Buccaneers to knock off Eagles in Monday night’s NFC wild card matchup

  • Philadelphia (11-6) is a 3-point road favorite over the Buccaneers (9-8) on Super Wild Card WeekendΒ 
  • The Eagles’ negative-8 turnover margin is the worst in the NFL since Week 13
  • Monday Night Football’s playoff matchup kicks off from Raymond James Stadium in Tampa, Florida at 8:15pm ET

Philadelphia is just the sixth team in NFL history to enter the postseason after losing five of its last six games. Seemingly on the edge of destruction, the Eagles head to Tampa Bay to face a Buccaneers club that won five of its final six contests to capture the NFC South crown.

Before we check the odds on this NFC wild-card round showdown and make our picks, here’s where you can find the best tips for betting on the 2024 NFL playoffs and the top betting sites for NFL football.

Buccaneers vs Eagles

BetOnline ReviewSpreadMoney LineTotal Points
Philadelphia Eagles-3.0 (-105)-160Ov 44.0 (-110)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers+3.0 (-115)+140Un 44.0 (-110)

Can Philly turn it around?

Philadelphia looked like a strong bet to return to the Super Bowl following their week 11 victory over the Bills. However, after suffering a blowout loss to the 49ers the very next Sunday, Nick Sirianni’s teamΒ fell into turmoil. Looming large in the tailspin is the ill-fated decision to replace defensive coordinator Sean Desai with Matt Patricia.

Patricia’s defense allowed 24 points in the first half of Sunday’s 27-10 loss to the Giants, one week after the Cardinals put 35 on the scoreboard against them. The Eagles held the Bucs to just 174 yards of offense in a 25-11 win in September, but Desai was at the controls back in week 3.

Tampa Bay squeaks in

Baker Mayfield completed 20 of 32 passes for 137 yards and no touchdowns in an ugly 9-0 win over Carolina that clinched the NFC South for Tampa Bay. After suffering rib and ankle injuries in consecutive weeks, Mayfield may be hard pressed to return to the form he showed in December.

During a four-game win streak, the veteran QB threw for nine touchdowns and just one interception, helping the Buccaneers average 28.5 points per game. On Monday night, Mayfield must be better than he was in week 3 versus the Eagles when he went 15 of 25 for 146 yards, 1 TD and INT.

Tampa Bayto cover vs Eagles
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+3.0
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OVER 44Buccaneers vs Eagles
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-110
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Tampa Bay vs Philadelphia

Philadelphia is a 3-point road favorite in Raymond James Stadium with the over/under set at 44 points. Jalen Hurts (finger) and A.J. Brown (knee) suffered injuries in Sunday’s loss to the Giants, but both should be good to go on Monday Night Football. And with receiver DeVonta Smith (knee) and D’Andre Swift (illness) set to return after resting up in week 18, there’s certainly hope for the Eagles seventh-ranked scoring offense.

Two bad passing defenses

Todd Bowles’ defense pitched a shutout against the worst team in football last week. But they have been torched through the air all year, allowing the fourth-most passing yards per game (248.9) in the NFL.

Meanwhile, Philadelphia’s pass D ranks 31st of 32 teams, permitting 252.7 yards per week. Mike Evans could feast against the Eagles. The future Hall of Famer’s 13 TDs tied him with Tyreek Hill for the most in the NFL this season.

Best Bet

Philadelphia’s -8 turnover margin is the worst in the league since Week 13, and their +5 point differential on the season is the fifth-worst all-time for a team with 11-plus victories.

While this upset would’ve been unfathomable a month ago, we’ll take the Buccaneers to cover (+3) and win outright (+140) with the OVER 44 points.

Tampa Bayto win vs Eagles
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+140
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Steve Starr

Steve is the quintessential American sports enthusiast. He has mastered the art of Sundays, devoting them to football, and barbecue parties. He proudly wears the hats of a good father, husband and a great dog owner. Aside from his decades of contributing to different top-tier sports publications, Steve has also found his niche on Twitter, where he publishes funny and relatable sports-related insights. When he's not busy tweeting, Steve loves to watch each game unfold live. He possesses an innate talent for finding humor in the sports world, appreciating both the thrilling moments and the comedic mishaps that make each event unique.

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