Novak Djokovic and Carlos Alcaraz are the Betting Favorites for the 2023 U.S. Open

  • What: 2023 U.S. Open
  • Date: August 28, 2023 – September 10, 2023
  • Location: USTA Billie Jean King National Tennis Center in New York, NY
  • How to Watch: ESPN, ESPN2, ESPN+, ESPN Deportes, Tennis Channel, ABC

Novak Djokovic and Carlos Alcaraz, who are the two betting favorites, headline the field for the 2023 U.S. Open. The year’s fourth and final grand slam event began on August 28 and will end on September 10. The outdoor event is being staged on the hardcourts of the USTA Billie Jean King National Tennis Center in Flushing Meadows–Corona Park, Queens. The site has been the host of the event since 1978.

Djokovic, who plays out of Belgrade, Serbia, is looking for his 24th grand slam title. The 36-year-old enters the 2023 U.S. Open as one of the best hardcourt players ever. Alcaraz is the defending U.S. Open champion, having downed Casper Rudd in 2022. The 20-year-old player from Spain is coming off a win over Djokovic in the 2023 Wimbledon Championship. Alcaraz is the No. 1 ranked player in the game, while Djokovic checks in at No. 2. There is a significant falloff in the points rankings after the top two, but Daniil Medvedev, who is near the top of the U.S. Open betting odds, is ranked at No. 3 in the world.

Before we look at the best bets for the 2023 U.S. Open Men’s event, check out our list of the best tennis betting sites, and our guide for betting on the 2023 U.S. Open. 

2023 U.S. Open betting picks

To Win 2023 Men's U.S. OpenBetOnline ReviewBovadaBetUS Review
Novak Djokovic+100-105+100
Carlos Alcaraz+200+185+200
Daniil Medvedev+1200+900+1200
Jannik Sinner+1600+1400+1600
Alexander Zverev+3300+2800+3300
Taylor Fritz+5000+2800+5000
Frances Tiafoe+6600+4000+6600
Tommy Paul+6600+4000+6600
Andrey Rublev+12500+8000+12500
Matteo Berrettini+15000+10000+15000
Alex de Minaur+20000+12500+20000
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina+20000+15000+20000
Adrian Mannarino+20000+15000+20000
Andy Murray+20000+15000+20000
Grigor Dimitrov+25000+17500+25000
Ben Shelton+25000+15000+25000
Aslan Karatsev+25000+40000+25000
Cameron Norrie+35000+12500+35000
Gael Monfils+35000+20000+35000
Stan Wawrinka+35000+30000+35000
Alex Michelsen+50000+50000+50000
Nicolas Jarry+50000+35000+50000
Daniel Evans+50000+50000+50000
Tomas Martin Etcheverry+50000+50000+50000
Lorenzo Sonego+50000+50000+50000
Botic Van de Zandschulp+50000+50000+50000
Lloyd Harris+50000+50000+50000
Laslo Djere+50000+50000+50000
Sebastian Baez+50000+27500+50000
Daniel Altmaier+50000+50000+50000
Christopher O'Connell+50000+50000+50000
Arthur Fils+50000+50000+50000
Zhizhen Zhang+50000+30000+50000
Matteo Arnaldi+50000+50000+50000
Yibing Wu+50000+50000+50000
Jack Draper+50000+30000+50000
Arthur Rinderknech+50000+50000+50000
Jiri Vesely+50000+50000+50000
John Isner+50000+50000+50000
Michael Mmoh+50000+50000+50000
Rinky Hijikata+50000+30000+50000
Benjamin Bonzi+50000+50000+50000
Felipe Meligeni Alves+50000+50000+50000
Dominic Stricker+50000+35000+50000
Yu Hsiou Hsu+50000+50000+50000
Borna Gojo+50000+40000+50000
Jakub Mensik+50000+35000+50000

Novak Djokovic

The fact that three-time U.S. Open winner Novak Djokovic hasn’t won this event since 2018 and “only” has one final appearance since then hasn’t dissuaded bookmakers from installing him as the betting favorite to win this event in 2023. Winning two of three Grand Slam events and finishing as the runner-up in the third probably has much to do with why Djokovic is the favorite in New York. He has won this year at the Australian Open, and French Open, and was the runner-up to Carlos Alcaraz at Wimbledon.

Djokovic last played in this event in 2021, losing in the final to Daniil Medvedev in a matchup where Djokovic was a -275 betting favorite to the +230 underdog, Medvedev. COVID-19 vaccination travel restrictions prevented him from competing last year.

Djokovic enters the U.S, Open coming off a win at the Western & Southern Open in Cincinnati, Ohio in mid-August.

Novak DjokovicTO WIN 2023 U.S. OPEN
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Carlos Alcaraz

The man who prevented Novak Djokovic from going four-for-four in Grand Slam events in 2023 with his win at Wimbledon, Carlos Alcaraz, enters the 2023 U.S. Open as the No. 1 ranked player in the game. Despite those facts and being the defending champion at the Open, Alcaraz is not the betting favorite to win the 2023 U.S. Open. He’s close to Djokovic at the top of the betting odds list, but he’s not his equal.

On paper, Alcaraz has the tougher draw of the top two players in this event, and there are some concerns about his focus in tournaments after his win at Wimbledon. While it’s true that those tournaments did not have the focus on them nor the prestige of the U.S. Open, that’s still something to be concerned about when considering the young player, who might be the future of tennis, as a betting pick for the U.S. Open.

Carlos AlcarazTO WIN 2023 U.S. OPEN
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Tommy Paul

If one wants a value bet for the 2023 U.S. Open, it’s hard not to look at Tommy Paul. Paul is the No. 14 ranked player in the men’s game, and he has made it to the third round of this event, where he matches up against the No. 21 ranked Alejandro Davidovich Fokina. The 26-year-old American made it to the final four of the Australian Open, and he has a win over Alcaraz in the quarterfinals of the Toronto Masters.

Considering it’s been 20 years since an American won the U.S. Open, expect Paul to have the crowd behind him at this event. Could that give him the boost he needs to pull off an upset win? It’s hard to say, but it’s worth placing a small wager on the American at the betting odds he’s getting.

Tommy Paul TO WIN 2023 U.S. OPEN
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Best Bets for the 2023 U.S. Open

While the betting odds could be better for those looking for value, it’s hard to pick against the top two ranked players in the world meeting in the final of the 2023 U.S. Open. Those players are, of course, Novak Djokovic and Carlos Alcaraz. As for the betting pick, look for Djokovic to get his first win at this event since 2018.

Best 2023 U.S. Open betting pick: Novak Djokovic to win.

Novak DjokovicTO WIN 2023 U.S. OPEN
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Trent Reinsmith

Trent is a professional sports journalist specializing in UFC, MMA, and esports coverage. His work has been featured in prestigious publications such as USA Today Sports, Vice, Bloody Elbow, Fight! Magazine, UFC 360, and Narratively. Trent's connection to MMA dates back to the early days when he and his friends pooled their resources to purchase the pay-per-view broadcast of UFC 1. He also has extensive experience in esports, particularly League of Legends and Counter Strike, dating back to the game's launch.