- Nikola Jokic and the Nuggets (7-1) are 3.5-point home favorites over Steph Curry’s Warriors (6-2)
- Golden State is an impressive 5-1 on the road this season after finishing 12-25 away from home last year
- Wednesday night’s game tips off from Ball Arena in Denver, CO at 10:00pm ET
Nikola Jokic is already back in NBA Finals MVP form, registering 35 points, 14 rebounds and 12 assists in Denver’s 134-116 win over the Pelicans on Monday night. Steph Curry has also been cooking early in the season, securing Western Conference Player of the Week honors after averaging 31 points and five assists.
Can the Warriors knock off the reigning NBA champions at home on Wednesday night? Before we look at the latest odds and make our picks, be sure to check out the 2023-24 NBA MVP Betting Odds and our guide to betting on NBA basketball.
Nuggets vs Warriors
|Spread||Money Line||Total Points|
|Golden State Warriors||+3.5 (-110)||+134||Ov 227.5 (-110)|
|Denver Nuggets||-3.5 (-110)||-158||Un 227.5 (-110)|
Denver starts strong
Denver mostly stood pat in the offseason after securing the first championship in franchise history. Nikola Jokic is almost averaging a triple-double (28.4 points, 12.9 rebounds, 8.4 assists) through eight games. However, his running mate Jamal Murray will likely miss a week or two with a right hamstring injury.
Michael Porter Jr. and rookie Julian Strawther helped pick up the slack in a 134-116 victory over the Pelicans on Monday, each scoring over 20 points. Aaron Gordon also notched 15 points and 12 rebounds. The Nuggets are 7-1 this season with their sole loss coming on the road in Minnesota last week.
Nikola Jokic held a press conference where he answered his own questions
Truly one of onepic.twitter.com/Wj0Tq4VijB
— Barstool Sports (@barstoolsports) November 7, 2023
Curry is cooking
Steph Curry is the first player in NBA history to make four or more threes in each of his first eight games. Shooting an incredible 47.5% beyond the arc, the 35-year-old is averaging 30.9 points, 4.8 rebounds and 4.3 assists this season. With Klay Thompson, Draymond Green and Andrew Wiggins all still rounding into form, Curry has carried his club to a 6-2 record this season.
The Warriors knocked Denver out of the first round in five games back in 2022 en route to their fourth title. However, the reigning NBA champions captured all three games versus Steve Kerr’s club last season.
Denver vs Golden State
Denver is 3.5-point home chalk on Wednesday with the over/under set at 227.5 points. The Nuggets are a perfect 5-0 at Ball Arena this season and had the best home record (44-8) in the league last year while covering in 60.8% of their games.
Perhaps the most impressive thing about Golden State’s 6-2 record is that five of their wins have come outside the Chase Center. After being a miserable 12-35 on the road last year, they’ve started the season 5-1 away from home. The Warriors are also 4-2 against the spread after covering in a league-worst 27.7% of their road games in 2022-23.
Steph Curry tonight:
Leading the NBA in points and threes. 🐐 pic.twitter.com/1TepOSHIAm
— ³⁰ (@StephMuse_) November 7, 2023
Denver is as close to unbeatable at home as any team in the league, but Jamal Murray’s absence could loom large. After all, the Canadian went nuclear in the postseason last year, averaging 26.1 points, 7.1 assists and 5.7 rebounds.
With Steph Curry shooting the ball as well as he ever has in his Hall of Fame career, we’ll take the Warriors (+134) to upset the Nuggets at home with the OVER 227.5.
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