NBA Picks: Denver Nuggets vs. Boston Celtics

  • What: Denver Nuggets vs. Boston Celtics
  • Date: Friday, November 11, 2022
  • Location: TD Garden in Boston, MA
  • Time: 7:00 p.m. ET
  • How to Watch: NBC Sports Boston, Altitude, NBA TV

Week 4 of the 2022-23 NBA season is coming to a close, but before that happens, a big game is going down tonight, Friday, November 11, 2022, at TD Garden in Boston. In that matchup, the Denver Nuggets, who finished in the second spot in the NBA’s Northwest Division in 2022, travel to the east coast to face last season’s Eastern Conference champions, the Boston Celtics.

The Nuggets are 11 games into their 2023 NBA season and have put together an 8-3 record, which puts them one game behind the Western Conference-leading Utah Jazz. Meanwhile, the Celtics, who have an identical 8-3 record to their foes in tonight’s game, trail the Eastern Conference-leading Milwaukee Bucks.

Before we look at tonight’s NBA matchup between the Denver Nuggets and the Boston Celtics, check out our guide to betting on the 2023 NBA Finals and our tips for betting on the NBA.

Denver Nuggets vs. Boston Celtics picks – November 11, 2022

TeamsBovada Review
Denver Nuggets+170
Boston Celtics-200

Denver Nuggets breakdown

The Denver Nuggets began the season with a record of 4-3. However, the team is currently riding a four-game winning streak with three of those victories coming on the road. Denver’s most recent win was a 122-119 victory over the Indiana Pacers.

As expected, two-time defending NBA MVP Nikola Jokic is setting the pace for the Nuggets. The 27-year-old superstar leads the team in points (21.2), rebounds (9.9), assists (9.0) and minutes (31.5). Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, who is putting up 31.4 minutes per game, leads the team in steals with 1.6 and Aaron Gordon, who is contributing 14.4 points per game, leads the Nuggets in blocks with 1 per game.

Denver’s points per game on the road is in the top half of the NBA this season at 115.6, while the club’s defensive points per game while playing away from Denver is one of the worst in the league at 120 per game.

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Boston Celtics breakdown

The Boston Celtics began the 2023 NBA season with three straight wins. The team then stumbled, going 1-3 in their next four outings. However, Boston enters tonight’s game against the Denver Nuggets with four wins in a row. Two of those victories came on the road and two were at home at TD Garden. The Celtics are coming off a 128-112 win over the Detroit Pistons at home on Wednesday.

Despite being without defensive standout Robert Williams III and off-season signing Danilo Gallinari, the Celtics are playing solid basketball. That’s not surprising when the team’s biggest stars, Jayson Tatum, Jaylen Brown and Marcus Smart are delivering. Tatum leads the team in points (31.2), rebounds (6.9), blocks (1.5) and minutes (37.2). Brown is contributing 25.4 points per game on 36.5 minutes, while Smart leads the team in assists (7) and steals (1), while putting up 10.5 points on 32.9 minutes per game.

Boston is the third-highest-scoring team at home with 122.4 points per game. The Celtics are in the middle of the NBA pack as far as defense goes, allowing their opponents to score 114.8 points per game at TD Garden.

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Our pick

The Celtics are the deeper and more potent team in this matchup. Denver is not a bad club by any stretch of the imagination, but the depth of the Celtics and the fact that they are playing with something to prove after falling short in the NBA Finals last year to the Golden State Warriors make them the best bet in this game.

Pick: Boston Celtics to beat the Denver Nuggets.

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Trent Reinsmith

Trent is a professional sports journalist specializing in UFC, MMA, and esports coverage. His work has been featured in prestigious publications such as USA Today Sports, Vice, Bloody Elbow, Fight! Magazine, UFC 360, and Narratively. Trent's connection to MMA dates back to the early days when he and his friends pooled their resources to purchase the pay-per-view broadcast of UFC 1. He also has extensive experience in esports, particularly League of Legends and Counter Strike, dating back to the game's launch.