Nuggets to knock off Heat in Game 4 and take 3-1 lead in 2023 NBA Finals

  • Go to BetOnline or Bovada for the latest odds on the Heat vs Nuggets Game 4 matchup
  • Nikola Jokic is the first player in NBA Finals history to score 30 points, 20 rebounds and 10 assists in a game
  • ABC airs Game 4 from Kaseya Center in Miami on Friday, June 9 at 8:30 p.m. ET

Nikola Jokic and Jamal Murray became the first teammates in NBA history to register 30-point triple-doubles in the same game (regular season or playoffs), leading the Nuggets to a 109-94 Game 3 victory over the Heat.

Down 2-1 in the NBA Finals, can Miami rebound in Game 4 on Friday night? Before we look at the latest 2023 NBA Finals Betting Odds, check out our guide to betting on NBA basketball.

Heat vs Nuggets – Game 4

BetOnline ReviewSpreadMoney LineTotal Points
Denver Nuggets-3.0 (-116)-152Ov 210.5 (-110)
Miami Heat+3.0 (-104)+132Un 210.5 (-110)

Denver’s two man show

Nikola Jokic notched 32 points, 21 boards and 10 assists in Game 3, extending his single-season record with his 10th triple-double of the postseason. His teammate Jamal Murray also finished with 34 points, 10 rebounds, 10 assists in Wednesday’s 109-94 blowout of the Heat.

While Jimmy Butler (28 points) and Bam Adebayo (22 points, 17 rebounds) showed up to play, Miami got very little from their supporting cast. After making 17 triples in a 111-108 Game 2 win, they went only 11-of-34 (31.4%) from beyond the arc. Known for their toughness and tenacity, Erik Spoelsta’s club was outrebounded 58-33 and outscored in the paint 60-34.

Can Miami comeback?

The winner of Game 3 in a NBA Finals series tied 1-1 has gone on to win 80% (32 of 40) of the time. While it’s happened four times in the past 12 seasons, including last year’s Warriors and the 2013 Heat, it’s rare for the lower-seeded team to pull off the comeback. Of the eight clubs that overcame a 2-1 series deficit, only one didn’t have home-court advantage.

Miami held a series lead following Game 3 in all three of their previous matchups this postseason. But, they certainly know what it’s like to come from behind. They’ve already won seven playoff games after trailing by at least 12 points.

Denver NuggetsTo Win Series
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Miami HeatTo Win Series
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Miami vs Denver

Denver is a 3-point road favorite in Game 4 and at a ridiculous -800 to win the series. On the flip side, you can get Miami at almost 6-to-1 odds (+580) if you think they can win three of the next four games. It might be too tall of a task when you consider the Heat have lost three-consecutive home contests and five of their past seven games overall.

To even the series at 2-2, Erik Spoelstra’s club will have to be red-hot from 3-point range while limiting the Nuggets’ two-headed attack.

Denver winning the series 4-1 is available at +105. If they can pull off another road victory at Kaseya Center, Michael Malone’s team can capture the championship on Monday night at home, where they are 10-1 in the postseason.

Best Bet

Miami has been counted out many times before – however, this looks like the end of their miracle run. With Jokic in the midst of a playoff performance for the ages, the Nuggets are just too efficient offensively.

We like Denver to cover the 3-point spread on the road in Game 4 and claim the franchise’s first NBA title back at home on Monday night.

Denver NuggetsTo Cover Spread
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Steve Starr

Steve is the quintessential American sports enthusiast. He has mastered the art of Sundays, devoting them to football, and barbecue parties. He proudly wears the hats of a good father, husband and a great dog owner. Aside from his decades of contributing to different top-tier sports publications, Steve has also found his niche on Twitter, where he publishes funny and relatable sports-related insights. When he's not busy tweeting, Steve loves to watch each game unfold live. He possesses an innate talent for finding humor in the sports world, appreciating both the thrilling moments and the comedic mishaps that make each event unique.