Francesco Bagnaia is the Pick to Win the 2024 Portugal Grand Prix

  • What:Grande Prémio Tissot de Portugal
  • Date: Sunday, March 24, 2024
  • Location: Autodromo Internacional do Algarve
  • Where: Algarve, Portugal
  • Time: 11:00 a.m.
  • How to Watch: TNT Sports

The 2024 MotoGP season opened earlier this month with the Qatar Airways Grand Prix of Qatar. Francesco Bagnaia won the MotoGP championship in 2023 and took first place in the race, winning in Qatar for the first time under the MotoGP banner. Bagnaia, who also won the MotoGP title in 2022, is currently the betting favorite to win the 2024 championship. The 27-year-old, Bagnaia is the defending winner of the Portugal Grand Prix, which takes place on Sunday.

This year’s Portugal Grand Prix will be held at Autódromo Internacional do Algarve. The course is 2.85 miles long. The track has nine right corners and six left corners, and the longest straightaway on the course is 3,182.41 feet. Last year, Marc Marquez started the race in the pole position, while Bagnaia began in the No. 2 spot. Aleix Espargaró had the race’s fastest lap, completing lap nine in 1:38:872. Maverick Viñales finished the race as the runner-up to Bagnaia, coming in 0.687 seconds behind the victor. Marco Bezzecchi placed third.

Before we look at the betting breakdown and picks for the Portugal Grand Prix, check out the best sites for MotoGP betting and our picks for the 2024 MotoGP Championship.

MotoGP: 2024 Portugal Grand Prix betting picks

To Win 2024 Portugal GPBovadaBetOnline ReviewBetUS ReviewMyBookie Review
Francesco Bagnaia+120+120+120+120
Jorge Martin+350+350+350+350
Marc Marquez+350+350+350+350
Brad Binder+800+800+800+800
Enea Bastianini+1600+1600+1600+1600
Aleix Espargaro+1800+1800+1800+1800
Miguel Oliveira+2000+2000+2000+2000
Maverick Vinales+2200+2200+2200+2200
Pedro Acosta+2500+2500+2500+2500
Alex Marquez+2800+2800+2800+2800
Fabio Di Giannantonio+3300+3300+3300+3300
Marco Bezzecchi+3300+3300+3300+3300
Jack Miller+5000+5000+5000+5000
Fabio Quartararo+6600+6600+6600+6600
Joan Mir+12500+12500+12500+12500
Johann Zarco+12500+12500+12500+12500
Raul Fernandez+12500+12500+12500+12500
Alex Rins+15000+15000+15000+15000
Franco Morbidelli+15000+15000+15000+15000
Augusto Fernandez+30000+30000+30000+30000
Luca Marini+30000+30000+30000+30000
Takaaki Nakagami+30000+30000+30000+30000

Francesco Bagnaia

The defending MotoGP champion, Francesco Bagnaia, should be confident and comfortable heading into the Portugal Grand Prix. Not only did he win the GP last year, but he also won the sprint race, beating Jorge Martin by .307 seconds. Bagnaia placed second in Portugal in 2021 and finished in the No. 8 spot on the track in 2022.

Bagnaia has been the dominant force in MotoGP over the past three years, winning two world titles and picking up 18 grand prix race victories. Last year, Bagnaia, who rides for Ducati Lenovo, picked up seven wins. However, he faded a bit in the second half of the season, “only” winning two races of the final 10. However, he did have four second-place finishes and two thirds during that time.

Bagnaia finished 16 grand prix races last year and made the podium in all but one of those races. He has been one of the most consistent MotoGP riders over the past three years.

Francesco BagnaiaTO WIN 2024 PORTUGAL GRAND PRIX
★★★★★
+120
Bet now

Jorge Martin

Jorge Martin crashed on this track in 2021 and missed three races following that accident because of broken bones in his hands, leg, and ankle. The 26-year-old has never finished a Grand Prix race on this course, but he performed well in the sprint race in 2023, finishing in the runner-up spot.

Martin, who is an aggressive driver, started his 2024 season with a third-place finish in Qatar. With that, he will be confident heading into the race in Portugal.

Martin had a breakthrough MotoGP season last year, finishing in second place overall.

Martin rides a Ducati for Prima Pramac Racing. He finished 2023 with four Grand Prix victories, including three of the last nine races of the year. A fast rider, Martin started every grand prix in 2023, but he had four races that he did not finish.

Jorge Martin TO WIN 2024 PORTUGAL GRAND PRIX
★★★★★
+350
Bet now

Marc Marquez

Marc Marquez began the 2024 season with a new team, and he performed well in Qatar, placing fourth in the opening race of the MotoGP season. After 11 years with Honda, the 30-year-old is now on a Ducati for Gresini Racing. Marquez was dominant between 2013 and 2019, winning six world titles and placing third in 2015, the only year during that stretch when he failed to win the world championship. Things haven’t gone his way since then as he has only won three race wins in the past three years, and zero victories in 2022 and 2023. His best placing in 2023 was third in Japan.

Marquez’s best finish in Portugal came in 2022 when he finished in the No. 6 spot. He did not finish the GP race last year, but he started on the pole and came in third place in the sprint race.

As long as he is healthy, Marquez remains a threat to pick up a win.

Marc Marquez TO WIN 2024 PORTUGAL GRAND PRIX
★★★★★
+350
Bet now

Best bet to win 2024 MotoGP – Portugal Grand Prix

With how he opened the season and his riding on this course in 2023, it’s hard to bet against Francesco Bagnaia. The betting pick is for Francesco Bagnaia to win the 2024 MotoGP Portugal Grand Prix.

Francesco BagnaiaTO WIN 2024 PORTUGAL GRAND PRIX
★★★★☆
+120
Bet now

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Trent Reinsmith

Trent is a professional sports journalist specializing in UFC, MMA, and esports coverage. His work has been featured in prestigious publications such as USA Today Sports, Vice, Bloody Elbow, Fight! Magazine, UFC 360, and Narratively. Trent's connection to MMA dates back to the early days when he and his friends pooled their resources to purchase the pay-per-view broadcast of UFC 1. He also has extensive experience in esports, particularly League of Legends and Counter Strike, dating back to the game's launch.