Chiefs to pound Packers at Lambeau Field on Sunday Night Football

  • Kansas City (8-3) is a 6-point road favorite over the Packers (5-6) in Week 13 of the NFL season
  • Jordan Love has a 3-1 record with 8 TDs and 2 INTs over the past four games
  • Sunday Night Football on NBC kicks off from Lambeau Field in Green Bay, WI at 8:20pm ET

With three wins in their past four games, the Packers have climbed back into the NFC playoff picture thanks to the improved play of Jordan Love. Green Bay’s new franchise quarterback will be in tough on Sunday against a tough Chiefs defense. Kansas City is one win behind the Ravens for the top spot in the AFC after a bounceback win against the Raiders in week 12.

Before we check the odds on this Sunday Night Football matchup and make our picks, here’s where you can find the best Super Bowl betting tips and the top betting sites for NFL football in 2023.

Packers vs Chiefs

BetOnline ReviewSpreadMoney LineTotal Points
Kansas City Chiefs-6.0 (-105)-260Un 42 (-110)
Green Bay Packers+6.0 (-115)+220Ov 42 (-110)

KC back on track?

Patrick Mahomes passed for 298 yards and two touchdowns in a 31-17 victory over the Raiders on Sunday. Most encouragingly, KC’s receivers didn’t have any dropped passes after leading the NFL in the category through 11 weeks. Rookie pass catcher Rashee Rice was finally given a feature role, making eight receptions for 107 yards and a TD, and sophomore back Isiah Pacheco punched in two scores.

Steve Spagnuolo’s defense also stayed hot, limiting Las Vegas to just 113 yards in the second half. At 8-3, the Chiefs are in position to land the No. 1 seed in the AFC if they can stay focused on Sunday night before an epic clash with the Buffalo Bills in week 14.

Jordan Love on a roll

Jordan Love passed for 268 yards and three scores in a 29-22 upset of the Lions on Thanksgiving Day. After throwing 11 touchdowns and eight interception in the season’s first seven games, Aaron Rodgers’ replacement has 8 TDs and 2 INTs in the past four contests. Over that span, the 25-year-old’s completion percentage has also shot up to 65% from a league-low 58%.

With the Packers in striking distance of the seventh-and-final playoff spot in the NFC, Love will face his toughest test yet. Kansas City’s defense has allowed the third-fewest points per game (16.5) in the NFL, ranking No. 4 against the pass (176.6).

Kansas Cityto win vs Packers
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-260
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OVER 42Packers vs Chiefs
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-110
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Green Bay vs Kansas City

Green Bay is a 6-point home underdog at Lambeau Field on Sunday night and the over/under is set at 42 points. Joe Barry’s defense isn’t at the same level of KC’s, however, they do rank top-10 in points allowed (20.4) and passing yards allowed (205.1) per week.

Patrick Mahomes ranks a lowly seventh in passing yards (2,917) this season, but his 21 TDs put him just three behind Josh Allen for the league lead. Look for Andy Reid to feed Pacheco against a Packers D that ranks 27th against the run, allowing 135.2 yards per game.

Betting trends

The Chiefs are 7-4 against the spread this year and 3-2 as a road favorite, while the Packers have a 6-5 ATS mark with a 2-1 record as a home dog. Kansas City games have also hit the UNDER in five of eight contests in 2023 (72.7%)

Best Bets

Green Bay hasn’t played since last Thursday, but Matt LaFleur’s club is just 1-3 with a rest advantage this year. While their Thanksgiving Day win over the Lions was impressive, Jordan Love and the Packers will fall back to earth against one of the NFL’s best defenses on Sunday Night Football.

We’ll take the Chiefs to cover (-6) with the OVER 42.

Kansas Cityto cover vs Packers
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-6.0
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Steve Starr

Steve is the quintessential American sports enthusiast. He has mastered the art of Sundays, devoting them to football, and barbecue parties. He proudly wears the hats of a good father, husband and a great dog owner. Aside from his decades of contributing to different top-tier sports publications, Steve has also found his niche on Twitter, where he publishes funny and relatable sports-related insights. When he's not busy tweeting, Steve loves to watch each game unfold live. He possesses an innate talent for finding humor in the sports world, appreciating both the thrilling moments and the comedic mishaps that make each event unique.

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