Bayern Munich Discounted Early vs SC Freiburg

  • FC Bayern Munich vs SC Freiburg, Bundesliga
  • Sunday, October 8, 2023
  • 11:30 AM EST
  • Allianz Arena, Munich, Bavaria, Germany
  • ESPN+

A blowout is in store as Bayern Munich host SC Freiburg at Allianz Arena in Bavaria. Both sides are coming off European ties this week, but Freiburg played on Thursday, giving little time to recover. This matchup is one of the most lopsided matchups from a betting perspective across the world this weekend, so where does the value lie? Keep reading to uncover our expert’s Bayern Munich vs SC Freiburg prediction,  Bayern vs Freiburg H2H history, and insights into Bundesliga betting odds and tips.

Bayern Munich vs SC Freiburg Odds: Who is Expected to Win?

Bayern Munich is a massive favorite on Sunday. The club is lined at (-549), giving the Bavarians a shocking 84.6% implied probability of gathering all 3 points. A draw or a Freiburg win is extremely unlikely, according to the top-rated online sportsbooks. Freiburg has been given a (+1400) price tag. A draw is expected to occur 10.8% of the time, for odds of (+825). 

BundesligaBetOnline ReviewBetUS ReviewBovadaMyBookie ReviewXBet Review
Bayern Munich-600-625-625-549-574
SC Freiburg+1325+1400+1200+1350+1375

To better understand the 3-way moneyline (1X2) market, see our tips for soccer betting.

Bundesliga: The Most-Attended League in the World

While only a handful of clubs enjoy international recognition, the Bundesliga stands out as one of the most prominent soccer leagues today. Its top teams consistently make deep runs in the UEFA Champions League, showcasing their competitive prowess on the global stage. What sets the Bundesliga apart is its remarkable average attendance, the highest of any league worldwide.

At the heart of Bundesliga dominance is Bayern Munich, an unstoppable force in German football. With an impressive tally of 32 out of 60 possible titles, Bayern has set a European record with an astonishing streak of 11 consecutive championships. This season, they are set to continue their unbeaten run. Borussia Dortmund also commands respect with 18 titles and 11 runners-up finishes.

The Bundesliga is renowned for its physical, attacking style of play. The league’s top teams employ aggressive and thrilling tactics, making it a resounding success across various aspects. However, the league grapples with a lack of parity. Talent depth is limited, leading to a top-heavy table where only a few teams dominate.

Bayern Munich’s consistent success often makes them the favorites to clinch the title each season. Consequently, they tend to prioritize their European aspirations over domestic challenges. Unlike English and Spanish clubs, most Bundesliga teams struggle to compete financially for top-tier talent. Germany, despite its footballing heritage, is considered a less attractive destination for athletes due to comparatively lower glamor and financial incentives.

Rest Advantage for Bayern Munich vs SC Freiburg

Bayern Munich will be entering this league match off the heels of a Champions League win over the Danish club Copenhagen on Tuesday. The red outfit was forced to come back after conceding in the 55th minute, leading to a late finish by Mathys Tel. 

Conversely, although the club played a midweek game, they will still be in better shape than their opponents. SC Freiburg played their European tie on Thursday, falling to West Ham United. A European appearance is a major accomplishment for Freiburg, and the lucrative rewards for good performances in the Europa League are certainly motivating. 

It was clear Freiburg put out their best potential lineup against the English in the hopes of gaining a victory. This could spell some changes in the rotation by manager Christian Streich, who will be forced to ask a lot out of his players on three days’ notice this Sunday.

Recently, Bayern have been attracting the wrong headlines for their interest in bringing back ex-Bavarian Jerome Boateng. The controversial center back is being shopped in the transfer market. His controversy stems from a protracted legal situation following an alleged assault of his former partner. Supporters are planning to protest in the event the club does choose to sign him, but it remains to be seen if this will dissuade the front office.

Bayern MunichTo Beat Freiburg
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SC Freiburg’s Record This Season is Flattering

SC Freiburg has somehow managed to secure 3 wins in this Bundesliga 2023-24 campaign. They have found themselves in the 8th position, despite only scoring 7 goals. To put this into perspective, Freiburg has only played 6 games so far. With a goal differential of -3, fortune has helped propel Freiburg high up the ranking. 

These statistics reveal a flattering record for Freiburg, but sportsbooks and bettors seem to be keen on this. Judging by the odds, many are not fooled by their surprising victories. While it is never impossible, a 90-minute win in Munich is a tall order for any opponent, let alone a team as poor as SC Freiburg. Nevertheless, if you fancy their chances, you can use the link below.

FreiburgTo Beat Bayern Munich
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Bayern vs Freiburg H2H and Key Statistics

SC Freiburg have only won one edition of this fixture dating back to 2009. Furthermore, Bayern has won the last 4 editions on their home grounds, including a 5-0 drubbing their last time in a Bundesliga match at Allianz Arena.

However, SC Freiburg pulled off a big upset in the quarterfinals of the German Cup (DFB Pokal) with a 2-1 away victory this April. A second-half stoppage time winner from Lucas Hoeler via penalty kick made the difference. Perhaps Bayern was still working out their kinks; it was just the second game with new manager Thomas Tuchel in charge.

Bayern Munich vs SC Freiburg Prediction, Free Pick and How to Bet Match

Backing Bayern Munich in this affair is going to take some creativity. Laying close to 6:1 odds to win the match is not an appealing proposition, so sharp punters need to find a way to reduce those soccer betting odds. 

Considering the extra rest for Bayern, as well as the Bavarian crowd behind them, I think Munich will look to take an early lead before resting key starters. FC Hollywood has a long season ahead of them and is in the midst of a Champions League run. Plus, we can count on them to be the fresher side from the start with two extra days of rest. 

Consequently, I love the value on their first half spread at Bovada. Taking -0.5 is the same as taking their moneyline, so we are getting a discount at (-188).

Bayern Munich -0.5First Half
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Will Chace

From Boston, Will's passion for sports is more of a hereditary characteristic than a learned hobby. Besides rooting for his hometown teams, he follows MMA heavily and will consume just about any sports-related content. In college, Will combined his passion for sports and writing as a journalist. Now, he provides detailed betting analysis to help others profit off their sports knowledge too. Will spots insights casual fans may miss and delivers his guidance in a direct, no-nonsense style. In his downtime, you can find him unwinding on the couch and watching foreign film classics.