- Kansas City (5-1) is a 5.5-point home favorite over the Chargers (2-3) in Week 7 of the NFL season
- Patrick Mahomes has a 4-2 career record against AFC West rival Justin Herbert
- Sunday’s game kicks off from Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City, MO at 4:25pm ET
Headed towards their eighth-consecutive AFC West title, the Chiefs will host the divisional-rival Chargers in week 7. Kansas City has won five-straight games following their opening season-loss to Detroit while Los Angeles is 2-3 after a putrid performance against the Cowboys on Monday Night Football.
Chiefs vs Chargers
|Spread||Money Line||Total Points|
|Los Angeles Chargers||+5.5 (-110)||+200||Ov 48.0 (-108)|
|Kansas City Chiefs||-5.5 (-110)||-240||Un 48.0 (-112)|
Matchup of two struggling offenses
Kansas City managed to score only one touchdown against the Broncos’ historically bad defense last Thursday, settling for four field goals in a 19-8 victory. But, while Andy Reid and Patrick Mahomes have had better nights, at least they came away with their fifth win in a row. The same can’t be said for Justin Herbert and the Chargers.
Herbert missed countless throws in the Chargers’ 20-17 defeat to Dallas on Monday night, completing only 22-of-37 passes with two TDs and an interception. Austin Ekeler was also unproductive in his return from injury, averaging just 1.9 yards on his 14 carries for 27 yards.
Justin Herbert to Justin Herbert for the 1st down 😅
— Yahoo Sports (@YahooSports) October 17, 2023
The Chiefs won both matchups with the Chargers by 3 points last season. A 27-24 victory in Arrowhead in September followed by a 30-27 triumph at SoFi Stadium in November. Mahomes connected with Travis Kelce for 115 yards and 3 TDs in the last encounter. Taylor Swift’s boy toy hasn’t been his dominant self for most of the year, but he’s coming off a 9-reception, 124-yard performance in week 7.
While Herbert is only 2-4 against KC all-time, he’s had some big games against his AFC West rivals, averaging 291 passing yards per game with 15 TDs and 4 INTs.
Kansas City vs Los Angeles
Kansas City is a 5.5-point favorite at Arrowhead on Sunday and the over/under is set at 48 points. While the Chiefs’ scoring output (24.5) still ranks in the top ten, they’re averaging almost five points less per game than last year (29.2). This is despite ranking second in the NFL in passing yards per game (263.8) behind Miami.
Under new offensive coordinator Kellen Moore, the Bolts are scoring the seventh-most points per game (25.4). However, Steve Spagnuolo’s defense is permitting the second-fewest points per game (14.7). KC also ranks sixth against the pass (183.8 ypg) and sits just outside the top ten in rushing yards allowed (118.5 ypg).
All due respect to Patrick Mahomes, the greatest QB of this generation and perhaps ever, but he should not be the co-MVP favorite this season. Not even close. https://t.co/jRo2XN9KvJ
— Frank Schwab (@YahooSchwab) October 18, 2023
The Chiefs and Chargers have only played in competitive affairs of late. While the KC defense may be the best unit in the game, Herbert has enjoyed success against Spagnuolo in the past.
Andy Reid is good for a few boneheaded third and fourth down calls on Sunday, but no one blows more close contests than Bolts coach Brandon Staley. We’ll take the Chargers to cover +5.5 points and the Chiefs to win (-240), with the OVER 48 points.
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