Liverpool vs Brentford Prediction: Bet on the Bees

Brentford heads to Anfield for a tough test against Liverpool in the 12th matchday of the 2023/24 Premier League campaign. The Merseysiders will only be 3 days removed from their Europa League duties against Toulouse. The Bees have made a name for themselves as the top-6 killers with many strong performances against elite sides. Read on for an expert Liverpool vs Brentford prediction and explore betting odds and the upcoming Brentford schedule.

  • Liverpool Football Club vs Brentford Football Club, English Premier League
  • November 12, 2023
  • 9 AM EST
  • Anfield, Liverpool, England
  • Peacock

Liverpool vs Brentford Prediction: Who do Sportsbooks Favor?

Liverpool are unsurprisingly considerable favorites in this match at (-255), with only one loss to their name this season. Brentford are big underdogs as they enter Anfield to face the 3rd-best club in the league, currently priced at (+690) at highly-rated online sportsbook BetOnline. A draw is lined at (+450), a very low number that emphasizes the perceived one-sidedness of this Sunday afternoon affair.

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To better understand the 3-way moneyline (1X2) market, see our English Premier League betting tips.

Liverpool vs Brentford: Last H2H Matchup

An early goal by Mohamed Salah proved to be the game-winner in a 1-0 win for Liverpool in the last edition of this fixture. The match was an important one for Liverpool at the time. The early May showdown kept Liverpool in the race for a top-4 finish critical to European qualification.

Brentford mainly sat deep and tried to prevent an offensive firefight, which proved largely successful over the course of the 90 minutes. However, the club managed only one shot on goal. The Bees can take some confidence in their success in the reverse fixture, in which they stole the show with a 3-1 victory.

Indeed, Liverpool’s counter-attack heavy style, along with optimistic shots from outside the box, is not well-suited for an encounter with a more pragmatic defense. Brentford, led by manager Thomas Frank, will look to slow down the game yet again and capitalize on a lineup that will be without top midfielder Alexis Mac Allister. The Argentinian was assessed an automatic one-game suspension after receiving his 5th yellow card.

The Troubling Situation of Luis Diaz’s Family

Liverpool is enduring trying times within their locker room at the moment. Forward Luis Diaz’s parents were kidnapped by Colombian rebels, most likely in an attempt to gather funds to support their military operations. Thankfully, Diaz’s mother was released within hours, but his father has remained in captivity for several weeks. Diaz has been playing since the kidnapping, even scoring a late equalizer against Luton Town most recently as a substitute.

It appears Luis Diaz’s father will be released soon. At the time of writing reports are indicating he will be handed over to United Nations officials in the near future. It is possible he will be free by the time this is published. At any rate, the nerve-wracking situation has surely brought this club much closer together. While it is difficult to pinpoint an exact cause, perhaps this situation weighed heavily on the minds of Liverpool players as they played out a draw against the 17th-ranked Hatters.

Besides the troubling situation in Colombia, the story of Liverpool this season has been one of rebuilding. A complete refresh in the midfield, headlined by Dominik Szoboszlai and Mac Allister, has been an exciting and successful development. Manager Jurgen Klopp does not appear to be missing Jordan Henderson, Fabinho, Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain and James Milner too much, all of whom departed this summer. Additionally, Mohamed Salah and Virgil Van Dijk remain with the club, and are playing very well so far.

LiverpoolTo Defeat Brentford
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Brentford Schedule and Recent Results

Brentford’s recent stretch of success has been propelled by a surge of offensive production. The Bees have scored 8 goals in the past three games, with wins over West Ham, Chelsea and Burnley. A 4th consecutive win would ruin Liverpool’s unblemished home record this season. It may also boost them up to a possible 7th spot in the table, above Brighton and Manchester United, if those clubs fail to earn 3 points this weekend.

Brentford will have a rest advantage over their opponents, as they do not have any midweek obligations. Additionally, their match against Liverpool will be their last until the international break. It’s likely they will want to send a strong message to the Premier League that they belong amongst the best in the division. Unfortunately, matchups against Arsenal and Brighton are ahead, but a home fixture with Luton Town should provide a good respite in between the two encounters.

Liverpool vs Brentford Prediction and Free Betting Pick

Brentford is the perfect club to upset a team like Liverpool: They are disciplined, rested, and full of confidence. Their defensive-heavy gameplan will rely heavily on some shooting variance going their way, but if their back line holds up, they could find surprising success. Brentford has excelled against top opponents and are coming into this fixture off 3 straight wins. In fact, the club only lost to Manchester United prior to their run after two stoppage time goals reversed their live winning result.

In conclusion, bettors should be conservative in their approach to this clash, but I think a play on the Bees is a must. All in all, it’s best to Brentford moneyline straight up to capitalize on volatility, now at a juicy (+690). Generally, these types of rest situations with large underdogs are profitable in the long run.

BrentfordTo Defeat Liverpool
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Will Chace

From Boston, Will's passion for sports is more of a hereditary characteristic than a learned hobby. Besides rooting for his hometown teams, he follows MMA heavily and will consume just about any sports-related content. In college, Will combined his passion for sports and writing as a journalist. Now, he provides detailed betting analysis to help others profit off their sports knowledge too. Will spots insights casual fans may miss and delivers his guidance in a direct, no-nonsense style. In his downtime, you can find him unwinding on the couch and watching foreign film classics.