England vs Switzerland: Destiny in the Making for Swiss?

England faces Switzerland in the heat of the summer in Dusseldorf for a spot in the semi-final of the Euros. Saturday will be a tense night for British fans as they wish the Three Lions to victory amidst a generation bursting with talent, yet no international trophies to show for it so far. Longtime manager Gareth Southgate has been under tremendous pressure to capitalize on his squad’s potential, but can he put the pieces together? Read on for an expert England vs Switzerland prediction and explore tips and stats for Euro betting in 2024.

  • England vs Switzerland
  • UEFA EURO 2024, Quarter-final
  • Saturday, July 6, 2024
  • 12 PM EST
  • Merkur-Spiel Arena
  • Dusseldorf, Germany
  • FOX

England vs Switzerland Prediction: Who do Sportsbooks Favor?

England is the favorite to advance, but they have a less than 50% chance of winning in 90 minutes according to the sportsbooks. They are priced at (+126) to do so, while the Swiss can be bought at (+290). A draw, which would force extra time and then penalties if necessary, is (+200).

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Want to better understand the 3-way moneyline (1X2) market? See our soccer betting tips and learn about UEFA Euro 2024 betting.

England’s Manager Under Heat for Tactical Decisions

A painstakingly slow affair between England and Slovakia in the Round of 16 precedes this matchup with Switzerland. Down 1-0 for the majority of the game, Jude Bellingham scored an unbelievable bicycle kick off a corner to dramatically pull England back from the depths of despair. The ensuing extra time immediately went England’s way with another quick goal, and they held on to advance to the quarterfinals. By many accounts, the better team did not win that game, yet England passed through and now are favorites yet again. 

Southgate finally made some attacking changes late, putting in Brentford’s Ivan Toney and Chelsea’s Cole Palmer. Yet what they lack most are not finishers but playmakers, guys who can comfortably receive the ball, set up the offense and eventually deliver strong service to their scorers. To Southgate’s credit, he finally gave up the Trent Alexander-Arnold defensive midfield experiment. 

In my last piece on England, I vouched for Kobbie Mainoo to take Alexander-Arnold’s place in the starting lineup. And Southgate heeded my advice (almost assuredly inadvertently). Mainoo looked like he fit the part well, completing 96% of his passes and making some key dribbles into the final third for England when their attack started looking stale. I would still refrain from the constant efforts of running Kyle Walker as a winger, but at least improvements are being made.

EnglandTo Win
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Can Switzerland Make a Late Run at the Euros? 

Will England’s changes be enough to thwart this streaking Switzerland side? The Red Crosses have not lost in this tournament and dominated Italy in their last showing. Switzerland were even just a few minutes away from beating top Euro contender Germany in the match prior. A stifling backline, combined with midfielders very capable of winning 50/50 balls and making crosses to open space, has pushed the Swiss far into this tournament.

If they are to beat England, they may not even need to score a goal. England’s offense has been so stagnant that a 0-0 game here is very possible, and Switzerland very well may advance via penalties. But if that is not the case, I actually feel as if their offensive upside is greater than their opponents. Breel Embolo has played the role of a true 9 well despite scoring just once, in a breakaway. Even his presence as a decoy can open up passing lanes to their other attackers.

Ahead of this matchup would be the winner of Netherlands and Turkiye. Netherlands seem to have finally picked it up a notch after a dreary group stage, putting up 3 goals in a shutout win over Romania. However, that was Romania, and if Switzerland do advance, they will have the confidence to fancy their chances against either opponent for a spot in the showpiece event. 

SwitzerlandTo Win
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England vs Switzerland Prediction and Free Euro Betting Pick

These two teams have produced entirely different Euro results so far, at least comparative to expectations. Many believed Hungary were a dark horse to advance out of their group, yet Switzerland almost won the group outright. They utterly dismantled Italy and now sit farther than most would have expected.

England, despite winning their group, have been lackluster at best. They have yet to produce a solid performance, and have only won once in regulation time. Draws against Denmark, Slovenia and Slovakia in regulation were certainly disappointing, and there is little hope from British fans and pundits alike that they can suddenly take their game up to the level that is expected of them. However, England is still being priced as if they can do exactly that. 

A (-140) number on Switzerland to win or draw in regulation feels like a great bet. This is a destiny opportunity for the Red Crosses to show the world they belong at the top of Europe and can finally send this fraudulent England side home (trophyless). They have all the pieces to frustrate England’s attackers and threaten their back line, who will be without Guehi due to yellow card accumulation. England’s back line is already suspect without Harry Maguire.

Take Switzerland in the game of their lifetime. And fade an England side that will have to make tactical changes while still having never figured out what their identity is in the first place.

Switzerland +0.5Asian Handicap
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Odds are accurate at time of writing but subject to change.

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Will Chace

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