Steph Curry’s Warriors to knock off Jokic’s Nuggets on Wednesday night

  • Nikola Jokic and the Nuggets (7-1) are 3.5-point home favorites over Steph Curry’s Warriors (6-2)  
  • Golden State is an impressive 5-1 on the road this season after finishing 12-25 away from home last year 
  • Wednesday night’s game tips off from Ball Arena in Denver, CO at 10:00pm ET

Nikola Jokic is already back in NBA Finals MVP form, registering 35 points, 14 rebounds and 12 assists in Denver’s 134-116 win over the Pelicans on Monday night. Steph Curry has also been cooking early in the season, securing Western Conference Player of the Week honors after averaging 31 points and five assists.

Can the Warriors knock off the reigning NBA champions at home on Wednesday night? Before we look at the latest odds and make our picks, be sure to check out the 2023-24 NBA MVP Betting Odds and our guide to betting on NBA basketball.

Nuggets vs Warriors

BetOnline ReviewSpreadMoney LineTotal Points
Golden State Warriors+3.5 (-110)+134Ov 227.5 (-110)
Denver Nuggets-3.5 (-110)-158Un 227.5 (-110)

Denver starts strong

Denver mostly stood pat in the offseason after securing the first championship in franchise history. Nikola Jokic is almost averaging a triple-double (28.4 points, 12.9 rebounds, 8.4 assists) through eight games. However, his running mate Jamal Murray will likely miss a week or two with a right hamstring injury.

Michael Porter Jr. and rookie Julian Strawther helped pick up the slack in a 134-116 victory over the Pelicans on Monday, each scoring over 20 points. Aaron Gordon also notched 15 points and 12 rebounds. The Nuggets are 7-1 this season with their sole loss coming on the road in Minnesota last week.

Curry is cooking

Steph Curry is the first player in NBA history to make four or more threes in each of his first eight games. Shooting an incredible 47.5% beyond the arc, the 35-year-old is averaging 30.9 points, 4.8 rebounds and 4.3 assists this season. With Klay Thompson, Draymond Green and Andrew Wiggins all still rounding into form, Curry has carried his club to a 6-2 record this season.

The Warriors knocked Denver out of the first round in five games back in 2022 en route to their fourth title. However, the reigning NBA champions captured all three games versus Steve Kerr’s club last season.

Golden Stateto cover vs Nuggets
★★★★★
+3.5
Bet now
OVER 227.5Nuggets vs Warriors
★★★★★
-110
Bet now

Denver vs Golden State

Denver is 3.5-point home chalk on Wednesday with the over/under set at 227.5 points. The Nuggets are a perfect 5-0 at Ball Arena this season and had the best home record (44-8) in the league last year while covering in 60.8% of their games.

Perhaps the most impressive thing about Golden State’s 6-2 record is that five of their wins have come outside the Chase Center. After being a miserable 12-35 on the road last year, they’ve started the season 5-1 away from home. The Warriors are also 4-2 against the spread after covering in a league-worst 27.7% of their road games in 2022-23.

Best Bet

Denver is as close to unbeatable at home as any team in the league, but Jamal Murray’s absence could loom large. After all, the Canadian went nuclear in the postseason last year, averaging 26.1 points, 7.1 assists and 5.7 rebounds.

With Steph Curry shooting the ball as well as he ever has in his Hall of Fame career, we’ll take the Warriors (+134) to upset the Nuggets at home with the OVER 227.5.

Golden Stateto win vs Nuggets
★★★★★
+134
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Steve Starr

Highly analytical and results-driven Sports Betting Expert with over 20 years of experience in sports analytics, betting strategy development, and risk management. Proven track record of leveraging statistical models and market analysis to achieve consistent profitability in sports betting. Adept at using data-driven insights to forecast outcomes, identify value bets, and optimize betting strategies. Strong communication skills with a demonstrated ability to present complex data in an understandable manner. Skills -Advanced Statistical Analysis -Predictive Modeling & Forecasting -Sports Analytics & Data Interpretation -Risk Management & Stake Allocation -Market Research & Trend Analysis -Strategic Betting Strategies -Proficiency with Betting Software (e.g., Betfair, Pinnacle) -Strong Excel & Data Visualization Skills -Excellent Communication & Presentation Skills