It’s a fast and furious week 11 in the 2021 college football season — with four games remaining on the year for most programs. And for your reading, four more chances to make money before the wild and wacky postseason begins! To help you profit down the stretch, we’ve organized our own college football-free betting picks for week 11!
The best college football betting sites have odds on dozens upon dozens of games this week. However, we’ve circled three that are most worth your time (and money). Those three bets are featured in the table below:
|Oklahoma Sooners||-215||-5.5||Over 62|
|Baylor Bears||+185||+5.5||Under 62|
|Michigan Wolverines||Pick||N/A||Over 48.5|
|Penn State Nittany Lions||Pick||N/A||Under 48.5|
|Georgia Bulldogs||N/A||-20||Over 56.5|
|Tennessee Vols||N/A||+20||Under 56.5|
Against The Spread: No. 4 Oklahoma (-5.5) at No. 18 Baylor
Oklahoma at Baylor — two-ranked Big 12 teams — is one of the most must-see games of the weekend. It’s also one of the best bets, specifically the against-the-spread line. We’ll be upfront and say the Sooners is our pick.
Oklahoma had a bye week, however, moved up in the Top-25 AND College Football Playoff rankings despite the inactivity (thanks to losses and underperformances from a slew of other programs). The bye week came at the perfect time because the Sooners have an absolute gauntlet to finish the year. After this game, it faces Iowa State and Oklahoma State. So in a three-week stretch, they play against the second through fourth-place teams in the Big 12 standings. Crunch time, indeed!
But we’re confident Lincoln Riley and company can weather the storm, certainly against the Bears. The key to covering the spread won’t be just scoring (which is the Sooners’ usual strategy), but it’ll be stuffing the run game of Baylor. On a game-for-game basis, the Bears are averaging 230.9 yards per game — most in the conference. But from a pure talent standpoint, Oklahoma is on another stratosphere compared to the rest of the Big-12.
It’s also tough to bet with the Bears after last week’s fiasco. Despite TCU being without its head coach (fired in the days before) and starting quarterback and running back (both injured), they lost 30-28. Perhaps they overlooked the lowly Horn Frogs, but perhaps they’re just not as good as we thought. A matchup versus Oklahoma is a perfect prove-it game for Baylor and one we think they’ll fall face flat.
Over/Under 48.5 Points: No. 9 Michigan at No. 23 Penn State
For many bettors, they still associated Michigan as offensively woeful. However, that hasn’t been the case most of the season. Busting that one-time myth feels necessary when evaluating the Michigan-Penn State over/under line.
You see, the Wolverines rank top-25 on offense AND defense when it comes to yards. Offensively, they average 451.4 yards a contest (25th-best in the nation). Then defensively, they’re even better, ranking sixth with only 298.1 yards allowed. The balance on both sides has Jim Harbaugh on pace for his best season at Ann Arbor thanks to an 8-1 mark.
But whereas we’re confident Michigan can score points, we’re less certain about the Lions. The numbers don’t lie: Penn State has gone under in five of its last six conference games. Matter of fact, its 31-point effort last weekend versus Maryland was the first time this season they’ve hit the 30-point mark versus conference foes. Unfortunately for them, the Wolverines defense has a MAJOR step-up than the Terps.
We’re going to bet under, mainly on the account that the Nittany Lions offense has been wildly mediocre all season. Playing at home will help them tame Michigan’s much-improved attack, but in the end, the game stays below 48.5 points scored.
Against The Spread: Georgia (-20) at Tennessee
Can anyone — and we mean anyone — compete with the Bulldogs? They routed Missouri 43-6 last weekend and remain the school with the best national championship futures odds. Georgia is now 9-0 and its margin of victories in these games is a whopping 31.9 points. For reference, the next-best team is Ohio State at only 25.9 (and inside a much inferior conference). So it’s no surprise why Georgia is getting a 20-point spread versus Tennessee.
The Dawgs have been particularly dominant against the perceived “good” SEC teams. They went a three-week stretch where they outscored ranked SEC opponents — Arkansas, Auburn, and Kentucky — by a score of 101-23. And we say that because we’re not quite sure would call the Vols “good” in spite of beating Kentucky 45-42 last weekend (the first victory over a ranked opponent in the Josh Heupel era).
We fully expect the Georgia defense to swallow up Tennessee’s offense. Amazingly, the Bulldogs haven’t allowed a team to score more than 13 points on them this year and the up-and-down Vols will likely follow suit. The question then becomes can Georgia put up at least 44 points to cover the spread? We think so. This team is on a mission to end its championship misery and we’re all aboard the bandwagon. Take the Dawgs and the points here!
How To Bet College Football Online
Bettors now is not the time to take your “foot off the gas pedal” per se. The final stretch of the season — with so much playoff positioning at stake — is when college football really shines. To cash in on this wonderful timeframe, point your attention to one of the top-rated sportsbooks listed below. These sites have bettor-friendly prices on all NCAAF bets from now until January. Get your bets in now by clicking the links below!