Matt LaFleur is a great longshot bet to win 2023 NFL Coach of the Year

  • Dan Campbell (+350) is the favorite to win 2023 NFL Coach of the Year 
  • Mike McDaniel (+400) is the architect of an explosive offense that has gotten Miami off to a 3-1 start  
  • DeMeco Ryans (+500) and Shane Steichen (+1000) are strong contenders for the award

With a roughly a quarter of the NFL season already in the books, today we’ll look at the top contenders for the 2023 NFL Coach of the Year award.

Before we examine the updated odds heading into week 5, check out the latest NFL MVP Betting Odds 2023 and the top betting sites for NFL football in 2023.

2023 NFL Coach of the Year Odds

CoachBetOnline ReviewBovadaMyBookie Review
Dan Campbell+350+350+350
Mike McDaniel+400+400+400
DeMeco Ryans+500+500+500
Kyle Shanahan+900+900+900
Shane Steichen+1000+1000+1000
Sean McVay+2000+2000+2000
Todd Bowles+2000+2000+2000
Arthur Smith+2500+2500+2500
John Harbaugh+2500+2500+2500
Sean McDermott+2500+2500+2500
Doug Pederson+3300+3300+3300
Matt Lafleur+3300+3300+3300
Mike McCarthy+3300+3300+3300
Mike Tomlin+3300+3300+3300
Mike Vrabel+3300+3300+3300
Andy Reid+4000+4000+4000
Nick Sirianni+4000+4000+4000
Kevin Stefanski+5000+5000+5000
Pete Carroll+5000+5000+5000
Robert Saleh+5000+5000+5000
Dennis Allen+6600+6600+6600
Jonathan Gannon+6600+6600+6600
Bill Belichick+7500+7500+7500
Brandon Staley+7500+7500+7500
Brian Daboll+10000+10000+10000
Ron Rivera+10000+10000+10000
Sean Payton+10000+10000+10000
Kevin O'Connell+12500+12500+12500
Frank Reich+15000+15000+15000
Josh McDaniels+20000+20000+20000
Zac Taylor+20000+20000+20000
Matt Eberflus+30000+30000+30000

COY betting trends

While Brian Daboll captured this award last year with a 9-7-1 record, the previous nine winners of NFL Coach of the Year all won at least 11 games while averaging 12.1 victories. Over the past decade, the average COY team also racked up 5.2 more Ws than the previous campaign.

In addition to piling up wins and showing improvement, Coach of the Year teams need to exceed expectations. In the past 10 years, award winners topped their preseason Vegas win totals by at least two games, and six COYs won at least 4.5 games more than expected. 

Dan Campbell favored

Dan Campbell (+350) is the chalk pick after his Lions decimated the Packers on Thursday night to improve to 2-2. Playing in a mediocre NFC North division, his team could easily get to 12 wins. That would give Detroit three more victories than last season and 2.5 more than their 9.5 win over-under heading into 2023.

Dan Campbell2023 Coach of the Year
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Mike McDaniel2023 Coach of the Year
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McDaniel loses ground

Mike McDaniel (+400) was the favorite before Miami was crushed by Buffalo on Sunday. The Dolphins had the same number of wins (9) as the Lions in 2022 and same win total (9.5) heading into the year.

While McDaniel’s club is off to a better start (3-1 vs 2-2), Detroit has a clearer path to a division title. Seven of the past 10 COY winners claimed their division.

AFC South Longshots

Two first year head coaches, DeMeco Ryans (+500) and Shane Steichen (+1000), have everything we’re looking for in a Coach of the Year candidate. Houston (3-13-1) and Indianapolis (4-12-1) both had miserable records last year with matching 6.5 win totals entering the season.

With every team in the AFC South currently at 2-2, a division title is not out of the question for either franchise. Especially if C.J. Stroud and Anthony Richardson continue to show superstar potential.

McVay in the mix?

Could Sean McVay (+2000) be in the mix for his second-career Coach of the Year award? While a NFC West title isn’t in the cards, the 2-2 Rams are a lock to outperform their expected win total (6.5) and 5-12 record from last season with Cooper Kupp set to rejoin the team.

Best Longshot

Matt LaFleur (+3300) is a strong longshot as he’ll get extra credit for getting into the playoffs without Aaron Rodgers. Green Bay finished with one fewer win (8) than Detroit (9) in 2022 and had a 7.5 expected win total coming into 2023, compared to the Lions’ 9.5.

With a soft schedule on the horizon, a Packers division title is not out of the question. Don’t sleep on LaFleur.

Matt Lafleur2023 Coach of the Year
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