Francesco Bagnaia to Win the 2023 Qatar Airways Grand Prix of Qatar

  • What: Qatar Airways Grand Prix of Qatar
  • Date: Sunday, November 19, 2023
  • Location: Lusail International Circuit
  • Where: Doha, Qatar
  • Time: 3:00 p.m. ET
  • How to Watch: CNBC

The 2023 MotoGP season is down to its final two races, this weekend’s Qatar Airways Grand Prix of Qatar and next week’s Gran Premio Motul de la Comunitat Valenciana. The 2023 MotoGP Riders’ Championship could come down to how the top riders, Francesco Bagnaia and Jorge Martin, finish in those two races. Bagnaia, last year’s MotoGP champion, leads Martin, who finished in ninth place in 2022, by 14 points heading into this week’s Qatar GP. Here is some information on Sunday’s Qatar GP before we discuss the betting odds, picks, and predictions for the race, which takes place at Lusail International Circuit.

The inaugural event on this course was the Marlboro Grand Prix of Qatar in October 2004. The winningest riders on the course are Valentino Rossi (2005, 2006, 2010, 2015), and Casey Stoner (2007-2009, 2011). No rider has won back-to-back MotoGP events in the race since Andrea Dovizioso did so in 2018 and 2019. Enea Bastianini won the race in 2022. Martin started on the pole but failed to complete the race. Bagnaia also did not finish. However, Bagnaia placed third in 2021, after starting in the pole position, in his first go in the Qatar GP. Martin placed 15th in that race, which was also his first start in the race.

Before we look at the betting breakdown and picks for the Qatar Airways Grand Prix of Qatar, check out the best sites for MotoGP betting and our picks for the 2023 MotoGP Championship.

Qatar Airways Grand Prix of Qatar betting picks

To Win Qatar Airways Grand Prix of QatarBovadaBetOnline ReviewBetUS Review
Jorge Martin+140+140+140
Enea Bastianini+250+250+250
Francesco Bagnaia+400+400+400
Alex Marquez+600+600+600
Brad Binder+900+900+900
Marco Bezzecchi+2200+2200+2200
Aleix Espargaro+2800+2800+2800
Fabio Quartararo+2800+2800+2800
Maverick Vinales+2800+2800+2800
Jack Miller+3300+3300+3300
Luca Marini+3300+3300+3300
Johann Zarco+4000+4000+4000
Fabio Di Giannantonio+8000+8000+8000
Franco Morbidelli+10000+10000+10000
Miguel Oliveira+20000+20000+20000
Joan Mir+30000+30000+30000
Augusto Fernandez+50000+50000+50000
Iker Lecuona+50000+50000+50000
Raul Fernandez+50000+50000+50000
Takaaki Nakagami+50000+50000+50000

Jorge Martin

With two races remaining in the 2023 MotoGP season, Jorge Martin is the only rider who can unseat Francesco Bagnaia as the champion. The 25-year-old, who finished his first two MotoGP seasons in ninth place, is 14 points behind Bagnaia heading into Sunday’s Qatar Airways Grand Prix of Qatar. The Prima Pramac Racing rider is the betting favorite this weekend after placing fourth in Malaysia. The week before the Malaysia race, Martin picked up his fourth win of the year in Thailand.

Martin has been dominant since the 2023 Catalan motorcycle Grand Prix. He has placed fifth, fourth, third, and second and had three wins since that race. The only race he didn’t place in the top five in the past eight starts was when he failed to finish in Indonesia.

Martin did not finish the race in Qatar in 2022, but he started the race on the pole.

Jorge Martin TO WIN QATAR GP
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Francesco Bagnaia

Reigning MotoGP champion Francesco Bagnaia increased his points lead over Jorge Martin in the riders’ standings last week when he finished in third place at the Malaysia GP. Despite his lead, and his six wins this year, the 26-year-old is not a lock to repeat as MotoGP champion. Martin remains an enormous threat to Bagnaia’s hopes of repeating in 2023.

It was not that long ago that Bagnaia had a 66-point lead over the MotoGP pack. That cushion made the Ducati rider an overwhelming favorite to win his second straight MotoGP title. However, Bagnaia hit a rough patch between Week 11 and Week 13 of the 2023 MotoGP season. During those three weeks, he did not start Gran Premi Monster Energy de Catalunya, finished third at the Gran Premio Red Bull di San Marino e della Riviera di Rimini, and crashed out of the IndianOil Grand Prix of India. The defending champion has bounced back in his five most recent races, winning the Motul Grand Prix of Japan, finishing as the runner-up in Indonesia, Australia and Thailand, and placing third in Malaysia

Bagnaia did not finish the Qatar race in 2022.

Francesco Bagnaia TO WIN QATAR GP
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Enea Bastianini

The winner of the 2022 Qatar GP, Enea Bastianini, picked up his first win of the 2023 MotoGP season last week in Malaysia. The 25-year-old, who rides for Ducati. Injuries have made 2023 a difficult year for Bastianini, but his win last week will give him and the team confidence heading into one of the four competitions he won in 2022 when he finished the year in third place.

After his win in Malaysia, Bastianini said, “It’s fantastic after this (expletive) season for me to arrive at this victory.”

Enea Bastianini TO WIN QATAR GP
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Best betting picks for the 2023 Qatar Airways Grand Prix of Qatar

There is a lot on the line for Jorge Martin and Francesco Bagnaia heading into this weekend’s Qatar GP. Both men have a better-than-average chance of winning, but Bagnaia presents the better betting value ahead of Sunday’s race. One other thing to consider is that Bagnaia’s teammates on the Ducati Lenovo Team could be in the mix to help the defending MotoGP champion pick up the victory, and the points that go with it, at the Qatar Airways Grand Prix of Qatar. Bagnaia is the betting pick to win this week.

Best 2023 Qatar Airways Grand Prix of Qatar betting pick: Francesco Bagnaia to win.

Francesco Bagnaia TO WIN QATAR GP
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Trent Reinsmith

Trent is a professional sports journalist specializing in UFC, MMA, and esports coverage. His work has been featured in prestigious publications such as USA Today Sports, Vice, Bloody Elbow, Fight! Magazine, UFC 360, and Narratively. Trent's connection to MMA dates back to the early days when he and his friends pooled their resources to purchase the pay-per-view broadcast of UFC 1. He also has extensive experience in esports, particularly League of Legends and Counter Strike, dating back to the game's launch.