Florida Gators vs Michigan Wolverines: Peach Bowl Betting Odds and Pick

  • The Chick-Fil-A Peach Bowl features #10 Florida vs #7 Michigan.
  • The Wolverines are favored by over a touchdown. 
  • Should the Gators be getting 7.5 points against a team that lost by 23 the last time it played?

When the Chick-Fil-A Peach Bowl kicks off on Dec. 29th (12:00 PM ET, Mercedes-Benz Superdome, Atlanta), both teams will be eager to get back to football, but for very different reasons.

Jim Harbaugh’s Michigan Wolverines will have had more than a month to stew over their 23-point loss to arch-rival Ohio State.

The Florida Gators, meanwhile, will be trying to keep the momentum going from a season-ending three-game win streak, which culminated with a decisive W over their own rival, Florida State (41-14).

Find the early odds, statistical comparison, and best bet below.

2018 Peach Bowl Odds

Date: 12:00 PM ET, Dec. 29

Location: Mercedes-Benz Superdome, Atlanta, GA

Team Spread* Moneyline* Over/Under*
Florida Gators (#10) +7.5 (-110) +250 O 51.0 (-110)
Michigan Wolverines (#7) -7.5 (-110) -310 U 51.0 (-110)

*Odds from Bovada.

The Wolverines are currently massive 7.5-point favorites. As the table below shows, Michigan is the superior team according to the F/+ and S&_P+ rating systems.

Michigan has also owned the Gators recently. These programs have met twice in the last three years, with the Wolverines winning 41-7 in the 2016 Citrus Bowl, and 33-17 in the 2017 season opener. Michigan easily covered both games.

The Gators are actually winless in four tries against Michigan (dating back to 2003).

They’ll have a decent chance to break that streak this year, though, with multiple Michigan stars sitting out (including Karan Higdon, Rashan Gary, Devin Bush)

Florida vs Michigan Statistical Comparison

Florida Gators Statistic Michigan Wolverines
9-3 (8-4 ATS) Record 10-2 (6-6 ATS)
34.5 PPG 36.8
20.4 Points Allowed Per Game 17.6
34.5 Total Offense 427.3
339.1 Total Defense 262.5
40.9% (15th) F/+ Combined Rating 48.5% (6th)
15.1 (14th) S&P+ Rating 21.3 (5th)
17th Strength of Schedule 22nd

Best Bet

The Michigan offense is not potent enough to be laying more than a touchdown against a team with as good a defense as Florida. The Gators will have a hard time moving the ball themselves, but their offense isn’t that far behind UM. They are 24th and 27th in Offensive S&P+, respectively.

Bank on a one-score game in Atlanta.

AlexanderP

Alexander is the MTS editor-in-chief. Frank, Alex, and Geoff brought him in when they realized that their betting expertise far surpassed their grammatical abilities. He loves overanalyzing college basketball trends. Talking to him during the first weekend of March Madness is like talking to a wall. A very focused wall, but a wall nonetheless.