Steve Starr
- Go to BetOnline or Bovada for the latest odds on the Heat vs Nuggets Game 5 matchup
- Nikola Jokic is a -5000 favorite to win 2023 NBA Finals MVP after putting up a record 10 triple-doubles this postseason
- ABC airs Game 5 from Ball Arena in Denver on Monday, June 12 at 8:30 p.m. ET
With its 108-95 victory in Game 4 of the NBA Finals, the Nuggets are just one win away from its first NBA championship in 47 seasons. Denver can close out the series on Monday night at home, where they’re 9-1 this postseason.
Will Nikola Jokić collect his first ring in front of his home fans or can the Heat register one final upset and force a Game 6 back in Miami on Thursday? Before we look at the latest 2023 NBA Finals Betting Odds, check out our guide to betting on NBA basketball.
Heat vs Nuggets – Game 5
 | Spread | Money Line | Total Points |
| Miami Heat | +9.0 (-110) | +325 | Un 208.5 (-110) |
| Denver Nuggets | -9.0 (-110) | -405 | Ov 208.5 (-110) |
Denver’s secondary stars shine
Denver has been a top-heavy, two-man team throughout most of the playoffs. But, their secondary scoring was crucial to their 108-95 win on Friday. Aaron Gordon scored 27 points, six rebounds and six assists while Bruce Brown added 21 off the bench. Many of which were crucial fourth-quarter buckets while Nikola Jokić was in foul trouble.
That said, the two-time NBA MVP still put up 23 points and 12 rebounds in Game 4. Jamal Murray also finished with 15 points and 12 assists, becoming only the second player after Magic Johnson to register four straight 10-assist games in the NBA Finals.
Bruce Brown and Aaron Gordon turned up the intensity in Game 4 😤 pic.twitter.com/PzXNIYrzpQ
— NBA on ESPN (@ESPNNBA) June 10, 2023
Heat’s title chances are ice cold
While Denver has won nine of its last 10 games, Erik Spoelstra’s club has dropped six of their last eight. Jimmy Butler had 25 points, seven rebounds and seven assists in Game 4 and Bam Adebayo collected 20 points and 11 boards. But, the team’s secondary scoring has gone cold of late. Miami hit only 19-of-60 three pointers (31.6%) in its last two home games.
The Heat are now 1-6 in the playoffs when they score less than 100 points, with three of those losses coming against the Nuggets in the 2023 NBA Finals.
Miami vs Denver
Denver is a 9-point favorite to clinch their first championship at home in Game 5. They’re 9-1 in Ball Arena in the postseason while the Heat have a 7-5 road record, including a Game 7 triumph over the Celtics and a Game 2 victory over the Nuggets.
As only the second 8th seed in NBA history to reach the finals, Miami has many surprising wins throughout their playoff run. However, the odds are truly stacked against them now. Only one of 36 teams to fall behind 3-1 in the NBA Finals have comeback to win the series – the 2016 Cleveland Cavaliers.
This is Nikola Jokic's world.
We're just living in it. pic.twitter.com/4Afd2upgGu
— NBA Memes (@NBAMemes) June 10, 2023
Best Bet
While three of the four games in this series have gone UNDER, we’ll take the OVER on 208.5 points as we expect the Nuggets offense to be clicking on all cylinders in Game 5.
We like Denver to cover the 9-point spread at home on Monday night and clinch their first NBA title in the franchise’s 47-year history. Before claiming the 2023 NBA Finals MVP, look for Jokić to extend his record with his 11th triple-double of the playoffs.
See below the top sportsbooks where you can wager online and choose the best one for you:
