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- Minnesota (6-4) is a 2-point road underdog to the Broncos (4-5) in Week 11 of the NFL season
- Russell Wilson’s two touchdown passes helped Denver to an upset victory over the Bills on Monday night
- Sunday Night Football on NBC kicks off from Mile High Stadium in Denver, CO at 8:20pm ET
Josh Dobbs has been the feel-good story of the NFL season. One week after leading a comeback victory over Atlanta just days following his trade to the Vikings, “the Passtronaut” put up 27 points in Sunday’s win over the Saints.
Can Dobbs continue to deliver against a Broncos team that has won three straight games against the Packers, Chiefs and Bills? Before we check the odds on this Sunday Night Football matchup and make our picks, here’s where you can find the best Super Bowl betting tips and the top betting sites for NFL football in 2023.
Broncos vs Vikings
 | Spread | Money Line | Total Points |
| Minnesota Vikings | +2.0 (-110) | +110 | Ov 43.5 (-106) |
| Denver Broncos | -2.0 (-110) | -130 | Un 43.5 (-114) |
Dobbs does it again
Josh Dobbs passed for 268 yards and a touchdown with 44 yards and a rushing score in a 27-19 win over New Orleans in week 10. The Vikings now have the NFL’s longest active win streak (five games) despite losing Kirk Cousins and Justin Jefferson to injury.
While nothing is certain yet, their All-Pro receiver may return from his hamstring injury on Sunday night. Regardless, Kevin O’Connell has consistently found ways to scheme up offense. Minnesota has managed 24.6 points in the five games without Jefferson, which is actually higher than their 23.3 point season average.
Justin Jefferson hyping up Josh Dobbs: pic.twitter.com/FxcZySgHKZ
— vikesinsider (@vikesinsider) November 8, 2023
Broncos riding high
Denver capitalized on four Buffalo turnovers and a too many men penalty in the final seconds to come away with a 24-22 victory on Monday Night Football. While Russell Wilson isn’t truly “back”, he’s constantly scrambling (30 yards rushing in week 10) and connecting with Courtland Sutton, who caught eight balls for 53 yards and a TD.
Sean Payton’s team has rebounded from a disastrous 1-5 start with three straight W’s, including wins over the Chiefs and Bills. While a playoff spot is still a longshot, the Broncos look like they will be a tough out for all comers.
Denver vs Minnesota
Denver is a 2-point home favorite at Mile High Stadium on Sunday night and the over/under is set at 43.5 points. The Broncos’ defensive stats are skewed after giving up 70 points and 726 total yards to Miami in week 3. However, Vance Joseph’s D has been superb over the past month, holding Kansas City to under 20 points twice.
Kevin O’Connell comes from the same Kyle Shananan-Sean McVay tree as Dolphins coach Mike McDaniel. But, he skews much more pass heavy and starting running back Alexander Mattison may miss the game with a concussion.
Russell Wilson 2023 NFL Ranks
Rank
Pass TD 3rd
Pass TD/Att 1st
Pass TD/INT 2nd
Pass Rating 4th
4th Qtr Comebacks t-1st
GW Drives t-2nd pic.twitter.com/7I87yfB1tR— NFL on CBS 🏈 (@NFLonCBS) November 14, 2023
Brian Flores brings the heat
Minnesota’s defense under new DC Brian Flores has been one of the NFL’s most-improved units in 2023. In Sunday’s win over the Saints, they forced five three-and-outs and intercepted Jameis Winston twice. Danielle Hunter also had three QB hits and a sack and is now tied for the league-lead in sacks (11) with Myles Garrett.
Blitzing more than any other team by far, expect Flores to bring the heat against Wilson on Sunday night.
Best Bet
Both teams come into their week 11 matchup riding multiple game win streaks. However, Kevin O’Connell and Brian Flores have formed an elite combo as offensive and defensive schemers.
In what should be a low-scoring matchup, we’ll take Minnesota to cover (+2) and win (+110) at Mile High Stadium with the UNDER 43.5 points.
See below the top sportsbooks where you can wager online and choose the best one for you:
