NCAA Football Picks 2022 Week 6: Texas Favored Over Oklahoma

  • What: Texas Longhorns vs. Oklahoma Sooners
  • Date: Saturday, October 8, 2022
  • Location: Cotton Bowl in Dallas, Texas
  • Time: 12 p.m. ET
  • How to Watch: ABC

The 2022 edition of the Red River Showdown will have a different feel. This year marks the first time since 1998 that the Texas Longhorns nor the Oklahoma Sooners are ranked in the AP Top 25 when they face off in their annual rivalry game.

Texas is 1-1 in the Big 12 Conference and 3-2 overall on the 2022 NCAAF season. Meanwhile, Oklahoma has a Big 12 Conference record of 0-2 to go along with an overall 3-2 record.

The Longhorns are in their second season under head coach Steve Sarkisian. Texas finished last year with a 3-6 conference record and a 5-7 number overall. Oklahoma is in its first year with head coach Brent Venables at the helm. The Sooners wrapped up last year with an 11-2 overall record and 7-2 in the Big 12. Lincoln Riley, who coached the Sooners last season, left the team at the end of the year to move to USC.

Before we look at the Week 6 NCAAF matchup between the Texas Longhorns and the Oklahoma Sooners, check out the current NCAAF Betting opportunities and our guide to betting on the 2022 NCAAF National Championship.

Texas Longhorns vs. Oklahoma Sooners picks

TeamsBetOnline ReviewBovada ReviewBetUS ReviewGTBets ReviewMyBookie Review
Texas Longhorns-250-270-260-275-284
Oklahoma Sooners+210+220+220+235+222

Texas breakdown

Sophomore quarterback Hudson Card leads the Longhorns’ offense. Card has a respectable 69.2 percent completion rate on the season, but his pass attempts (107) are tied for second fewest in the Big 12. He has six touchdown passes on the year, which is the second-fewest in the conference. His 923 passing yards are also the second-fewest in the Big 12. Quinn Ewers, who is recovering from a shoulder injury, could get the nod at starting QB for Texas.

Texas is in the bottom half of the Big 12 in total offensive yardage with 2,032 yards. Of that number, 772 yards have come on the ground, with junior running back Bijan Robinson accounting for 515 of those ground yards. Robinson, who finished last year with 1,127 yards, is second in the Big 12 in rushing this year.

The Longhorns’ defense is in the middle of the pack in the conference, allowing 366.8 yards per game. The team allows more passing yards than most Big 12 teams at 248.3. They are in the middle of the conference as far as rushing defense at 120.2 yards per game.

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Oklahoma breakdown

Dillon Gabriel is having a great year in his first season as the Sooners’ starting QB. The Junior is third in passing yards in the Big 12 for the 2022 NCAAF season. Gabriel is eighth in the conference in completion percentage at 63.9 percent. He has thrown 11 touchdowns and has zero interceptions. However, Gabriel has been sacked nine times. Gabriel left the Sooners’ most recent game after taking a hit to the head after a slide in the second quarter of the team’s 55-24 loss to TCU.

Oklahoma is second in the Big 12 in offense with 481.4 yards per game. The team averages 260.6 yards in the air and 220.8 yards on the ground per game. Junior Marvin Mims leads Oklahoma’s receiving corps. Mims has the second most receiving yards in the conference with 438. He has three touchdowns through the air. Senior running back Eric Gray is fourth in the Big 12 with 460 yards on the ground. Gray has been in the end zone three times this year.

The Sooners have the worst defense in the Big 12. No team has allowed more yards per game than Oklahoma’s 423. The team has been okay against the pass, but they have not been able to stop the ground game. The Sooners have allowed an average of 198.2 yards per game on the ground, which is nearly 50 more than the second worst team, the Texas Tech Red Raiders.

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Our pick

The Sooners have not looked good over the past two weeks, even before the team saw injuries to QB Dillon Gabriel and defensive back Damond Harmon. The Sooners gave up 668 yards to TCU last week. That’s not a number the team wanted to allow heading into a game against Texas.

I think Oklahoma will stay even with Texas for a short while in this matchup, but that the defense will eventually falter after spending too much time on the field and that will allow Texas to get the win.

Pick: Texas Longhorns to beat the Oklahoma Sooners.

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Trent Reinsmith

Trent covers UFC and MMA for MTS. He has written for USA Today Sports, Vice, Bloody Elbow, Fight! Magazine, UFC 360, and Narratively among others. He has been involved with MMA since he and some friends threw some money together to purchase the pay-per-view of UFC 1, and the rest is history.

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