Monte-Carlo Picks: Rune Should Scare Sinner Early

Holger Rune has a tough draw on Saturday in the quarterfinals of the Monte-Carlo Masters as he faces #2 seed Jannik Sinner. Sinner is coming off a win at the Miami Open and has had a scorching hot start to his 2024 campaign. Rune has regained some of his form after a tough end to 2023, yet has needed 3 sets in each of his matches at Monte-Carlo so far. Read on to access an expert Holger Rune vs Jannik Sinner 2024 prediction and explore stats and the latest Monte-Carlo odds.

  • Holger Rune vs Jannik Sinner
  • Monte-Carlo Masters Quarterfinals
  • April 12, 2024
  • Monte-Carlo Country Club, Roquebrune-Cap-Martin, France
  • Outdoor, Clay
  • Fubo, Tennis Channel

Holger Rune vs Jannik Sinner 2024 Monte-Carlo Odds

Holger Rune will be a massive underdog in Southern France, as the Dane is currently priced at (+569). Jannik Sinner is available at a line of (-700), showcasing his respect from bookmakers for his talent even on the clay surface.

Monte-Carlo MastersBetOnline ReviewBetUS ReviewBovada
Holger Rune+569+450+475
Jannik Sinner-789-700-700

To learn more, visit our tennis odds 2024 page and learn about tennis betting sites.

Monte-Carlo Masters History and Significance

The Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters, marking its 100th anniversary in 2006, stands as the inaugural ATP Masters 1000 tournament held on clay. Renowned for its splendid venue, the Monte-Carlo Country Club, and rich history of champions, the event holds a special place in the hearts of players and fans alike. Spain’s Rafael Nadal stands tall as the record holder with 11 titles at the tournament, including an impressive eight consecutive wins between 2005 and 2012, setting an Open-Era record.

Jannik Sinner 2024 Performance and Recent News

Jannik Sinner continued his clay-court ascent at the Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters, defeating his German counterpart Jan-Lennard Struff with a scoreline of 6-4, 6-2, securing his spot in the quarterfinals. With just one loss this season, Sinner has seamlessly transitioned from hard courts to clay, adding to his opening-round triumph with a swift 76-minute victory over Struff on Court Rainier III.

Considered by many as the top player on the current tour, the 22-year-old is actively pursuing Novak Djokovic’s No. 1 ranking. However, a potential face-off between the two in Monte Carlo can only occur if they both advance to the final. This prospect remains alive, with Djokovic avenging a 2023 defeat to Lorenzo Musetti and joining Sinner in the quarterfinals.

Jannik SinnerTo Win
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Coach Reunion Working Wonders for Rune

In February, Holger Rune announced his reunion with Patrick Mouratoglou for another collaboration, stepping in for the recently departed Boris Becker and Severin Luthi. Rune has a longstanding connection with the Frenchman’s academy, dating back to his early days as a 13-year-old “Champseeder.” Yet Mouratoglou brings his own set of challenges and uncertainties, especially in light of former protege Simona Halep’s positive test for a banned substance in 2022.

Back in October of last year, Becker aided Rune in qualifying for his first Nitto ATP Finals. The initial trial period was prolonged, with Luthi joining two months later ahead of the 2024 season. However, the revamped team quickly dissolved after Rune’s second-round defeat at the Australian Open, beginning with Luthi’s departure and followed by Becker’s exit a week later.

For the fashionistas out there, Holger Rune has been making the rounds for his bold outfit selection. Rune has been sporting an eye-catching, ultra-loud, all-yellow Nike kit in his matches so far.

Holger RuneTo Win
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Holger Rune Argues with Same Umpire as Medvedev

Rune and Sinner have faced off three times on the ATP Tour, with the Danish player leading the head-to-head 2-1. In the 2022 Sofia Open semifinal, Rune emerged victorious with a scoreline of 5-6, 6-4, 5-2 (RET). At the 2023 Nitto ATP Finals round robin, Sinner gained the upper hand with a hard-fought victory of 6-2, 5-7, 6-4. Rune secured his second win against the Italian player in last year’s Monte-Carlo Masters semifinal.

Holger Rune found himself in a heated altercation with Monte-Carlo Masters umpire Carlos Bernardes shortly after Daniil Medvedev’s call for his dismissal. Rune expressed frustration over a questionable line call during his match against Grigor Dimitrov and didn’t hesitate to voice his discontent. He persisted in arguing with Bernardes, gesturing widely to emphasize his belief that the ball was well within the lines. However, Bernardes remained resolute and dismissed Rune’s protests, allowing the match to eventually resume.

Holger Rune vs Jannik Sinner 2024 Monte-Carlo Odds, Prediction and Free Betting Pick

Holger Rune had a demanding day, playing two matches. First, he had to complete his Round of 16 match against Nagal, which he won in three sets. Just a few hours later, Rune faced Dimitrov in a match that lasted almost 4 hours.

Despite the grueling schedule, Rune emerged victorious in three sets, securing victory with two tiebreak wins. With little time to rest before facing Sinner, it’s uncertain if he’ll be fully prepared tomorrow. Tennis is physically demanding, and after playing two matches in a single day, adequate rest is essential.

But I still think the number is far too wide. Rune, despite only being 20, has won 2 titles on clay in his career to Sinner’s 1. Being wary of Rune’s heavy legs lagging into the final sets, I will forgo backing him across the entire match and instead target the first set. A moneyline of (+320) to take a one-set lead over Sinner is a great number for a clay specialist, even against Sinner in his current form. I will take that for a quarter unit.

Holger RuneTo Win 1st Set
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From Boston, Will's passion for sports is more of a hereditary characteristic than a learned hobby. Besides rooting for his hometown teams, he follows MMA heavily and will consume just about any sports-related content. In college, Will combined his passion for sports and writing as a journalist. Now, he provides detailed betting analysis to help others profit off their sports knowledge too. Will spots insights casual fans may miss and delivers his guidance in a direct, no-nonsense style. In his downtime, you can find him unwinding on the couch and watching foreign film classics.