Chiefs to crush Broncos in AFC West bloodbath on Thursday night

  • Kansas City (4-1) is a 10.5-point home favorite over the Broncos (1-4) on Thursday Night Football
  • Denver has the worst defense through five games ever recorded by DVOA  
  • Week 6’s matchup kicks off from Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City, MO at 8:15pm ET

Could Sean Payton’s first season in Denver really get any worse? After losing to Nathaniel Hackett and the Jets in week 5, the Broncos are 1-4 heading into Arrowhead on Thursday. Andy Reid’s Chiefs have four straight victories and are riding a 15-game winning streak against the Broncos.

Before we check the odds on the AFC West rivalry game, here’s where you can find the best Super Bowl betting tips and the top betting sites for NFL football in 2023.

Chiefs vs Broncos

BetOnline ReviewSpreadMoney LineTotal Points
Denver Broncos+10.5 (-110)+460Ov 47.5 (-112)
Kansas City Chiefs-10.5 (-110)-600Un 47.5 (-108)

Denver keeps losing

While Sean Payton has made countless mistakes in his return to the NFL, hiring defensive coordinator Vance Joseph may be the one he regrets the most. Denver’s defense ranks worst in the league in points allowed (36.2), total yards allowed (450.6) and rushing yards allowed (187.6) per game. In fact, according to Aaron Schatz, the Broncos have the worst defense ever measured by DVOA through five weeks.

Payton’s latest embarrassment came on Sunday. Former Broncos coach Nathaniel Hackett and the Jets put up 31 points against Denver. In the offseason, Payton called his predecessor’s performance “one of the worst coaching jobs in the history of the NFL.” Karma is a bitch.

Chiefs on a roll

Kansas City is 4-1 but three of their victories were by one score against teams with a combined record of 6-9. Luckily, Travis Kelce looks to have escaped a major injury after limping off the field in Minnesota in week 5. Taylor Swift’s new man returned in the second half to catch a touchdown in the 27-20 victory over the Vikings.

While the Chiefs have struggled to find playmakers outside of their star tight end, their defense has been among the NF:’s best in 2023. Steve Spagnuolo’s unit ranks top-five in points allowed (16.0 ppg) and top -ten in yards allowed (301.4).

Kansas Cityto win vs Denver
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OVER 47.5Chiefs vs Broncos
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Kansas City vs Denver

Kansas City is a 10.5-point favorite on Thursday with the over/under set at 47.5 points. Patrick Mahomes has thrown for 1,287 yards and 10 touchdowns with four interceptions this season. The two-time NFL MVP is an undefeated 11-0 all-time versus his AFC West rivals with a bunch of blowout wins. In the last meeting, he passed for 328 yards and three scores with one interception.

Russell Wilson passed for 222 yards with a TD and a pick in Arrowhead last year, but he’s been the least of Denver’s problems this year. Mr. Unlimited has tossed 11 TDs vs 2 INTs in his first five games with Sean Payton.

Best Bet

Patrick Mahomes burned bettors in week 4, passing up a late TD in favor of a game-sealing slide in the Chiefs’ 23-20 win over the Jets. However, we’re ready to get hurt again.

Denver’s last four opponents have rushed for at least 170 yards each. Look for Andy Reid to build up a big lead and run out the clock on their AFC West foes. We like Kansas City and the OVER 47.5 points.

Kansas Cityto cover vs Broncos
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Steve Starr

Steve is the quintessential American sports enthusiast. He has mastered the art of Sundays, devoting them to football, and barbecue parties. He proudly wears the hats of a good father, husband and a great dog owner. Aside from his decades of contributing to different top-tier sports publications, Steve has also found his niche on Twitter, where he publishes funny and relatable sports-related insights. When he's not busy tweeting, Steve loves to watch each game unfold live. He possesses an innate talent for finding humor in the sports world, appreciating both the thrilling moments and the comedic mishaps that make each event unique.

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