Sean Payton surging in wide open NFL Coach of the Year race

  • Dan Campbell (+240) remains the favorite to win 2023 NFL Coach of the Year
  • DeMeco Ryans (+325) and Mike McDaniel (+500) are top contenders for the award
  • Shane Steichen (+1000), Mike Tomlin (+1400) and Sean Payton (+1400) all deserve consideration in a loaded field 

Heading into the final third of the season, the race for 2023 NFL Coach of the Year is wide open. While the Lions’ Dan Campbell remains the favorite, there are no shortage of quality contenders nipping at his heels.

Before we examine the latest odds heading into week 13, check out the latest NFL MVP Betting Odds 2023 and the top betting sites for NFL football in 2023.

2023 NFL Coach of the Year Odds

CoachBetOnline ReviewBovadaMyBookie Review
Dan Campbell+240+160+240
DeMeco Ryans+325+325+325
Mike McDaniel+500+500+500
Kevin O'Connell+1000+900+1000
Nick Sirianni+1000+1000+1000
Shane Steichen+1000+1200+1000
Mike Tomlin+1400+1600+1400
Sean Payton+1400+1400+1400
Kyle Shanahan+2200+2200+2200
Doug Pederson+2500+2800+2500
John Harbaugh+2500+2800+2500
Kevin Stefanski+3300+3500+3300

Dan Campbell a bad bet?

Everyone loves hardened football man Dan Campbell (+240). But with his defense struggling, it’s fair to wonder if he’ll win enough games down the stretch. The previous nine NFL Coach of the Year winners all had at least 11 victories. While that’s certainly doable for the 8-3 Lions, the teams of COY winners have averaged 5.2 more wins than the previous campaign over the past decade.

Detroit finished 9-8 last year. Vegas also set their preseason win total at 9.5 games. That’s important because six of the past 10 COY winners have won at least 4.5 games more than expected.

Does DeMeco Ryans fit the bill?

DeMeco Ryans (+325) has his club in the AFC playoff hunt at 6-5. However, while Houston will see a big improvement on last year’s record (3-13-1), they are unlikely to win the AFC South after losing to the 8-3 Jaguars in week 12. And seven of the past 10 COY winners claimed their division.

Voters may also want to spread out the award love and C.J. Stroud is already a lock for 2023 NFL Rookie of the Year.

Shane Steichen2023 Coach of the Year
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Mike Tomlin2023 Coach of the Year
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What about Mike McDaniels?

With upcoming games against the Commanders, Titans and Jets, Mike McDaniels (+500) will see his odds spike if his Dolphins rise to 11-3 over the next three weeks. Miami had the same number of wins (9) as the Lions in 2022 and the same win total (9.5) heading into this year. The Fins are also a lock for a division title after Buffalo’s week 12 loss to the Eagles.

So, what’s the problem? Miami has struggled against top competition all year and they finish the season with the Cowboys, Ravens and Bills. Voters could be left with a bad taste in their mouth.

Coach of the Year Best Bets

Shane Steichen (+1000) checks every box. Indianapolis had a miserable record in 2022 (4-12-1) with a 6.5 win total entering the year. Despite losing starting quarterback Anthony Richardson for the season, the Colts have a 6-5 record with a bevy of winnable games (Titans, Bengals, Steelers, Falcons, Raiders, Texans) down the stretch.

Mike Tomlin (+1400) has famously never had a losing campaign in his 17-year career in Pittsburgh. In a tight field with a handful of deserving candidates, is this the year he’s rewarded with his first Coach of the Year award? Firmly in the playoff picture at 7-4, the Steelers’ next four contests come against the 2-10 Cardinals, 2-9 Patriots, the Colts and a Bengals team without their starting quarterback.

Sean Payton (+1400) was on his way to Urban Meyer laughing-stock status after starting 1-5 and giving up 70 points in a loss to the Dolphins. Don’t look now but Denver has won five-straight to move to 6-5 – that’s already one more win than they had last year.

If the Broncos can win four of their next six games and capture a playoff berth in the AFC, Payton will have the media firmly in his corner.

Sean Payton2023 Coach of the Year
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Steve Starr

Steve is the quintessential American sports enthusiast. He has mastered the art of Sundays, devoting them to football, and barbecue parties. He proudly wears the hats of a good father, husband and a great dog owner. Aside from his decades of contributing to different top-tier sports publications, Steve has also found his niche on Twitter, where he publishes funny and relatable sports-related insights. When he's not busy tweeting, Steve loves to watch each game unfold live. He possesses an innate talent for finding humor in the sports world, appreciating both the thrilling moments and the comedic mishaps that make each event unique.

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