.

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Trent Reinsmith

Trent is a professional sports journalist specializing in UFC, MMA, and esports coverage. His work has been featured in prestigious publications such as USA Today Sports, Vice, Bloody Elbow, Fight! Magazine, UFC 360, and Narratively. Trent's connection to MMA dates back to the early days when he and his friends pooled their resources to purchase the pay-per-view broadcast of UFC 1. He also has extensive experience in esports, particularly League of Legends and Counter Strike, dating back to the game's launch.