Colts to defeat Belichick’s Patriots in Frankfurt, Germany in Week 10

  • Indianapolis (4-5) is a 2-point favorite over the Patriots (2-7) in the second of two 2023 NFL Germany Games
  • New England sits five games under .500 for the first time in 23 years 
  • Sunday’s Week 10 contest kicks off from Deutsche Bank Park in Frankfurt at 9:30am ET

Sitting five games under .500 with a 2-7 record, New England is off to its worst start under Bill Belichick since his first season in 2000. The legendary coach and his Patriots will now face the Colts in Frankfurt, Germany on Sunday. Indianapolis is coming off a 27-10 beatdown of the Panthers in week 9 that ended a three-game losing skid.

Who will win the NFL’s last international matchup of the year? Before we check the odds, here’s where you can find the best Super Bowl betting tips and the top betting sites for NFL football in 2023.

Patriots vs Colts

BetOnline ReviewSpreadMoney LineTotal Points
Indianapolis Colts-2.0 (-110)-135Un 43.5 (-110)
New England Patriots+2.0 (-110)+115Ov 43.5 (-110)

Belichick’s last season?

Will Robert Kraft actually fire Bill Belichick at the end of the season? Questions about the legendary coach’s job security were momentarily hushed following an upset win over the Bills in week 7. But, the job security chatter has resurfaced with two-straight losses to the Dolphins and Commanders.

New England is averaging the second-fewest points per week (15.0) in the NFL, sitting only ahead of the Giants. In Sunday’s loss to Washington, they managed only 17 points against a team that’s allowing the third-most points (27.2) in the league. While Indianapolis’ defense is almost as bad, permitting 26.9 points per contest, Mac Jones likely won’t be able to take advantage.

Jonathan Taylor ramps up

Shane Steichen has run one of the best offenses in the league in his first season in Indianapolis, but his defense stole the show in week 9. Kenny Moore’s two pick-6’s of rookie Bryce Young led his team to a 27-13 victory over Carolina. Gardner Minshew was held to 127 passing yards and a touchdown while Jonathan Taylor was bottled up for 47 yards on 18 carries.

The newly-signed back did score a TD through the air, however, while seeing a big spike in usage. Taylor now faces a Patriots run defense that sits just outside the top ten, allowing 100.8 rushing yards per week.

Indianapolis Coltsto win vs Patriots
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OVER 43.5Patriots vs Colts
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New England vs Indianapolis

Indianapolis is a 2-point favorite in Frankfurt on Sunday and the over-under is set at 43.5 points. The Patriots are one of the most popular teams in Germany and should enjoy somewhat of a home-field advantage. However, they may be ill-equipped to exploit a Colts defense that ranks bottom-ten in both passing yards and rushing yards per game.

Rhamondre Stevenson ran for 87 yards and a TD against the Commanders and has looked sharp in recent weeks. Sixth-round rookie Demario Douglas has also taken over as the team’s top receiver. All and all, the Pats are paper thin on top-end talent, so it’s fair to wonder if they can match a Colts offense that ranks seventh in points per game (25.8).

Best Bet

Indianapolis has been an up-and-down team all year, but they have an opportunity to go on a bit of a run here with upcoming games against the Patriots, Buccaneers and Titans.

With Belichick in the midst of a nightmare season, we like the Colts to cover (-2) in Frankfurt on Sunday with the OVER 43.5 points.

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Steve Starr

Steve is the quintessential American sports enthusiast. He has mastered the art of Sundays, devoting them to football, and barbecue parties. He proudly wears the hats of a good father, husband and a great dog owner. Aside from his decades of contributing to different top-tier sports publications, Steve has also found his niche on Twitter, where he publishes funny and relatable sports-related insights. When he's not busy tweeting, Steve loves to watch each game unfold live. He possesses an innate talent for finding humor in the sports world, appreciating both the thrilling moments and the comedic mishaps that make each event unique.

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