Will Nick Bosa’s Niners sack Patrick Mahomes in Super Bowl 58?

  • You can wager on a wide selection of Super Bowl 58 Props for sacks and turnovers
  • There has never been a punt return touchdown (+1200) in the history of the Super Bowl
  • Super Bowl 58 kicks off from Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas, NV at 6 pm ET on Feb. 11, 2024

While this year’s Super Bowl is a matchup between two of the best offenses in the NFL, defense could determine the winner of the Lombardi Trophy with game-wreckers like Chris Jones and Nick Bosa on each side.

Today, we’ll look at props for Total Sacks and Total Turnovers, and whether a kick or punt return touchdown will be scored. But first, be sure to check out the best Super Bowl 58 betting tips and find smart advice on how to bet on 2024 Super Bowl Props.

Total Sacks in Super Bowl 58

SacksBetOnline ReviewBovadaMyBookie Review
Total Sacks by Both TeamsOver 4.5 (-115)Over 4.5 (-115)Over 4.5 (-115)
Under 4.5 (-115)Under 4.5 (-115)Under 4.5 (-115)
Total Sacks by 49ersOver 2.5 ('+160)Over 2.5 ('+160)Over 2.5 ('+160)
Under 2.5 (-200)Under 2.5 (-200)Under 2.5 (-200)
Total Sacks by ChiefsOver 2.5 (-125)Over 2.5 (-125)Over 2.5 (-125)
Under 2.5 (-105)Under 2.5 (-105)Under 2.5 (-105)

49ers expected to go under

The over/under for total sacks in Super Bowl 58 is set at 4.5 with heavy juice towards the UNDER (-130). San Francisco’s offensive line allowed two sacks versus the Lions and one against the Packers. Patrick Mahomes has the second-lowest sack rate in the NFL, but was brought down twice by the Ravens in the AFC Championship Game.

Bettors have hammered the UNDER (-200) on 2.5 sacks by the 49ers while the Chiefs are -125 to hit the OVER on 2.5. KC’s defense recorded 3.2 sacks per game during the regular season and got to Lamar Jackson four times last week. Meanwhile, Nick Bosa recorded the Niners’ only two sacks of the postseason against Detroit.

Total Turnovers

Total TurnoversBetOnline ReviewBovadaMyBookie Review
Over 2.5 Turnovers-120-120-120
Under 2.5 Turnovers-110-110-110

Costly mistakes

The over/under is set at 2.5 turnovers. San Francisco generated 1.6 takeaways per game (tied for No. 4 in the NFL) while the Chiefs offense gave the ball away 1.5 times per game (ninth-worst). Kansas City’s defense was also bottom-ten in turnovers (1.1) while Kyle Shanahan’s offense averaged only one giveaway per contest.

Steve Spagnuolo’s D generated three turnovers in the AFC Championship win over Baltimore and intercepted Tua Tagovailoa on Wild Card Weekend. The 49ers picked off Jordan Love twice in the Divisional Round and recovered a Jahmyr Gibbs fumble in the NFC Championship.

UNDER4.5 Sacks
★★★★★
-130
Bet now
UNDER2.5 Turnovers
★★★★★
-110
Bet now

Kick or Punt Return TD scored?

Special Teams TDBetOnline ReviewBovadaMyBookie Review
Kick Return for TDNo (-3000)No (-3000)No (-3000)
Yes (+1400)Yes (+1400)Yes (+1400)
Punt Return for TDNo (-2500)No (-2500)No (-2500)
Yes (+1200)Yes (+1200)Yes (+1200)

Making Super Bowl history?

There has never been a punt returned for a touchdown through 57 Super Bowl games. Neither the Niners or Chiefs were one of the eight teams to return a punt to the house during the 2023 season. While there were half as many kick return TDs (4) this year, there have been 10 kickoffs returned for touchdowns in Super Bowl history.

However, NFL rule changes have made them increasingly rare. The last one was by Seattle’s Percy Harvin against the Broncos a decade ago in Super Bowl 48. So, forget the kick return score at +1400. Let’s wager on Super Bowl history being made with a punt return TD (+1200).  

YESPunt Return TD
★★★★★
+1200
Bet now

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Steve Starr

Highly analytical and results-driven Sports Betting Expert with over 20 years of experience in sports analytics, betting strategy development, and risk management. Proven track record of leveraging statistical models and market analysis to achieve consistent profitability in sports betting. Adept at using data-driven insights to forecast outcomes, identify value bets, and optimize betting strategies. Strong communication skills with a demonstrated ability to present complex data in an understandable manner. Skills -Advanced Statistical Analysis -Predictive Modeling & Forecasting -Sports Analytics & Data Interpretation -Risk Management & Stake Allocation -Market Research & Trend Analysis -Strategic Betting Strategies -Proficiency with Betting Software (e.g., Betfair, Pinnacle) -Strong Excel & Data Visualization Skills -Excellent Communication & Presentation Skills

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