French Open 2024: Alcaraz Overvalued, Zverev to Win?

The second major of the tennis season is underway as the elite men’s tennis players from around the world convene in Paris, France for the French Open. The tournament is scheduled to last through the first week of June and will consist of a bracket-style format with 7 total rounds of play. Some players were automatically qualified and earned seeding, while others made it to the first round via the qualification stages. Read on for an expert Roland-Garros betting prediction and insights into this year’s French Open odds, including stats and tips.

  • Men’s tennis
  • French Open (Roland-Garros)
  • May 26 to June 8, 2024
  • Stade Roland Garros, Paris, France
  • Tennis Channel, Peacock, NBC Sports

2024 Men’s French Open Favorites

The young Carlos Alcaraz is the favorite to hoist the elusive French Open trophy after his recent successes at Roland-Garros. The Spaniard is (+240) to win it all. Jannik Sinner and Novak Djokovic are not far behind at (+375). Alexander Zverev is also up amongst the favorites to win the only clay major, with odds of (+450).

French OpenBetOnline ReviewBetUS ReviewBovada
Carlos Alcaraz+225+240+240
Jannik Sinner+375+400+400
Novak Djokovic+375+400+400
Alexander Zverev+500+450+450
Casper Ruud+1100+800+800
Stefanos Tsitsipas+900+900+900
Andrey Rublev+2800+3300+3300
Daniil Medvedev+2800+3300+3300
Holger Rune+3300+3300+3300
Hubert Hurkacz+6000+5000+5000
Grigor Dimitrov+6600+8000+8000
Taylor Fritz+8000+8000+8000

Want to better understand the 3-way moneyline (1X2) market? See our tennis betting tips and learn about French Open betting odds.

Does Carlos Alcaraz Deserve to be the Favorite?

Despite Carlitos’ prowess on clay, the Spanish former no.1 has never actually won at the French Open. His best finish was in the semifinals last year, yet a loss to Novak Djokovic put an end to his quest. He has dealt with many injuries in his career, and an arm injury to his dominant arm is the latest to plague the young superstar. Considering his forehand is arguably his best weapon, and he has played very little over the last few weeks, it is hard to trust Alcaraz at such a high price.

I would suggest looking elsewhere with your hard-earned money. Novak Djokovic may be a good look at a buy-low price considering his year has not quite gone his way. For injury reasons, it is also recommended to stay away from Jannik Sinner despite his dominant season. The Italian has had to deal with a nagging hip injury recently, and may not be his best self in Paris.

Carlos AlcarazTo Win Outright
★★★★★
+240
Bet now

Can Zverev Make a Run?

Alexander Zverev, although battling off-the-court issues, should be the favorite to win it all at the French Open. Yes, you read that correctly. I believe Sascha is the best man on clay at the moment, and the proof is in the pudding. The German has made semifinals three straight years at Roland Garros, and won the Italian Open in Rome with victories over many high-quality, seeded opponents including Taylor Fritz.

His draw is rather favorable, with only Holger Rune and Daniil Medvedev standing before him as likely other favorites to make it out of his side of the bracket. Yet Rune is still largely unproven, especially in 5-set tournaments, and Medvedev has notoriously struggled in Paris. In fact, the Russian has lost in the first round 5 times in the last 7 seasons at the French Open. 

With question marks surrounding the form and fitness of Carlos Alcaraz and Novak Djokovic, I think betting on Alexander Zverev to win outright has a lot of value. He has already defeated the legendary clay specialist Rafael Nadal in straight sets in the first round, giving him the confidence he needs to finally triumph in France.

Alexander ZverevTo Win Outright
★★★★★
+500
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Is This Finally Casper Ruud’s Year?

The 25-year-old Norwegian Casper Ruud has historically excelled on dirt surfaces, with a 138-49 record on clay. Going 17-4 already this year on clay and coming off a title at the Geneva Open, he is in ripe form to contend again at the French Open. Ruud has made it to the final on back-to-back occasions at Roland Garros, but has yet to earn his first major win. Perhaps this is his year to do it.

In a 2024 season that has been a mixed bag of results from top contenders, Ruud should feel comfortable that he can compete for the title at the French Open. He has a relatively easy path to the quarterfinals, most likely with Taylor Fritz in his way. From there, he will have to pull off some upsets, but he shouldn’t be a big underdog against anyone on clay. If the dice fall a certain way, Ruud will look like the surprise that should have surprised no one.

Casper RuudTo Win Outright
★★★★★
+1100
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Longshot French Open Picks: Fabian Marozsan

If you are looking for a longshot candidate that could bust everyone’s brackets and shock the world, look no further than Fabian Marozsan. The young Hungarian has a win over Carlos Alcaraz on clay and cracked into the top 40 this year with upsets over Alex de Minaur and Holger Rune. Marozsan has typically surprised opponents in their first meeting and is playing better than ever at the moment.

Marozsan will be playing Grigor Dimitrov in the second round, a winnable matchup considering the form of the veteran, who has never excelled on the clay surface anyways. He is in a weaker section also, so a quarterfinal appearance following a potential upset is not outside the realm of possibility. Besides, at (+25000), how wrong can you be?

Fabian MarozsanTo Win Outright
★★★★★
+25000
Bet now

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Will Chace

From Boston, Will's passion for sports is more of a hereditary characteristic than a learned hobby. Besides rooting for his hometown teams, he follows MMA heavily and will consume just about any sports-related content. In college, Will combined his passion for sports and writing as a journalist. Now, he provides detailed betting analysis to help others profit off their sports knowledge too. Will spots insights casual fans may miss and delivers his guidance in a direct, no-nonsense style. In his downtime, you can find him unwinding on the couch and watching foreign film classics.