Mahomes and Chiefs to prevail in close win over Herbert’s Chargers on Sunday

  • Kansas City (5-1) is a 5.5-point home favorite over the Chargers (2-3) in Week 7 of the NFL season
  • Patrick Mahomes has a 4-2 career record against AFC West rival Justin Herbert 
  • Sunday’s game kicks off from Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City, MO at 4:25pm ET

Headed towards their eighth-consecutive AFC West title, the Chiefs will host the divisional-rival Chargers in week 7. Kansas City has won five-straight games following their opening season-loss to Detroit while Los Angeles is 2-3 after a putrid performance against the Cowboys on Monday Night Football.

Before we check the odds on Sunday’s afternoon tilt, here’s where you can find the best Super Bowl betting tips and the top betting sites for NFL football in 2023.

Chiefs vs Chargers

BetOnline ReviewSpreadMoney LineTotal Points
Los Angeles Chargers+5.5 (-110)+200Ov 48.0 (-108)
Kansas City Chiefs-5.5 (-110)-240Un 48.0 (-112)

Matchup of two struggling offenses

Kansas City managed to score only one touchdown against the Broncos’ historically bad defense last Thursday, settling for four field goals in a 19-8 victory. But, while Andy Reid and Patrick Mahomes have had better nights, at least they came away with their fifth win in a row. The same can’t be said for Justin Herbert and the Chargers.

Herbert missed countless throws in the Chargers’ 20-17 defeat to Dallas on Monday night, completing only 22-of-37 passes with two TDs and an interception. Austin Ekeler was also unproductive in his return from injury, averaging just 1.9 yards on his 14 carries for 27 yards.

Recent history

The Chiefs won both matchups with the Chargers by 3 points last season. A 27-24 victory in Arrowhead in September followed by a 30-27 triumph at SoFi Stadium in November. Mahomes connected with Travis Kelce for 115 yards and 3 TDs in the last encounter. Taylor Swift’s boy toy hasn’t been his dominant self for most of the year, but he’s coming off a 9-reception, 124-yard performance in week 7.

While Herbert is only 2-4 against KC all-time, he’s had some big games against his AFC West rivals, averaging 291 passing yards per game with 15 TDs and 4 INTs.

Kansas City Chiefsto win vs Chargers
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OVER 48Chiefs vs Chargers
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Kansas City vs Los Angeles

Kansas City is a 5.5-point favorite at Arrowhead on Sunday and the over/under is set at 48 points. While the Chiefs’ scoring output (24.5) still ranks in the top ten, they’re averaging almost five points less per game than last year (29.2). This is despite ranking second in the NFL in passing yards per game (263.8) behind Miami.

Under new offensive coordinator Kellen Moore, the Bolts are scoring the seventh-most points per game (25.4). However, Steve Spagnuolo’s defense is permitting the second-fewest points per game (14.7). KC also ranks sixth against the pass (183.8 ypg) and sits just outside the top ten in rushing yards allowed (118.5 ypg).

Best Bet

The Chiefs and Chargers have only played in competitive affairs of late. While the KC defense may be the best unit in the game, Herbert has enjoyed success against Spagnuolo in the past.

Andy Reid is good for a few boneheaded third and fourth down calls on Sunday, but no one blows more close contests than Bolts coach Brandon Staley. We’ll take the Chargers to cover +5.5 points and the Chiefs to win (-240), with the OVER 48 points.

Los Angeles Chargersto cover vs Chiefs
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Steve Starr

Steve is the quintessential American sports enthusiast. He has mastered the art of Sundays, devoting them to football, and barbecue parties. He proudly wears the hats of a good father, husband and a great dog owner. Aside from his decades of contributing to different top-tier sports publications, Steve has also found his niche on Twitter, where he publishes funny and relatable sports-related insights. When he's not busy tweeting, Steve loves to watch each game unfold live. He possesses an innate talent for finding humor in the sports world, appreciating both the thrilling moments and the comedic mishaps that make each event unique.

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