A Tuesday night in Wolverhampton is the setting for a Premier League showdown between the Wolves and Burnley. The hosts are looking to avoid a 3-match losing streak after dropping to Fulham and Arsenal on the road. Burnley, on the other hand, will take any result they can get after an atrocious start to the season leaves them with only 7 points through 14 games. Continue reading to access an expert Wolves vs Burnley prediction and explore the latest Wolves vs Burnley betting odds.
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs Burnley FC, English Premier League
- December 5, 2023
- 2:30 PM EST
- Molineux Stadium, Wolverhampton, West Midlands, England
Wolves vs Burnley Betting Odds
Wolverhampton are the odds-on favorites to secure all 3 points at home, with a best-available price of (-115) at highly-rated online sportsbooks MyBookie and XBet. An improbable win for the visitors Burnley is priced at an understandable (+340) considering their poor run of form. A draw, in which both teams are level after 90 minutes, is priced at (+285) for an implied probability of 26%.
Wolves Standings and Recent Form
Wolverhampton can take many positives from their trip to the Emirates headquarters on Saturday despite failing to collect a point. Arsenal came out hot out of the gate, picking up two early goals off strikes from Bukayo Saka and Martin Odegaard.
Yet, despite numerous opportunities for Mikel Arteta’s team to secure a commanding lead, Matheus Cunha capitalized on a defensive error in the second half, narrowing the gap. This compelled Arsenal to adopt a defensive stance in the closing stages, who chose to park the bus the remainder of the game. Cries of time-wasting by Gary O’Neil were rendered moot as the final whistle blew without an equalizing goal.
Despite an admirable performance, the hosts’ current form presents a grim picture, having suffered defeats in three of their last four Premier League matches. This decline in form has seen them drop to the 13th position, and depending on Sunday’s results, they might edge even closer to the relegation zone.
If you are a fan of action and lots of goal-scoring, look no further than the Wanderers. Their recent defeat at the Emirates extends a streak of 12 consecutive games where Wolves have both scored and conceded. On a brighter note, the hosts have managed to secure a positive record in their last four home games in the top flight, remaining unbeaten during this stretch.
Burnley Schedule and Advanced Statistics
Vincent Kompany’s side ended a horrific home spell with a dominant performance against Sheffield, winning 5-0. The emphatic statement ended a streak of a record-breaking seven successive losses from their first seven home matches of the Premier League season. Fortunately, despite being in the relegation zone, Burnley are currently tied on points with Everton and are just two points behind Luton Town.
Due to their exceptional performances in the Championship, Burnley arrive at Molineux with an impressive unbeaten streak of 17 midweek league matches. Additionally, they have maintained an undefeated record in their last seven Premier League fixtures with Wolves.
The advanced statistics for Burnley paint a very different picture than what we have seen on the pitch this season. A terrible 2.29 goals allowed per game has come courtesy of only 1.53 expected goals allowed. This alludes to a tremendous amount of misfortune for the Clarets, whose opponents are enjoying considerable luck in finishing. Betting odds are sure to reflect their actual performances as opposed to those expected of this club, which perhaps lends itself to some value on Burnley’s side moving forward.
Wolves vs Burnley Prediction and Free Betting Pick
Betting on underdogs in games in which the favorite is playing on short rest can be very profitable. Burnley, currently sitting in the relegation zone with only two wins to speak of, may be very easily written off on the surface. But their 5-0 thrashing of Sheffield gives reason to believe they are not to be counted out. And the prospect of fatigue on the Wolves side only improves their chances.
Only adding to Burnley’s favor is their remarkable success in midweek league matches over the past year, dating back to their time spent in the Championship. Burnley has also had Wolves’ number, going unbeaten in their last 7 Premier League matches. I think despite having to travel to Molineux, Burnley are the side to bet here.
While I don’t fully trust in Burnley to secure what would be just their 3rd victory of the 2023-24 campaign, I believe the Clarets can do enough to gain a point. Their defensive struggles are really quite unlucky and they have some offensive momentum after pouring on 5 goals last time out. It’s not a particularly pretty bet, but trust in Burnley to get their 4th result against a reeling Wolverhampton.
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