Expect goals aplenty in Everton-Arsenal matchup on Sunday

Arsenal vs Everton matches up to be a one-sided affair. The Liverpudlians are winless through their first four games and currently sitting in the relegation zone. Meanwhile, Arsenal is yet to lose in this 2023-24 campaign, with results good enough for 10 points and a 4-way tie for 2nd. However, it would be wise to not count out Everton just yet. The Blues have won 3 out of their last 5 head-to-head outings.

  • What: English Premier League game, Everton F.C. vs Arsenal F.C.
  • When: September 17, 2023
  • Time: 11:30 AM EST
  • Where: Goodison Park, Liverpool, England
  • TV: Peacock

Everton vs Arsenal: Betting Odds from Top Sportsbooks

Arsenal is being listed by bookmakers as a clear favorite in this Sunday evening match in Liverpool. With a line of (-192), the Gunners have an implied probability of 65.8% to win and take home all 3 points. Everton will be looking to avoid such a scenario, but as (+520) underdogs, their chances appear to be slim.

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Clubs Ready to Go After International Break

This past week was a break from club action for most top European leagues, whose players were summoned for international duty. For North American players, this represented a week of friendlies. But for Europeans, another UEFA European Championship Qualifying round took place. 

For Arsenal, 16 players were sent off to compete during the international window, including star Brits Declan Rice and Bukayo Saka. On the Everton side, goalkeeper and England mainstay Jordan Pickford reported for duty, as well as Senegalese-born Belgian Amadou Onana and others. The next international break will take place about a month from now, beginning on October 9 and ending on the 17th. 

Arsenal Off the Heels of a Big Win

Arsenal now attempt to keep the ball rolling during their trip up north. The London-based side has only dropped points this season in an uncharacteristic 2-2 draw at home to Fulham. In that match, Arsenal were overwhelming (-475) favorites, yet couldn’t muster a victory vs a 10-man Fulham side. The result sparked concerns over the job security of manager Mikel Arteta.

Fortunately, the squad appeared to put those fears to bed with a big victory against Manchester United. After a potential late winner for United was disallowed for offside and an Arsenal penalty was overturned, it appeared the two clubs were destined to draw. But two late goals sealed the deal for the Gunners in stoppage time and left Man United fans heartbroken.

Everton Hope to Bounce Back After Disappointment

Everton’s front office is most likely not pleased with the beginning of their side’s campaign. The Blues have failed to record a win and missed out on a great opportunity to collect points at home vs Wolverhampton just a few weeks ago. Their last outing vs Sheffield United marked the first time they gathered a point or a goal in their first four matches of the season, breaking an unwanted club record for such a stretch to begin a campaign.

After narrowly avoiding relegation last year, the Goodison Park residents will need to start stepping things up this season. That may begin with standout attacking midfielder Abdoulaye Doucouré, a Watford product whose game typically breaks out from deep play at the back. To the Blues’ benefit, Arsenal vs Everton matches up to be a game left without Thomas Partey, Jurrien Timber, and Mohamed Elneny who are all dealing with injuries.

Mikel Arteta on the Hot Seat?

Former Gunner Mikel Arteta has been a subject of controversy for Arsenal fans for many years now. A run of disappointing seasons has yet to put the current manager out of a job, but it feels as though sacking could be just around the corner. Disgruntled Arsenal supporters surrounded the manager’s car after a 2-0 defeat to Chelsea just two years ago, but he weathered the storm and is still in charge. Could a shockingly poor performance in Liverpool be enough to end the often-trending #ArtetaOut posts? Perhaps not, but Arteta is far from safe.

Best Bet and Prediction for Everton vs Arsenal

According to footystats, Everton have a woeful “xG vs actual” statistic of -1.10, indicating luck has not gone their way this season. From an EPL betting perspective, we can use this information to hypothesize that Everton is actually a better team than their recent results indicate, and more positive performances should be expected.

With this in mind, I am targeting the total in Sunday’s affair. Everton is underscoring relative to their advanced statistics, and many bettors will be anticipating a possible “score-to-nil” result. While Everton’s team total is set at 0.5 (-175), I prefer a punt on the total goals to go over. At 2.5, we can get odds of (-150) on the over, getting a better price and securing profit in the case of a 3-0 or greater drubbing at the hands of Arsenal, who are highly likely to score at least one if not two or more goals.

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Will Chace

From Boston, Will's passion for sports is more of a hereditary characteristic than a learned hobby. Besides rooting for his hometown teams, he follows MMA heavily and will consume just about any sports-related content. In college, Will combined his passion for sports and writing as a journalist. Now, he provides detailed betting analysis to help others profit off their sports knowledge too. Will spots insights casual fans may miss and delivers his guidance in a direct, no-nonsense style. In his downtime, you can find him unwinding on the couch and watching foreign film classics.