Inter Miami Betting Value Available on Defensive Side?

Inter Miami heads up North to Montreal for what could be their 5th straight victory on Saturday. Stade Saputo will be the setting of just the 3rd home appearance for Montreal in their last 12 matches, a side eager to get a result. Montreal started off hot to begin the year but have faded recently, with April unkind to the Quebecois club. Continue reading to access an expert Montreal vs Inter Miami betting prediction and explore tips and stats for MLS odds in 2024.

  • CF Montreal vs Inter Miami
  • MLS Matchday 13
  • May 11, 2024
  • 7:30 PM EST
  • Stade Saputo, Montreal, Quebec, Canada
  • MLS Season Pass, with Apple TV

Montreal vs Inter Miami Betting Odds

It is to no surprise that Inter Miami are odds-on favorites to claim all 3 points available this weekend, with the Herons priced at (-105). Montreal will hope to do their patient supporters proud as (+283) underdogs. A draw isn’t a bad outcome for either party, and is pegged at (+290) for a probability of 25.6%.

Major League SoccerBetOnline ReviewBetUS ReviewBovadaXBet ReviewMyBookie Review
Inter Miami-105-110-110-111-111

Want to better understand the 3-way moneyline (1X2) market? See our soccer betting tips and learn about 2024 MLS betting sites.

CF Montreal Stats and Recent Games

Montreal’s 2024 season has been a rollercoaster ride, marked by a strong start followed by a recent dip in form. Part of their struggles could be attributed to an unfortunate schedule, with 9 out of their last 11 games played away from home. Finally returning to Quebec after what seems like an eternity, they aim to break a four-game winless streak across all competitions.

Manager Courtois faces a significant challenge with a slew of injuries plaguing the squad. Star striker Matias Coccaro is sidelined with a long-term knee issue, while Kwadwo Opoku is on the road to recovery from an ankle ligament tear. Dominik Yankov’s hamstring strain adds to the injury woes, and Josef Martinez, a former Miami striker, missed the last game due to a minor injury.

Furthermore, Joaquin Sosa was absent last weekend due to a lower leg problem, and Lassi Lappalainen’s availability for the upcoming game remains uncertain due to a minor injury. Nathan-Dylan Saliba is nursing a sore hip, and Grayson Doody’s participation hinges on his recovery from an ankle issue, casting further uncertainty over the team’s lineup.

MontrealTo Win
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Inter Miami Can’t Stop Winning

Inter Miami has emerged as one of the top-performing teams in the MLS this season, showcasing an impressive offensive prowess with an unprecedented 32 goals. This tally significantly surpasses their closest competitors, the LA Galaxy, who have netted 21 goals as of last weekend. This scoring spree has propelled Miami to the summit of the league table with 24 points. However, their success heavily hinges on the fitness of star players Lionel Messi and Luis Suarez.

Miami’s ambitious roster construction, centered around these elite athletes, has necessitated sacrifices in other areas, particularly on defense, which has been a weak point since Messi’s arrival last season. While conceding 18 goals isn’t cause for panic, it warrants monitoring as the season progresses. By comparison, FC Cincinnati, currently in second place, has conceded half that amount, albeit with a game in hand.

Miami’s playing style is tailor-made for the MLS, emphasizing high tempo and exploiting fast-paced situations to create scoring opportunities. This approach reflects the strategic vision of their manager, Tata Martino, renowned for his tactical acumen.

Recent performances further validate Miami’s attacking prowess, particularly evident in their last four matches where they notched an impressive 16 goals. Their recent clash with the New York Red Bulls, yielding six goals alone, underscores their proficiency in exploiting opponents reliant on a high-pressing game. With four consecutive wins under their belt, bookmakers anticipate a fifth-straight victory in their upcoming Saturday fixture.

Inter MiamiTo Win
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Montreal vs Inter Miami Betting Prediction and Free Betting Pick

While it’s tempting to jump on the Inter Miami bandwagon, the odds in this scenario appear a tad steep. With Miami securing victory in 7 out of their first 12 games this season, backing them at (-105) implies a winning outcome more than half the time. Yet, in the MLS, where home advantage often holds sway, Montreal presents a formidable challenge.

Thus, turning to the totals market seems prudent, a strategy I’ve employed frequently in Miami matches this season. The total is pegged at 3, a notably high figure for MLS standards. Miami’s dominance in possession has been a key factor in their success, a trait not commonly seen across the league. Conversely, Montreal ranks among the teams with the lowest possession stats, indicating a likely tactical approach from Martino to cede control.

Facing a quick turnaround from their recent match, Montreal may opt for a cautious, defensive stance, aiming to keep the game tight and possibly secure a draw. Such tactics could play into Miami’s strengths, limiting Montreal’s offensive opportunities primarily to set pieces. While Montreal capitalized on set-piece situations in their previous encounter, such instances often hinge more on chance than strategy.

Considering the circumstances, I’ll wager half a unit on Montreal failing to score more than once, given the anticipated advantage for Miami on the away turf come Saturday night. This will look one-sided, and Montreal fans should strap in for what could be a long night.

Under 1.5Montreal Total Goals
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Will Chace

From Boston, Will's passion for sports is more of a hereditary characteristic than a learned hobby. Besides rooting for his hometown teams, he follows MMA heavily and will consume just about any sports-related content. In college, Will combined his passion for sports and writing as a journalist. Now, he provides detailed betting analysis to help others profit off their sports knowledge too. Will spots insights casual fans may miss and delivers his guidance in a direct, no-nonsense style. In his downtime, you can find him unwinding on the couch and watching foreign film classics.