Nashville vs LA Galaxy: Wrong Side Favored

Nashville will host the LA Galaxy on the heels of their Inter Miami tie in the CONCACAF Champions Cup. The fixture with Miami has become a rivalry since Messi’s arrival, culminating in a Leagues Cup Final last year. Can Nashville remain focused and defend home turf against their West Coast opponent? Read on to access an expert Nashville vs LA Galaxy prediction and explore stats and the latest LA Galaxy odds in 2024.

  • Nashville SC vs Los Angeles Galaxy, Major League Soccer
  • March 10, 2024
  • 3 PM EST
  • GEODIS Park, Nashville, Tennessee
  • MLS Season Pass

Nashville vs LA Galaxy Odds

Nashville are favorites as the home side at GEODIS Park, but not overwhelmingly so. The Boys in Gold are lined at (+117) to win on Sunday. On the other hand, the LA Galaxy hope to continue their away success with back-to-back wins, this time as (+230) underdogs. A draw would pay out bettors at (+276).

Premier LeagueBetOnline ReviewBetUS ReviewBovadaXBet ReviewMyBookie Review
LA Galaxy+225+225+225+230+230

Want to better understand the 3-way moneyline (1X2) market? See our soccer betting tips and explore top MLS betting sites.

Nashville SC 2024 Season

Sunday’s matchup will represent Nashville’s 6th game since February 22. In contrast, LA Galaxy will be playing just their 3rd in that timeframe. Needless to say, fatigue should be of the utmost concern for Gary Smith and his crew. This potential weakness is corroborated by a taxing affair in Nashville’s latest outing at altitude in Colorado.

The midweek home leg against Inter Miami will pack the stands and leave Smith with no choice but to play his best squad possible. Defeat may be the death penalty for the Coyotes, who would face a considerable challenge in earning a victory in the away leg, let alone any penalty kicks that may ensue.

The wear on the body may be mirrored by mental exhaustion as well. Nashville and Inter Miami squared off 4 times last year across the Leagues Cup, US Open Cup, and their top-flight fixtures. The club was known for pushing a seemingly unstoppable Miami side to the brink of defeat on multiple occasions. The two sides traded 2-1 outcomes before drawing twice to put the rivalry on even terms on the calendar year. 

Previous Game and Injury News for Nashville SC

In their previous match, Nashville earned a respectable draw in Colorado as a road underdog. It appeared that Colorado would earn a cruel victory thanks to a brutal error by American international Shaq Moore. The mistake deposited the ball into Nashville’s own net, and appeared to spell defeat until a 90’ penalty was converted by Teal Bunbury. Perhaps the final result was vindication for the club that outperformed its opponent in expected goals during the match, even excluding the spot winner.

Nashville’s skipper will have to make do without Sam Surridge (shoulder), Randall Leal (hip), and Hany Mukhtar (hip) this weekend, all of whom are anticipated to return within the next few weeks.

NashvilleTo Win
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LA Galaxy Recent Games and CONCACAF Champions Cup Omission

The Galaxy will be in high spirits after a dominant Cali Clasico victory over the weekend gave them bragging rights in Southern California. Their neighborly rivals only mustered one goal in a poor attempt to come back from Galaxy’s commanding 3-0 lead. 10 corners, along with 12 shots, only converted to 0.55 expected goals across the game for the San Jose Earthquakes. Low quality chances left San Jose with little hope, an outlook Galaxy will look to recreate for their opponents this weekend as well.

Since they are in separate conferences, scheduling does not line up Los Angeles and Nashville too often. In fact, this match will be just the 4th ever in this fixture, with Galaxy owning the head-to-head record. The West Coast club earned two 1-0 victories in 2022, with the two sides sharing the spoils that year as well. 

The new CONCACAF Champions Cup format in 2024 did not accommodate an appearance for the LA Galaxy, who will sit out this year’s cup after failing to qualify during their 2023 efforts. To enter into the prestigious North American tournament, there are a number of methods available to MLS teams.  Teams can gain entry through the following qualifications:

  • Winner of the MLS Supporters’ Shield
  • Winner of the MLS Cup
  • Winner of the US Open Cup
  • Winner, runner-up or third place of the Leagues Cup
  • Winner of the MLS Eastern or Western Conference
  • Winner of the Canadian Championship
  • One wild card spot for next best remaining in MLS Supporters’ Shield

The Galaxy’s only injury concern remains with Jalen Neal, whose abdominal injury will keep him out of commission until later this month. 

LA GalaxyTo Win
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Nashville vs LA Galaxy Prediction and Free Betting Pick

Nashville is a team, based on previous season’s results and what we have seen so far in 2024, that struggles to score. That is a recipe for disaster against the attacking-minded Galaxy who look to punish teams who can’t keep up with the fast pace. They had Messi’s Miami on the ropes, up a goal with only a few minutes remaining, and put 3 up on San Jose in an always contentious Cali Clasico.

While home field advantage goes a long way in the MLS, so too does rest advantage. Nashville will be on jellied legs playing against a Galaxy team that will have over a week to prepare. (+230) is simply too high a number for a game that should be near even, or (+165) on both sides. I think we are getting tremendous value on this Los Angeles club to steal another result on the road and continue their undefeated start to their 2024 campaign. Give me LA Galaxy to cover +0.25 for 1.5 units.

LA Galaxy +0.25Asian Handicap
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