- Jacksonville (1-2) is a 3-point favorite over Atlanta (2-1) in the NFL’s first International Game of the season
- Trevor Lawrence has struggled in two-straight home losses while Desmond Ridder failed to generate any offense in a week 3 defeat to Detroit
- Sunday’s Week 4 contest kicks off from Wembley Stadium in London, England at 9:30am ET
The Jaguars face the Falcons this Sunday in the first of five NFL International Games this season. Both clubs are coming off disappointing losses that revealed big concerns on each side of the ball. Playing their 10th regular season home game in London, can 1-2 Jacksonville get back on track against a 2-1 Falcons team?
Jaguars vs Falcons
|Spread||Money Line||Total Points|
|Atlanta Falcons||+3.0 (-110)||+135||Un 43.5 (-110)|
|Jacksonville Jaguars||-3.0 (-110)||-160||Ov 43.5 (-110)|
Jacksonville upset at home
With Trevor Lawrence entering year two in Doug Pederson’s system, the Jaguars were supposed to have one the NFL’s most explosive attacks. However, after failing to throw a touchdown in a 17-9 week 2 loss to the Chiefs, Lawrence failed to put a point on the board in the first half on Sunday.
While C.J. Stroud and the division-rival Texans scored at will, Lawrence finished with 279 passing yards, a TD and an interception in the 37-17 blowout loss to Houston. In the midst of a campaign to extort Jacksonville taxpayers out of a billion dollars for a new stadium, the team will now fly to their home away from home in London.
Can you imagine the #Jaguars watching the film back on this play?
Two guys ran into each other, and then … We let a FULLBACK GO 90 YARDS FOR A TOUCHDOWN?! pic.twitter.com/KQhmWZ4YjV
— Andrew Gibson (@1010XLAG) September 24, 2023
Falcons flail in Detroit
Atlanta’s 20-6 loss in Detroit in week 3 seemed to expose the flaws in Arthur Smith’s run-heavy approach. Detroit stuffed rookie phenom Bijan Robinson all afternoon, holding him to just 33 yards on 10 carries. Forced to put the ball in the air, sophomore QB Desmond Ridder predictably couldn’t deliver, completing 21 of 38 passes for 201 yards and no scores.
On the bright side, the defense held firm, intercepting Jared Goff and keeping the game within one score for most of the day. The Falcons will be visiting the U.K. for the second time in the past three seasons. They defeated the Jets 27-20 back in 2021.
Jacksonville vs Atlanta
Jacksonville is a 3-point favorite in Wembley Stadium this Sunday. With the Jags’ offense struggling and Arthur Smith taking a slow-paced, ball-control approach, the over/under is set at a low 43.5 points.
Calvin Ridley will be facing his former team for the first time after the Falcons shipped him out of town following his year-long gambling suspension. The 28-year-old caught eight passes for 101 yards and a TD in his week 1 debut. But he’s been held to five grabs for 72 scoreless yards in his last two games.
Lions Brian Branch was all over the field today against the Falcons. Brian Branch knocked Bijan Robinson block off 💀 pic.twitter.com/bMHAlVAHbI
— Athlete dynasty (@athlete_dynasty) September 24, 2023
Keys to victory
Atlanta isn’t the ideal opponent for the Jaguars to get their passing game back on track. They’ve allowed only 510 passing yards through three contests – which ranks No. 7 in the league. Meanwhile, Jacksonville’s No. 9 ranked run D has stifled opponents to 3.4 yards per carry.
While neither club was clicking on all cylinders in week 3, the Falcons at least have a team identity. They want to run the ball, play strong defense and keep the game close.
Therefore, we like Atlanta to upset the Jags in jolly old England on Sunday with the UNDER 43.5 points.
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